Greetings, G-Force.
1 win. 1 loss. 1 tie. Yes, 1-1-1 after 3 games. The intent of this blog has always been to aim for an optimistic, yet realistic outlook on the state of the Green Bay Packers Union. On weeks like this, it’s tough to keep the optimistic part at the forefront of my perspective. But, it’s important to remind yourself that the NFL – now more than ever – is a week-to-week league. Who you are this week is not necessarily who you’ll be next week. We live in a parity driven league. Consider this: after three games, the Patriots, Steelers, Falcons, Giants, Packers, ‘queens, Seahawks, and Cowboys all only have 1 win. That’s some NFL firepower that can’t be feeling good about where they stand through 3 weeks.
Prior to the season, I projected the 2018 team to finish 9-7. I held onto hope after two weeks that we were possibly better defensively than I had presumed and therefore, I thought there was a possibility that we could be a 10 win team. Either way, when you’re destined to win 9 games, you’re going to have games like we saw in Washington. If you’re an early season contender who is an 11 or 12 win team, you beat the Skins easily. Sadly, the Packers aren’t the early season contender that we hoped. In order for them to be a contender, we need the OL to stay healthy and we need Aaron Jones to be the clear-cut #1 RB. Jones offers a big-play threat that not many backs in the NFL present. His presence will prevent the opposition from consistently playing with 2-deep safeties.
As I write, I listen to the Greensky Bluegrass show from 9-21-18 from the Ogden Theater. If you don’t have the nugs app, the link for the show can be found here: https://archive.org/details/gsbg2018-09-21.akgmatrix.stearns.flac16. Greensky was in Denver for three nights this past weekend. They were uplifting for the soul post a heartless Packers performance on Sunday night. I’m headed back to WI this weekend. I’m going to celebrate my parents turning 70. I’m going to see Greensky in Milwaukee on Saturday Night – if you aren’t going, you should be. And, I’m going to see the Packers get back into the win column over the Bills. Heading back to Green Bay is always sentimental for me. It’s where I was born. It’s where I was raised. It’s where my roots run deep. At the 9-21-18 show, Greensky played “Tied down.” A great tune. A tribute to their homeland in Michigan. The lyrics towards Michigan remind me of my sensation for Green Bay. “I won’t ever betray my memories tasting other seas and landscapes. These trees are fruit and these dreams are free. I’m tied down to Michigan, there ain’t no home like this one. I’m leaving Michigan, with my heart on my sleeve for the world to steal.” I’m looking forward to getting back to Titletown, U.S.A. And, seriously, if you have yet to see Greensky, make it to the show on Saturday night at the Riverside Theater in Milwaukee. It’s can’t miss music.
Here are my quick vibes from the last week:
The last time we saw the Packers play as poorly as they did on Sunday was in 2016 when they played the Redskins. In Washington. In 2016, we lost 42-24. And, showed little pulse. It was apparent early in the game on Sunday that the Packers were lethargic and unprepared. And, because of it, even though I have remained as big of a Mike McCarthy fan as there is, I have to wonder if he’s nearing his expiration date. With a new offensive coordinator, defensive coordinator and GM; there was supposed to be a new mojo in the locker room. If there is a new mojo, it certainly didn’t show up on the field. That, my friends, falls on the Leader. McCarthy has to own that his team wasn’t ready for a football game. He failed in Washington.
I’m not going to fully jump off of the Mike Pettine bandwagon. But, the early returns have me nail-bitingly worried. It was only the third game in which I’ve seen him coach the Packers defense and I was already able to count how many defenders were coming on the blitz. It looks to me as though the players are telegraphing who is coming and thus, the disguise of the defense is minimized.
Oren Burks’ speed is going to be a welcomed addition to this defense. I hope he sees more playing time this week.
Davante Adams knows how to find the end zone. He smells the goal line with excellence.
With the current design of the Packers hierarchy, I’m not sure who is in charge of determining the 53-man roster. But, be it McCarthy or Gutekunst – whoever it is - he needs to make an in-season statement. Kendricks should be cut. He had a below average preseason and his drop should be intolerable. It’s time to move on. Tonyan should be playing his snaps. At this stage, Kendricks is not doing the Packers any favors.
In the end, Davon House’s best was no longer good enough. Stinks to hear that the dude was hurt. I wish they’d bring up Tony Brown. He has the speed to work as a gunner on special teams. He also has the speed to run on the perimeter.
I like the Breshaud Breeland signing. Breeland brings starting experience and has 4 years of playing experience. He can also play on the perimeter. Early in his career, I thought Breeland struggled in man coverage. I thought he was someone that could be targeted. But, there’s no doubt that he’s improved. He’s become more physical on the outside and he’s learned to turn out of his backpedal. Due to his continued improvement, Breeland had earned a 3-year, $24 million deal prior to the start of the season. The Packers likely got Breeland for a 1-year bargain base deal. Good move by Gutekunst.
I don’t understand why McCarthy isn’t utilizing MVS in the slot and sending him deep down the field. He’d get a free release and I’d have to imagine that he could outrun most, if not all, of the oppositions 4th CB’s. Let’s take a shot to him and see what we have.
Over the first two weeks, Randall Cobb was a wizard after the catch. In Week 3, he couldn’t catch and when he did, he fumbled in a crucial moment.
Aaron Jones should carry the ball 20 times. Early. Often. He’ll take pressure off of the OL and Rodgers. He’s a game changer. I’d also like to see two back formations with Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones on the field. It’d be interesting to see Montgomery motioning into the slot or out to the perimeter. I can’t imagine that there is a LB in the league that can cover Montgomery on the outside. And, if the defense comes with a safety, it’d open up the middle of the field for Rodgers to adjust at the line of scrimmage.
Geronimo has become a legitimate NFL threat at WR. He’s dependable. He has all of the routes in his toolkit and he’s catching the ball with his hands. He’s been reliable and Rodgers clearly trusts him.
I feel bad for Mo Wilk. I was really excited for him to grow into this defense.
If Bulaga’s injury lingers, the Packers are in big trouble. Jason Spriggs can’t play in this league.
Bottom line: it’s hard to find positives from the game in Washington. But, it’s a September loss. There’s a lot of time to recover. The Packers can’t dwell on it. This week, they play the Bills who are coming off of a dominating performance against the ‘queens in Minnesota. This would be a great rebound win for the Packers and a win to put the ugly drudgery from a week ago behind us.
In this week’s fanspeak.com Packers mock draft, here’s what I ended up with:
Round 1a: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE, Clemson.
Round 1b: Martez Ivey, OT, FL.
Round 2: Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky.
Round 3: Kaden Smith, TE, Stanford.
Round 4: Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama.
Round 5: Iman Marshall, CB, USC.
Round 6a: Collin Johnson, WR, Texas.
Round 6b: Kendall Baker, OT, Georgia.
Round 7: Jordan Miller, CB, Washington.
This week – the Bills come to Lambeau. I can’t wait to attend. A trip to Titletown, U.S.A. always brings a sense of joy to the heart. The Bill have to be brimming with confidence. Fresh off of a stunning road victory over the hated ‘queens. The Bills have to carry a sense of belief.
Over the first two weeks of the season, the Bills appeared to be the worst team in the NFL. They seemed destined for the 1st pick of the NFL Draft. In Week 3, they gave Josh Allen the reigns to the offense. They simplified the offense. The Bill ran a number of dump off and swing passes. They made the game easier for Allen. I have to imagine that Shady McCoy will be healthy for this weekend and he could receive 10 targets in the flat. McCoy will be a nightmare for the Packers to tackle in the open field. Chris Ivory is also a powerful back who is tough to bring down in space. The Packers struggled to make open field tackles in Washington. Allen has targets who can beat you deep. Kelvin Benjamin is a big target who can get over the top of a secondary. Zay Jones is also a speedy deep threat. Both will present significant height issues on the long ball – especially if Alexander is working against them. Benjamin is a full 7 inches taller than Alexander. If King can’t go, the Packers will be vulnerable on the deep ball, assuming the Bills are willing to trust Allen. Charles Clay is a reliable option at TE. Clay is smart, sure handed and knows how to find the hole in the defensive zone. The Bills offensive line is the weakest link to their offense. It’s time for Daniels, Perry and Matthews to earn their pay checks.
Defensively, the Bills destroyed the ‘queens offensive front. They had 4 sacks and forced two fumbles. Trent Murphy brings length to the EDGE of the Bills defense. Jerry Hughes brings a speed + power combination that the Packers are desperately striving to find on defense. Kyle Williams is a force on the interior of the Bills defense. Star Lotulelei is a physical demon at DT and Harrison Phillips is a rookie DT with a really high upside. Shaq Lawson, when healthy, is a solid rotation DE. Matt Milano is an overachieving, highly productive LB. He’s all over the field. Lorenzo Alexander is an underappreciated, highly confident strong side LB in the Bills 4-3 defense. Tremaine Edmunds has all of the physical tools, but does he have the smarts to man the middle in the 4-3? I’d target him over the middle in the passing game. If the Packers can protect Rodgers, the 2-time MVP will have a field day. The Bills lack depth in the secondary. Tre’Davious White had a great rookie season and is primed for a solid NFL career. Micah Hyde is a dynamic playmaker. But, Jordan Poyer and Taron Johnson are not up to the task of covering the Packers receiving targets. Neither is Phillip Gaines, who is banged up.
I expect a Lambeau celebration. After another sluggish start, the Packers wake up.
Aaron Jones shows that he’s a mudder, once again. Jones grabs 15 carries and tops 100 yards. The run opens up the pass. Imagine that?!
Rodgers finds Graham for his first TD of the year. Adams also catches a TD this week.
Kenny Clark will show up. I expect Clark to grab a sack this weekend.
Look for Montravious Adams to have some productive snaps this week.
The Lambeau vibrations prove to be too powerful for Josh Allen. This game has the makings of a day in which the Packers defense forces 3 turnovers.
It’ll be fall weather and the Packers get back on track.
I hope to see everyone at Greensky Bluegrass in Milwaukee on Saturday night.
Packers 34.
Bills 13.
Go Pack Go!
Talkin’ S-Mac.
Talkins-mac.blogspot.com
Wednesday, September 26, 2018
Friday, September 21, 2018
My Take -> Week 3
Greetings, G-Force.
1-0-1. If, as you’re reading this blog post, you feel like all of my writing grace is lost, well you’re probably right. For today, I have emotion and I’ve tossed all elegance straight to the ditch. Intentionally. I wanted this one. We had it. Our defense had made the play. Not once, but twice! An odd sensation came over me as I was thinking who are these Green Bay Packers? A team that wins with defense and special teams? Until, suddenly, in painstaking, gutting fashion, victory was ripped away by a horrendous officiating decision. Plainly: The NFL cheated the Packers out of a 2-0 start. The Packers were robbed, man. There is no other way to put it.
With ambitious hearts, Packers fans could taste a 2-0 start. Unified. Until, once again, the Packers franchise met what felt like a strong moment of darkness. The pain was ever so present at the end of regulation. The 80+ degree light shining bright onto Lambeau Field. It felt like it was supposed to be a glorious day in Titletown, U.S.A. Instead, the final whistle sounded without victory that was so closely in our grasps. Empty, man. Empty.
The Clay Matthews penalty makes the NFL seem like a scam. It felt like I was watching the old-school WWF Saturday Night Main Event from the late 80’s. Highly entertaining and full o’ drama. But, really: Why are they wearing pads? A helmet? Let’s put flags on them!
Isn’t it amazing that in the Packers 100th season; the coaches, players and fans do not know the rules of the game?
I saw this tweet posted by Jim Owczarski: “Crazy stat of the day - 31% of all of the #Vikings offensive plays were run after the flag on Clay Matthews. Packers D was gassed late.”
I also saw that Marques Eversoll posted this to Twitter: “Kirk Cousins was 35-48 for 425 yards, 4 TD 1 INT. If the Clay Matthews flag wasn't thrown, Cousins woulda been 23-32 for 284 yards, 3 TD 2 INT.”
‘queens fans that I have talked to - and there were a number of them - also believe that the call on Matthews was absolutely nonsensical. They’re quick to point out that Rodgers got the same call earlier. They’re right. He did. Both were brutal calls that are indicative of the sports downward spiral. The difference between those calls is extreme however. When the call went in the Packers favor, the Packers were already getting a first down on the play as Griffen was penalized for being offsides, so the penalty simply nullified another penalty on the ‘queens and gifted the Packers 10-yards. When the call went in the ‘queens favor, it cost the Packers a victory. It cost Jaire his first career interception. It’s the type of call that could cost the Packers a the division, a first round bye, or possibly even home field throughout. It’s a horrific display of officiating. It’s really tough to stomach. And, worse yet, the NFL doesn’t even own up to the mistake. It’s unacceptable.
Had the Matthews hit been called correctly - no one really knows what’s correct any more, I guess. But, had the play been officiated like nearly every other play in the history of the NFL, and the tone of this blog would be on the immediate impact that this team has received from Jaire Alexander, Josh Jackson, Mike Pettine, and JK Scott. The Packers would’ve beaten the ‘queens not off of the 2-time MVPs arm but off of special teams and defense. Instead, we saw Minnesota’s kicker meltdown on two separate occasions and because of it, both teams are wondering “what if.”
As I write, I listen to the Dirty Heads “Phantoms of Summer: The Acoustic Sessions” album. It’s calming acoustic Reggae chop soothes the soul and bring perspective. The album also offers lyrical strength that relates to the NFL: “It burns higher and higher. They can't put out the fire. It burns higher and higher. They can't put out the fire.”
Here are my quick vibes from the last week:
Packers antagonists will laud Mike Zimmer for managing the clock and protecting his timeouts. I'm of the opposite mindset. Mike McCarthy's team outclassed Mike Zimmer's team for the first 58:30 of the game. Had Davante Adams caught the ball on 2-separate passes in the end zone, Zimmer would've taken the bus back to the Land of 10,000 Lakes with a 12-point loss and 2-timeouts in his pocket. But, Adams dropped the ball twice and he kept the 'queens alive. McCarthy's team was more physical for most of the game. McCarthy's team was better prepared. McCarthy kept with the crossing route, he also got his prized free agent TE involved. Zimmer had no answer except to continuously bench his CB's in an attempt to find a match-up that worked. Really, the only things that seemed to stop the Packers offense were Davante Adams dropping the ball and a couple of highly questionable officiating decisions that played a significant role in stymying drives that were potentially game altering.
An aggressive Mike McCarthy is a good Mike McCarthy. McCarthy was in attack mode. He played to win. I loved the Packers decision making with the exception of two of Rodgers' decisions at the line of scrimmage, which I'll get to shortly.
Aaron Rodgers is in a class of his own. But, let's come clean. A week after Rodgers was an absolute mastermind, down 20, at Lambeau Field, in the game that marked the start of the Packers 100th anniversary; well, one week later, Rodgers wasn't himself. He almost out-thought himself. His decision audible out of a pass and into a run on 3rd and short - up 2 - inside the Red Zone late in the 4th was costly as the 'queens blew up the play. And, then, he made a devastating decision when he kept the ball and lost control of it on 2nd and short when the Packers were in FG range in OT. Had Rodgers simply handed the ball to J-Will, he'd have definitely gotten back to the line of scrimmage and kept the Packers within Crosby's range.
G-Mo finna be a fixture in this offense for years to come. He’s been a reliable 3rd down target. A YAC gatherer. Special teams, too, yo!
Kenny Clark. Dude dominates.
Jostling Jaire looks like T-Buck with a punch to him. Love the way he carries himself. A shepherd for positivity on the defensive side of the ball. Kid loves to celebrate. He’s shockingly physical. I can dig on that.
JJ and Jostling Jaire on the double slot blitz looks like a thing to come.
JJ has a pick coming. Soon. Love the way he tries to undercut routes and goes full extension on his leap to defend passes.
I don’t believe that Pettine trusted Jostling Jaire on the outside, at this stage. Hence, he went to House. And, he got burned.
It was nice to see the harmony between Rodgers and Graham. Let’s hope that’s a sign of what is to come.
Randall Cobb has been a Jedi after the catch.
Stoked to see Aaron Jones returning to the lineup! In a perfect world, he will have grown in the pass blocking game like Ty and J-Will have. J-Will and Ty have both been beasts as pass protectors to start the season.
Can’t wait to see Oren Burks making his debut this Sunday. Somehow, Someway this team needs to improve its pass rush. I’m hoping that Burks will be able to get home on inside blitzes. Dude is a dawg!
MVS is on the board! 1 catch for 3 yards. I want to see him running underneath a deep ball this week out of the slot. He should get a free release and very little attention. Could be a big play waiting in the wings.
Not to fully complain about the officiating, but I wouldn’t be showing my emotions in a justifiable fashion without pointing out how one-sided the game was called on significant plays. The holding call on Lane Taylor that negated the Jimmy Graham TD and a 3-score lead was highly questionable. I thought it was fairly clear that Richardson slipped on the play. The two back-to-back pass interference plays in the second quarter with the Packers looking to take a two-score lead left the Packers on the wrong end of the stick. On the first play, Graham was clearly interfered with, but there was no call. One play later, yes, Adams created separation with his hand, but that’s called roughly 50% of the time. It was terrible officiating for the Packers to get a bum deal on both calls - especially at Lambeau Field.
On the play after the Matthews penalty, Mo Wilk had a chance to seal it and he couldn’t hold on.
Mason Crosby is normally money on that game winning kick. I had no doubt in my mind that he was going to make the kick. He missed it.
Davon House. Unacceptable. Absolutely terrible. In one play, Minnesota was right back in the game. Terrible defense by the veteran CB.
As I mentioned last week, I'm going to use the fanspeak.com website to put together a Mock Draft on a weekly basis. I'm really pulling for Saints losses to pile up. They have tough road games at Atlanta and at the NYG on the horizon. The schedule doesn't get easier for them either as they will have games against ATL, TB, CAR (x2), Pitt, MN, Philly and the Rams after this 2-game stretch. Can you imagine if NO has a 7-9 season and the Packers net a top 14 pick in the trade last year? That'd be yoeman's work from Gutekunst. For this week, I didn't draft anyone that was not on their recently updated board. As I also stated last week, I wanted to try and mix things up from week-to-week. Here's what I came up with this week:
Round 1a - Nkeal Harry, WR, ASU
Round 1b - Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State
Round 2 - David Edward, OT, WI
Round 3 - Kaden Smith, TE, Stanford
Round 4 - Jordan Fuller, S, Ohio State
Round 5 - Carl Granderson, EDGE, Wyoming
Round 6a - Deshaun Davis, LB, Auburn
Round 6b - Jordan Miller, CB, Washington
Round 7 - Cody Thompson, WR, Toledo
This week - the Packers travel to Washington to take on the Redskins. It'll be a challenge to escape this vat of negativity. It'll be a test for the Packers to be emotionally ready. It's their first road game of the year. They're coming off of two highly intense, playoff atmosphere, home games. Now, they'll head to the Nation's capital to find a stadium that won't be stuffed with football maniacs. The 'Skins are coming off an embarrassing home loss. And, in today's week-to-week league, you have to imagine that the 'Skins play with pizzazz. They'll be ready. And, when you're destined for a 7-9 season, as the 'Skins are, you're going to have really bad weeks and you're going to have really good weeks. The Packers better be ready for Washington's best shot.
Offensively, look for the Redskins to utilize ball-control. They'll be patient. They'll try to pound Adrian Peterson on early downs and look to find themselves in 3rd & 4 or less to go for a first-down. Then, they'll try to utilize Alex Smith's smart decision making and accuracy to move the sticks. Smith will quickly look to the check downs to Chris Thompson out of the backfield. Blake Martinez better be ready to cover and make open field tackles on the elusive Thompson. Smith's first option will be Jamison Crowder though. Crowder will live in the slot and he'll mostly sit down just past the first-down marker. Crowder is a witty route runner and possesses reliable hands. Jordan Reed isn't what he used to be, but he's still a dangerous target down the seam. Throughout the years, Reed has had big games against the Packers defense. Josh Doctson and Paul Richardson are deep threats for Washington. The Packers should match up well against both Doctson and Richardson. Look for Mo-Wilk, Mike Daniels and Kenny Clark to collapse the pocket against Chase Roullier and Casey Dunn - who will likely be playing for the injured Shaun Lauvao. The left interior of the 'Skins line does not resemble the Hogs that I grew up watching in Washington DC. They can be had.
Defensively, Washington has an intriguingly young team that is both overly aggressive and extremely confident. The 'Skins have invested mightily in their defense. They start three first round picks and a second round pick. They also start two prized Free Agent signings in Zach Brown and Josh Norman. DJ Swearinger brings attitude to the safety position and Mason Foster is a steady LB that won't be found making mistakes. Ryan Kerrigan, Jonathan Allen, and Da'Ron Payne are disruptive. Ziggy Hood and Matt Ioannidis add good depth to the DL. Pernell McPhee can still rush the QB on 3rd down and must be accounted for. The secondary has youthful, developing talent in Montae Nicholson, Fabian Moreau, Greg Stroman, Troy Apke and Adonis Alexander. Look for Quinton Dunbar to get the start across from Josh Norman. Rodgers will target Dunbar early and often.
My guess is that the Packers receive a big-time wake-up call early. The Packers come out lethargic. Emotionally unfit. The Redskins strike first, the 'Skins fans start to show excitement and carry belief.
But, Rodgers gets going. In a big way. He goes for Davante. It's Rodgers to Adams on consecutive plays for first downs. It's Rodgers to Adams for an equalizer.
Rodgers also finds Graham for a TD. And, this time, it counts!
Mike Daniels plays without fear of grabbing a penalty and latches onto his first sack of the year. Clay also collects a sack.
If the Packers are a legit early-season contender, they win 30-13. But, they aren't that far along yet. Instead, it's a dog fight and the Packers stave off a late Redskins rally.
Packers 24.
Redskins 20.
Go Pack Go!
Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
1-0-1. If, as you’re reading this blog post, you feel like all of my writing grace is lost, well you’re probably right. For today, I have emotion and I’ve tossed all elegance straight to the ditch. Intentionally. I wanted this one. We had it. Our defense had made the play. Not once, but twice! An odd sensation came over me as I was thinking who are these Green Bay Packers? A team that wins with defense and special teams? Until, suddenly, in painstaking, gutting fashion, victory was ripped away by a horrendous officiating decision. Plainly: The NFL cheated the Packers out of a 2-0 start. The Packers were robbed, man. There is no other way to put it.
With ambitious hearts, Packers fans could taste a 2-0 start. Unified. Until, once again, the Packers franchise met what felt like a strong moment of darkness. The pain was ever so present at the end of regulation. The 80+ degree light shining bright onto Lambeau Field. It felt like it was supposed to be a glorious day in Titletown, U.S.A. Instead, the final whistle sounded without victory that was so closely in our grasps. Empty, man. Empty.
The Clay Matthews penalty makes the NFL seem like a scam. It felt like I was watching the old-school WWF Saturday Night Main Event from the late 80’s. Highly entertaining and full o’ drama. But, really: Why are they wearing pads? A helmet? Let’s put flags on them!
Isn’t it amazing that in the Packers 100th season; the coaches, players and fans do not know the rules of the game?
I saw this tweet posted by Jim Owczarski: “Crazy stat of the day - 31% of all of the #Vikings offensive plays were run after the flag on Clay Matthews. Packers D was gassed late.”
I also saw that Marques Eversoll posted this to Twitter: “Kirk Cousins was 35-48 for 425 yards, 4 TD 1 INT. If the Clay Matthews flag wasn't thrown, Cousins woulda been 23-32 for 284 yards, 3 TD 2 INT.”
‘queens fans that I have talked to - and there were a number of them - also believe that the call on Matthews was absolutely nonsensical. They’re quick to point out that Rodgers got the same call earlier. They’re right. He did. Both were brutal calls that are indicative of the sports downward spiral. The difference between those calls is extreme however. When the call went in the Packers favor, the Packers were already getting a first down on the play as Griffen was penalized for being offsides, so the penalty simply nullified another penalty on the ‘queens and gifted the Packers 10-yards. When the call went in the ‘queens favor, it cost the Packers a victory. It cost Jaire his first career interception. It’s the type of call that could cost the Packers a the division, a first round bye, or possibly even home field throughout. It’s a horrific display of officiating. It’s really tough to stomach. And, worse yet, the NFL doesn’t even own up to the mistake. It’s unacceptable.
Had the Matthews hit been called correctly - no one really knows what’s correct any more, I guess. But, had the play been officiated like nearly every other play in the history of the NFL, and the tone of this blog would be on the immediate impact that this team has received from Jaire Alexander, Josh Jackson, Mike Pettine, and JK Scott. The Packers would’ve beaten the ‘queens not off of the 2-time MVPs arm but off of special teams and defense. Instead, we saw Minnesota’s kicker meltdown on two separate occasions and because of it, both teams are wondering “what if.”
As I write, I listen to the Dirty Heads “Phantoms of Summer: The Acoustic Sessions” album. It’s calming acoustic Reggae chop soothes the soul and bring perspective. The album also offers lyrical strength that relates to the NFL: “It burns higher and higher. They can't put out the fire. It burns higher and higher. They can't put out the fire.”
Here are my quick vibes from the last week:
Packers antagonists will laud Mike Zimmer for managing the clock and protecting his timeouts. I'm of the opposite mindset. Mike McCarthy's team outclassed Mike Zimmer's team for the first 58:30 of the game. Had Davante Adams caught the ball on 2-separate passes in the end zone, Zimmer would've taken the bus back to the Land of 10,000 Lakes with a 12-point loss and 2-timeouts in his pocket. But, Adams dropped the ball twice and he kept the 'queens alive. McCarthy's team was more physical for most of the game. McCarthy's team was better prepared. McCarthy kept with the crossing route, he also got his prized free agent TE involved. Zimmer had no answer except to continuously bench his CB's in an attempt to find a match-up that worked. Really, the only things that seemed to stop the Packers offense were Davante Adams dropping the ball and a couple of highly questionable officiating decisions that played a significant role in stymying drives that were potentially game altering.
An aggressive Mike McCarthy is a good Mike McCarthy. McCarthy was in attack mode. He played to win. I loved the Packers decision making with the exception of two of Rodgers' decisions at the line of scrimmage, which I'll get to shortly.
Aaron Rodgers is in a class of his own. But, let's come clean. A week after Rodgers was an absolute mastermind, down 20, at Lambeau Field, in the game that marked the start of the Packers 100th anniversary; well, one week later, Rodgers wasn't himself. He almost out-thought himself. His decision audible out of a pass and into a run on 3rd and short - up 2 - inside the Red Zone late in the 4th was costly as the 'queens blew up the play. And, then, he made a devastating decision when he kept the ball and lost control of it on 2nd and short when the Packers were in FG range in OT. Had Rodgers simply handed the ball to J-Will, he'd have definitely gotten back to the line of scrimmage and kept the Packers within Crosby's range.
G-Mo finna be a fixture in this offense for years to come. He’s been a reliable 3rd down target. A YAC gatherer. Special teams, too, yo!
Kenny Clark. Dude dominates.
Jostling Jaire looks like T-Buck with a punch to him. Love the way he carries himself. A shepherd for positivity on the defensive side of the ball. Kid loves to celebrate. He’s shockingly physical. I can dig on that.
JJ and Jostling Jaire on the double slot blitz looks like a thing to come.
JJ has a pick coming. Soon. Love the way he tries to undercut routes and goes full extension on his leap to defend passes.
I don’t believe that Pettine trusted Jostling Jaire on the outside, at this stage. Hence, he went to House. And, he got burned.
It was nice to see the harmony between Rodgers and Graham. Let’s hope that’s a sign of what is to come.
Randall Cobb has been a Jedi after the catch.
Stoked to see Aaron Jones returning to the lineup! In a perfect world, he will have grown in the pass blocking game like Ty and J-Will have. J-Will and Ty have both been beasts as pass protectors to start the season.
Can’t wait to see Oren Burks making his debut this Sunday. Somehow, Someway this team needs to improve its pass rush. I’m hoping that Burks will be able to get home on inside blitzes. Dude is a dawg!
MVS is on the board! 1 catch for 3 yards. I want to see him running underneath a deep ball this week out of the slot. He should get a free release and very little attention. Could be a big play waiting in the wings.
Not to fully complain about the officiating, but I wouldn’t be showing my emotions in a justifiable fashion without pointing out how one-sided the game was called on significant plays. The holding call on Lane Taylor that negated the Jimmy Graham TD and a 3-score lead was highly questionable. I thought it was fairly clear that Richardson slipped on the play. The two back-to-back pass interference plays in the second quarter with the Packers looking to take a two-score lead left the Packers on the wrong end of the stick. On the first play, Graham was clearly interfered with, but there was no call. One play later, yes, Adams created separation with his hand, but that’s called roughly 50% of the time. It was terrible officiating for the Packers to get a bum deal on both calls - especially at Lambeau Field.
On the play after the Matthews penalty, Mo Wilk had a chance to seal it and he couldn’t hold on.
Mason Crosby is normally money on that game winning kick. I had no doubt in my mind that he was going to make the kick. He missed it.
Davon House. Unacceptable. Absolutely terrible. In one play, Minnesota was right back in the game. Terrible defense by the veteran CB.
As I mentioned last week, I'm going to use the fanspeak.com website to put together a Mock Draft on a weekly basis. I'm really pulling for Saints losses to pile up. They have tough road games at Atlanta and at the NYG on the horizon. The schedule doesn't get easier for them either as they will have games against ATL, TB, CAR (x2), Pitt, MN, Philly and the Rams after this 2-game stretch. Can you imagine if NO has a 7-9 season and the Packers net a top 14 pick in the trade last year? That'd be yoeman's work from Gutekunst. For this week, I didn't draft anyone that was not on their recently updated board. As I also stated last week, I wanted to try and mix things up from week-to-week. Here's what I came up with this week:
Round 1a - Nkeal Harry, WR, ASU
Round 1b - Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State
Round 2 - David Edward, OT, WI
Round 3 - Kaden Smith, TE, Stanford
Round 4 - Jordan Fuller, S, Ohio State
Round 5 - Carl Granderson, EDGE, Wyoming
Round 6a - Deshaun Davis, LB, Auburn
Round 6b - Jordan Miller, CB, Washington
Round 7 - Cody Thompson, WR, Toledo
This week - the Packers travel to Washington to take on the Redskins. It'll be a challenge to escape this vat of negativity. It'll be a test for the Packers to be emotionally ready. It's their first road game of the year. They're coming off of two highly intense, playoff atmosphere, home games. Now, they'll head to the Nation's capital to find a stadium that won't be stuffed with football maniacs. The 'Skins are coming off an embarrassing home loss. And, in today's week-to-week league, you have to imagine that the 'Skins play with pizzazz. They'll be ready. And, when you're destined for a 7-9 season, as the 'Skins are, you're going to have really bad weeks and you're going to have really good weeks. The Packers better be ready for Washington's best shot.
Offensively, look for the Redskins to utilize ball-control. They'll be patient. They'll try to pound Adrian Peterson on early downs and look to find themselves in 3rd & 4 or less to go for a first-down. Then, they'll try to utilize Alex Smith's smart decision making and accuracy to move the sticks. Smith will quickly look to the check downs to Chris Thompson out of the backfield. Blake Martinez better be ready to cover and make open field tackles on the elusive Thompson. Smith's first option will be Jamison Crowder though. Crowder will live in the slot and he'll mostly sit down just past the first-down marker. Crowder is a witty route runner and possesses reliable hands. Jordan Reed isn't what he used to be, but he's still a dangerous target down the seam. Throughout the years, Reed has had big games against the Packers defense. Josh Doctson and Paul Richardson are deep threats for Washington. The Packers should match up well against both Doctson and Richardson. Look for Mo-Wilk, Mike Daniels and Kenny Clark to collapse the pocket against Chase Roullier and Casey Dunn - who will likely be playing for the injured Shaun Lauvao. The left interior of the 'Skins line does not resemble the Hogs that I grew up watching in Washington DC. They can be had.
Defensively, Washington has an intriguingly young team that is both overly aggressive and extremely confident. The 'Skins have invested mightily in their defense. They start three first round picks and a second round pick. They also start two prized Free Agent signings in Zach Brown and Josh Norman. DJ Swearinger brings attitude to the safety position and Mason Foster is a steady LB that won't be found making mistakes. Ryan Kerrigan, Jonathan Allen, and Da'Ron Payne are disruptive. Ziggy Hood and Matt Ioannidis add good depth to the DL. Pernell McPhee can still rush the QB on 3rd down and must be accounted for. The secondary has youthful, developing talent in Montae Nicholson, Fabian Moreau, Greg Stroman, Troy Apke and Adonis Alexander. Look for Quinton Dunbar to get the start across from Josh Norman. Rodgers will target Dunbar early and often.
My guess is that the Packers receive a big-time wake-up call early. The Packers come out lethargic. Emotionally unfit. The Redskins strike first, the 'Skins fans start to show excitement and carry belief.
But, Rodgers gets going. In a big way. He goes for Davante. It's Rodgers to Adams on consecutive plays for first downs. It's Rodgers to Adams for an equalizer.
Rodgers also finds Graham for a TD. And, this time, it counts!
Mike Daniels plays without fear of grabbing a penalty and latches onto his first sack of the year. Clay also collects a sack.
If the Packers are a legit early-season contender, they win 30-13. But, they aren't that far along yet. Instead, it's a dog fight and the Packers stave off a late Redskins rally.
Packers 24.
Redskins 20.
Go Pack Go!
Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
Saturday, September 15, 2018
My Take -> Week 2
Greetings, G-Force.
1-0. In smiling fashion. It's always a delight to remind ourselves that the Bears Still Suck. But, when it happens in fairy tale fashion as we're staring at the Al Michaels focused spotlight of Sunday Night Football, the victory tastes even grander. Throw in the Khalil Mack story line and the 20-0 deficit and the comeback and well, a grown man, yeah a grown man, well, he can grow far from dry eyed.
See, let me tell y'all a story. We have all been kids. Dreaming of what it was like to be a big star in life. I grew up in the 80's. In Green Bay, WI. People called it Titletown, U.S.A. That didn't make sense to me. The Packers were far from title contenders when I was a tike. We had tailgates and we had family. Those big, bad city boys had the Bears and they felt mean. They were intimidating to a single digit aged lil' boy. They were loud. They were rambunctious. They were scary. They had no commonality for the humanity that lived in my hometown. In some ways, it felt like Green Bay was little pieces settled on their own ways. It was a big reason that I've grown to hold a massive disdain for the Chicago Bears. The Bears would play the Packers and the city boys would be calling around. So, growing up in the small town when all the big stars played in the big city, it felt like all of the beautiful things had to come in big places. That thought seemed far fetched and unfair. The small town that owned an NFL franchise needed to come around and stop spinning. It needed to, once again, feel proud. In 1992, Ron Wolf, Mike Holmgren and Brett Favre woke up the Franchise. They instilled the dreams I'd heard about the old school Packers franchise into the youthful fan base. Being a Packer fan no longer hurt the most. Lambeau field was no longer a pleasant host to the competition. The Wolf, Holmgren, and Favre combination eliminated the ghosts of years past. We found fortune. We found fame. And, with the Wolf, Holmgren, and Favre arrival, the Packers and Bears rivalry took a trapeze-like swing on the pendulum into the Packers favor. After the glorious Packers victory last Sunday, since 1992, the Packers are 39-14 against the hated big-city, annoyingly boisterous rival to the South.
Shine on, Packers fans. The Bears Still Suck!
This week - I received the Grateful Dead 5/19/74 vinyl in the mail. A crystallized copy from Portland's Memorial Coliseum. It's beautiful. Buy it.
Here are my vibes from the last week:
* I kept thinking of the first verse of the Bears Still Suck last night as I watched my text messages from Bears fans flow in during the first half last night:
“How many times must we take this disgrace?
Another Bears fan throwing insults in our face.
The Packers are the greatest team to ever play the game.
Even if from time to time they've been a little lame.”
* The Bears Still Suck. Yes, The Bears Still Suck.
* Rob Demovsky posted this stat and it blew me away: Entering Sunday, the Packers had a record of 0-107 in the regular season -- and 0-4 in postseason -- when entering the fourth quarter facing a deficit of 17 or more points, according to ELIAS. Yes, the Bears Still Suck!
* Aaron Rodgers. A Herculean effort. A heroic performance. Historically profound. He’s supernatural. It's one I'll remember for eternity. And, if there's ever a day in which I don't remember it, I'd prefer to not be alive. I mean, seriously, consider it. The dude was carted off. When is the last time you've seen someone carted off of a football game and re-enter the playing field. Like, never? Yeah, well, Aaron Rodgers came back. He came back down 20-0. To the most hated rival in all of sports. Small town hosting big city. And, Aaron Rodgers showed that he's the biggest pimp in the NFL. Total stallion. Man. I love that dude. What a win. Aaron. Freakin'. Rodgers. Wow.
* Davante Adams. Flash those arms with potency! With 11:20 to play, the Packers trailed 20-10. They faced 2nd and 10. 75 yards from pay dirt. Over the net 2:19, Adams had 3 catches totaling 69 yards and a TD. Suddenly, the Packers were within striking distance. Don't be mistaken, there's more of this to come.
* GERONIMO! His role cannot be understated. None of the magic could've happened without G-Mo. Among the biggest plays - and there were many of them - was when the Packers trailed 20-3 and facing 3rd and 14 from their own 15. Rodgers hit Allison 2 yards short of the 1st down marker, but G-Mo had the wit to lunge forward across the 1st down marker. On the next play, Rodgers hit Allison for 12 against Fuller for another Packers first down. Rodgers hit Allison again on the next play and although the yardage gain was minimal, suddenly, Packers felt the vibe that something good was cookin'. Three plays later, Rodgers found Allison streaking down the field in single coverage against the Bears top CB. Of course, the Packers #3 CB owns TRUMP CARD over the Bears #1 CB. The play resulted in 39 yards and a Packers Touchdown. The TD pass hit all of the beautiful rainbow color spectrums. Suddenly, there was belief.
* Randall Cobb. Let's go outside. Yes, let's go outside and play. Let's be kids against dunce mates. Oh, those poor soul Bear fates. First, it was 4th & 8 from the 48 with 00:38 to clinch the NFC North Crown and then it's 75 yards of blissful grace to culminate a 20-point comeback victory. Blessing, Randall. For now. Forever. Memories arched in commanding fashion.
* David Bakhtiari. All-Pro. He dominates.
* The Packers made great offensive adjustments when Rodgers first got hurt. Yes, the offense got into a rhythm. And, Rodgers was getting rid of the ball quickly. But, from a coaching perspective, the routes also didn’t appear to be as long to develop as initially designed. The no-huddle offense that was utilized in the second half also picked up the pace of the game and appeared to wear down the Bears defensive front. On an individual basis, McCray and Bulaga were manhandled in the first half, but both seemed to really dig in and settle down. Both showed great grit as the game wore on. Big ups to both of them!
* The Rodgers injury is scary. What makes Rodgers so unique is his ability to extend plays with his legs and then throw on the run. His legs make him an incomparable talent. If his mobility is going to be limited and if he’s going to more or less be a statue in the pocket, it severely handicaps the game plan and limits Rodgers’ ability to escape pressure. This injury can't linger or it'll cripple the season.
* Offensively, I thought the game plan adjustments really started when Rodgers went out. Early in the game, there was a high level of predictability. I don’t believe that the Packers showed the Bears defense any respect. Admittedly, I never watched the replay of the first half, but other than the dump off to Montgomery, it looked like the Packers were running slower developing, deep route plays and Rodgers didn’t seem to have any options underneath when the Bears DL was dominating the line of scrimmage. When Kizer came in, we saw the return of the crossing route and in turn, the Packers started to move the football.
* I'm likely along here, but I have not lost confidence in Kizer. Yes, I wish he was the #3 QB with a proven, veteran QB as the back-up. But, what we saw on the opening drive of the Bears game and for most of the preseason is who Kizer is. He was a decent quarterback between the 20’s, but he couldn’t finish drives last year. He was turnover prone and he had poor ball placement. My sense is that Kizer has the desire to be a great QB and with proper coaching, he’ll develop into a QB that will learn to finish drives.
* Defensively, I felt the Packers were fortunate that the Bears went away from the shenanigans, the gimmick style plays. Had the Bears stuck with the trickery, I’m not sure how long it’d have taken the Packers to solve it. But, when the Bears went to a more traditional, somewhat conservative offense, Pettine was able to show his disguised blitzes on defense. I was really impressed how Pettine overloaded the right side of the Bears OL and got in Trubisky’s face. Pettine’s pressure along with the noise from the Lambeau Faithful seemed to make the moment too big for Trubisky over the last 20 minutes of the game.
* I’ll forever wonder what the Packers offered him. He certainly fits the Packers most pressing need. And, I guess it’ll be extremely logical to play the “what if” game surrounding Mack for years to come. Unless, of course, Gutekunst crushes the 1st round next year with a couple of stallion EDGE rushers.
* I really liked the confidence that Jackson and Alexander brought to the secondary. Between Jackson, Alexander and King there was a swagger to the group. It was also nice to see Tramon flying around the field. Alexander really looks like a physical, tough minded tackler. He brings an attitude. A community to the group that can’t be overstated. And, I think the Bears last drive of the game was an indication of what’s to come. We saw Jackson break up a pass over the middle, we saw King blanketing Allen Robinson down the sideline, we saw Alexander breaking up the 4th down pass that Clay was penalized on and we saw a coverage sack on the 4th down sack by Perry to seal the game. A very impressive Week 1 performance for the young secondary.
* Kentrell Brice was phenomenal.
* Kenny Clark is a beast. He's ready to dominate in 2018.
* Mo Wilk was close on a couple of occasions. Trubisky was too elusive for him. Mo Wilk will get home this year.
* 2:59 to play. 2 & 13. Bears ball at the 25. The Packers are grinding to get a stop. The Bears run Jordan Howard. The Packers are lined up perfectly to stop the play. But, HaHa wimps out and doesn't plug the hole. Brotherman Haha, we need you, my man. Belly up. Fill the hole. Seal the deal.
* Clay Matthews. Yikes!
* Macho man Mike Pettine scared me. 3:28 left. Game apparently on the line. Bears ball. 3rd and 7. From the 49. And, Pettine rushed 3? I was gutted. But, Pettine responded. On the last drive of the game, Pettine faced two third downs and on both, he came with heavy pressure. And, on both instances, Trubisky hurried his throw and threw incomplete.
* Props to Antonio Morrison and Jermaine Whitehead for making the special teams tackle at the 18 to ensure that the Bears had a long field on the last drive.
* Mason Crosby. Young soul. Wise old man veins. Cold blooded. Zero fear to that man.
* I’ve decided to add a new segment to the weekly blog. Each week - I’m going to post a 2019 Packers mock draft. Thank you to the Bucs for their win over the Saints. It’ll be fun to cheer against the Saints each week. As always, I only draft players who I’ve studied. I’m going to do a couple of mock drafts over at fanspeak.com and I’ll post my favorite result of the week. If a player is not on the fanspeak draft board, I will draft him at the approximate round that I envision him being selected. I’ll do my best to frequently mix up my picks.
Round 1a Noah Fant, TE, Iowa.
Round 1b Brian Burns, EDGE, FSU.
Round 2 Joe Jackson, EDGE, []__[].
Round 3 Mitch Hyatt, T, Clemson.
Round 4 Nate Hall, ILB, Northwestern.
Round 5 JoJo McIntosh, S, Washington.
Round 6a Darrell Williams, ILB, Auburn.
Round 6b Jonathan Ledbetter, EDGE, Georgia.
Round 7 Kavontae Turpin, WR/KR, TCU.
This week - it's the 'queens from Minnesota. Fresh off a victory over San Francisco in which they played with very little emotion. It almost felt like the 'queens were saving themselves for this weekend. You know that the 'queens circle 2-games a year. They want to beat the Packers.
Against the Bears, we saw the Packers mental fortitude. It had appeared as though the Packers were defeated, but the team showed the mental capacity to overcome deficit. This week, the Packers will be faced with a new set of fortitude challenges. The Packers will have to battle the emotional deficit. While Minnesota coasted to a relatively easy victory, Green Bay had a hard fought prime time battle against their arch-nemesis. Now, one week later, the field will be lit by sun rather than bright lights. Gone is the Week 1 adrenaline rush and the freshness of a new season. It's time to grind. The Packers have to be able to press the refresh button and start anew from an emotional perspective. If not, the chances of victory are bleak. Additionally, the Packers must be ready to perform from the onset.
At 2-0, one would have to feel good about the Packers playoff chances to start the year. Especially in a season in which the Saints, Falcons, Seahawks, Lions, Cowboys, 49ers and Giants all suffered early season losses. Further, the ACF went 3-1 against the NFC in Week 1. Those statistics end up at the end of the year.
Against the 'queens, the Packers will be challenged to see how far we’ve come on the defensive side of the ball. Can we pressure Cousins? The 49ers were able to get in Cousins’ face. The Packers need to do the same. In the past, Thielen and Diggs have been tough to stop. But, the Packers new secondary has to be up to the task. Dalvin Cook will pound at the defensive front, but Daniels, Clark, Mo Wilk and Lowry have to be up to the task. If the 'queens are vulnerable, it's on the offensive line. The Packers DL has to outplay the MN OL.
Defensively, Minnesota will bring the heat. They have talent. In abundance. Anthony Barr, Linval Joseph, Harrison Smith, Danielle Hunter, Shelon Richardson, Eric Kendricks, Andrew Sendejo, Everson Griffen, Trae Waynes and Xavier Rhodes. Studs. All on defense. Scary. Mike Hughes, their first round pick, is someone that I really admired coming out of college. I liked his game. He added a pick-6 in Week 1. Rodgers, assuming he plays, will have to get rid of the ball quickly. He'll need outlets underneath. Rodgers will look to beat Waynes and Hughes on quick passes.
Expect Minnesota's offense to try and grind it out early to slow down the pace of the Packers front. But, the Packers defensive front is up to the task. Mo Wilk and Nick Perry each grab sacks.
Look for the Packers to show some 3-TE sets early to slow down the pace of the MN defense and to slow down the game. Eventually, the Packers will go no-huddle, but not early. McCarthy will want to test the physicality of his team. Williams runs behind Bulaga and Lewis to the right side of the field.
It'll be important for McCarthy to show the versatility of his offense to wear down the Minnesota defense. McCarthy has options. He has to be patient and use those options early.
Minnesota will likely come with a traditional offensive attack. It'll be important for the Packers defense to nut-up and trust Pettine's schemes. The defense will give up yards, but has to prevent TD's.
T-Mon grabs a pick.
Rodgers shows guts. Adams gets nasty. Graham finds pay dirt.
Crosby connects late.
Packers 20.
'queens 19.
Go Pack Go!
Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
1-0. In smiling fashion. It's always a delight to remind ourselves that the Bears Still Suck. But, when it happens in fairy tale fashion as we're staring at the Al Michaels focused spotlight of Sunday Night Football, the victory tastes even grander. Throw in the Khalil Mack story line and the 20-0 deficit and the comeback and well, a grown man, yeah a grown man, well, he can grow far from dry eyed.
See, let me tell y'all a story. We have all been kids. Dreaming of what it was like to be a big star in life. I grew up in the 80's. In Green Bay, WI. People called it Titletown, U.S.A. That didn't make sense to me. The Packers were far from title contenders when I was a tike. We had tailgates and we had family. Those big, bad city boys had the Bears and they felt mean. They were intimidating to a single digit aged lil' boy. They were loud. They were rambunctious. They were scary. They had no commonality for the humanity that lived in my hometown. In some ways, it felt like Green Bay was little pieces settled on their own ways. It was a big reason that I've grown to hold a massive disdain for the Chicago Bears. The Bears would play the Packers and the city boys would be calling around. So, growing up in the small town when all the big stars played in the big city, it felt like all of the beautiful things had to come in big places. That thought seemed far fetched and unfair. The small town that owned an NFL franchise needed to come around and stop spinning. It needed to, once again, feel proud. In 1992, Ron Wolf, Mike Holmgren and Brett Favre woke up the Franchise. They instilled the dreams I'd heard about the old school Packers franchise into the youthful fan base. Being a Packer fan no longer hurt the most. Lambeau field was no longer a pleasant host to the competition. The Wolf, Holmgren, and Favre combination eliminated the ghosts of years past. We found fortune. We found fame. And, with the Wolf, Holmgren, and Favre arrival, the Packers and Bears rivalry took a trapeze-like swing on the pendulum into the Packers favor. After the glorious Packers victory last Sunday, since 1992, the Packers are 39-14 against the hated big-city, annoyingly boisterous rival to the South.
Shine on, Packers fans. The Bears Still Suck!
This week - I received the Grateful Dead 5/19/74 vinyl in the mail. A crystallized copy from Portland's Memorial Coliseum. It's beautiful. Buy it.
Here are my vibes from the last week:
* I kept thinking of the first verse of the Bears Still Suck last night as I watched my text messages from Bears fans flow in during the first half last night:
“How many times must we take this disgrace?
Another Bears fan throwing insults in our face.
The Packers are the greatest team to ever play the game.
Even if from time to time they've been a little lame.”
* The Bears Still Suck. Yes, The Bears Still Suck.
* Rob Demovsky posted this stat and it blew me away: Entering Sunday, the Packers had a record of 0-107 in the regular season -- and 0-4 in postseason -- when entering the fourth quarter facing a deficit of 17 or more points, according to ELIAS. Yes, the Bears Still Suck!
* Aaron Rodgers. A Herculean effort. A heroic performance. Historically profound. He’s supernatural. It's one I'll remember for eternity. And, if there's ever a day in which I don't remember it, I'd prefer to not be alive. I mean, seriously, consider it. The dude was carted off. When is the last time you've seen someone carted off of a football game and re-enter the playing field. Like, never? Yeah, well, Aaron Rodgers came back. He came back down 20-0. To the most hated rival in all of sports. Small town hosting big city. And, Aaron Rodgers showed that he's the biggest pimp in the NFL. Total stallion. Man. I love that dude. What a win. Aaron. Freakin'. Rodgers. Wow.
* Davante Adams. Flash those arms with potency! With 11:20 to play, the Packers trailed 20-10. They faced 2nd and 10. 75 yards from pay dirt. Over the net 2:19, Adams had 3 catches totaling 69 yards and a TD. Suddenly, the Packers were within striking distance. Don't be mistaken, there's more of this to come.
* GERONIMO! His role cannot be understated. None of the magic could've happened without G-Mo. Among the biggest plays - and there were many of them - was when the Packers trailed 20-3 and facing 3rd and 14 from their own 15. Rodgers hit Allison 2 yards short of the 1st down marker, but G-Mo had the wit to lunge forward across the 1st down marker. On the next play, Rodgers hit Allison for 12 against Fuller for another Packers first down. Rodgers hit Allison again on the next play and although the yardage gain was minimal, suddenly, Packers felt the vibe that something good was cookin'. Three plays later, Rodgers found Allison streaking down the field in single coverage against the Bears top CB. Of course, the Packers #3 CB owns TRUMP CARD over the Bears #1 CB. The play resulted in 39 yards and a Packers Touchdown. The TD pass hit all of the beautiful rainbow color spectrums. Suddenly, there was belief.
* Randall Cobb. Let's go outside. Yes, let's go outside and play. Let's be kids against dunce mates. Oh, those poor soul Bear fates. First, it was 4th & 8 from the 48 with 00:38 to clinch the NFC North Crown and then it's 75 yards of blissful grace to culminate a 20-point comeback victory. Blessing, Randall. For now. Forever. Memories arched in commanding fashion.
* David Bakhtiari. All-Pro. He dominates.
* The Packers made great offensive adjustments when Rodgers first got hurt. Yes, the offense got into a rhythm. And, Rodgers was getting rid of the ball quickly. But, from a coaching perspective, the routes also didn’t appear to be as long to develop as initially designed. The no-huddle offense that was utilized in the second half also picked up the pace of the game and appeared to wear down the Bears defensive front. On an individual basis, McCray and Bulaga were manhandled in the first half, but both seemed to really dig in and settle down. Both showed great grit as the game wore on. Big ups to both of them!
* The Rodgers injury is scary. What makes Rodgers so unique is his ability to extend plays with his legs and then throw on the run. His legs make him an incomparable talent. If his mobility is going to be limited and if he’s going to more or less be a statue in the pocket, it severely handicaps the game plan and limits Rodgers’ ability to escape pressure. This injury can't linger or it'll cripple the season.
* Offensively, I thought the game plan adjustments really started when Rodgers went out. Early in the game, there was a high level of predictability. I don’t believe that the Packers showed the Bears defense any respect. Admittedly, I never watched the replay of the first half, but other than the dump off to Montgomery, it looked like the Packers were running slower developing, deep route plays and Rodgers didn’t seem to have any options underneath when the Bears DL was dominating the line of scrimmage. When Kizer came in, we saw the return of the crossing route and in turn, the Packers started to move the football.
* I'm likely along here, but I have not lost confidence in Kizer. Yes, I wish he was the #3 QB with a proven, veteran QB as the back-up. But, what we saw on the opening drive of the Bears game and for most of the preseason is who Kizer is. He was a decent quarterback between the 20’s, but he couldn’t finish drives last year. He was turnover prone and he had poor ball placement. My sense is that Kizer has the desire to be a great QB and with proper coaching, he’ll develop into a QB that will learn to finish drives.
* Defensively, I felt the Packers were fortunate that the Bears went away from the shenanigans, the gimmick style plays. Had the Bears stuck with the trickery, I’m not sure how long it’d have taken the Packers to solve it. But, when the Bears went to a more traditional, somewhat conservative offense, Pettine was able to show his disguised blitzes on defense. I was really impressed how Pettine overloaded the right side of the Bears OL and got in Trubisky’s face. Pettine’s pressure along with the noise from the Lambeau Faithful seemed to make the moment too big for Trubisky over the last 20 minutes of the game.
* I’ll forever wonder what the Packers offered him. He certainly fits the Packers most pressing need. And, I guess it’ll be extremely logical to play the “what if” game surrounding Mack for years to come. Unless, of course, Gutekunst crushes the 1st round next year with a couple of stallion EDGE rushers.
* I really liked the confidence that Jackson and Alexander brought to the secondary. Between Jackson, Alexander and King there was a swagger to the group. It was also nice to see Tramon flying around the field. Alexander really looks like a physical, tough minded tackler. He brings an attitude. A community to the group that can’t be overstated. And, I think the Bears last drive of the game was an indication of what’s to come. We saw Jackson break up a pass over the middle, we saw King blanketing Allen Robinson down the sideline, we saw Alexander breaking up the 4th down pass that Clay was penalized on and we saw a coverage sack on the 4th down sack by Perry to seal the game. A very impressive Week 1 performance for the young secondary.
* Kentrell Brice was phenomenal.
* Kenny Clark is a beast. He's ready to dominate in 2018.
* Mo Wilk was close on a couple of occasions. Trubisky was too elusive for him. Mo Wilk will get home this year.
* 2:59 to play. 2 & 13. Bears ball at the 25. The Packers are grinding to get a stop. The Bears run Jordan Howard. The Packers are lined up perfectly to stop the play. But, HaHa wimps out and doesn't plug the hole. Brotherman Haha, we need you, my man. Belly up. Fill the hole. Seal the deal.
* Clay Matthews. Yikes!
* Macho man Mike Pettine scared me. 3:28 left. Game apparently on the line. Bears ball. 3rd and 7. From the 49. And, Pettine rushed 3? I was gutted. But, Pettine responded. On the last drive of the game, Pettine faced two third downs and on both, he came with heavy pressure. And, on both instances, Trubisky hurried his throw and threw incomplete.
* Props to Antonio Morrison and Jermaine Whitehead for making the special teams tackle at the 18 to ensure that the Bears had a long field on the last drive.
* Mason Crosby. Young soul. Wise old man veins. Cold blooded. Zero fear to that man.
* I’ve decided to add a new segment to the weekly blog. Each week - I’m going to post a 2019 Packers mock draft. Thank you to the Bucs for their win over the Saints. It’ll be fun to cheer against the Saints each week. As always, I only draft players who I’ve studied. I’m going to do a couple of mock drafts over at fanspeak.com and I’ll post my favorite result of the week. If a player is not on the fanspeak draft board, I will draft him at the approximate round that I envision him being selected. I’ll do my best to frequently mix up my picks.
Round 1a Noah Fant, TE, Iowa.
Round 1b Brian Burns, EDGE, FSU.
Round 2 Joe Jackson, EDGE, []__[].
Round 3 Mitch Hyatt, T, Clemson.
Round 4 Nate Hall, ILB, Northwestern.
Round 5 JoJo McIntosh, S, Washington.
Round 6a Darrell Williams, ILB, Auburn.
Round 6b Jonathan Ledbetter, EDGE, Georgia.
Round 7 Kavontae Turpin, WR/KR, TCU.
This week - it's the 'queens from Minnesota. Fresh off a victory over San Francisco in which they played with very little emotion. It almost felt like the 'queens were saving themselves for this weekend. You know that the 'queens circle 2-games a year. They want to beat the Packers.
Against the Bears, we saw the Packers mental fortitude. It had appeared as though the Packers were defeated, but the team showed the mental capacity to overcome deficit. This week, the Packers will be faced with a new set of fortitude challenges. The Packers will have to battle the emotional deficit. While Minnesota coasted to a relatively easy victory, Green Bay had a hard fought prime time battle against their arch-nemesis. Now, one week later, the field will be lit by sun rather than bright lights. Gone is the Week 1 adrenaline rush and the freshness of a new season. It's time to grind. The Packers have to be able to press the refresh button and start anew from an emotional perspective. If not, the chances of victory are bleak. Additionally, the Packers must be ready to perform from the onset.
At 2-0, one would have to feel good about the Packers playoff chances to start the year. Especially in a season in which the Saints, Falcons, Seahawks, Lions, Cowboys, 49ers and Giants all suffered early season losses. Further, the ACF went 3-1 against the NFC in Week 1. Those statistics end up at the end of the year.
Against the 'queens, the Packers will be challenged to see how far we’ve come on the defensive side of the ball. Can we pressure Cousins? The 49ers were able to get in Cousins’ face. The Packers need to do the same. In the past, Thielen and Diggs have been tough to stop. But, the Packers new secondary has to be up to the task. Dalvin Cook will pound at the defensive front, but Daniels, Clark, Mo Wilk and Lowry have to be up to the task. If the 'queens are vulnerable, it's on the offensive line. The Packers DL has to outplay the MN OL.
Defensively, Minnesota will bring the heat. They have talent. In abundance. Anthony Barr, Linval Joseph, Harrison Smith, Danielle Hunter, Shelon Richardson, Eric Kendricks, Andrew Sendejo, Everson Griffen, Trae Waynes and Xavier Rhodes. Studs. All on defense. Scary. Mike Hughes, their first round pick, is someone that I really admired coming out of college. I liked his game. He added a pick-6 in Week 1. Rodgers, assuming he plays, will have to get rid of the ball quickly. He'll need outlets underneath. Rodgers will look to beat Waynes and Hughes on quick passes.
Expect Minnesota's offense to try and grind it out early to slow down the pace of the Packers front. But, the Packers defensive front is up to the task. Mo Wilk and Nick Perry each grab sacks.
Look for the Packers to show some 3-TE sets early to slow down the pace of the MN defense and to slow down the game. Eventually, the Packers will go no-huddle, but not early. McCarthy will want to test the physicality of his team. Williams runs behind Bulaga and Lewis to the right side of the field.
It'll be important for McCarthy to show the versatility of his offense to wear down the Minnesota defense. McCarthy has options. He has to be patient and use those options early.
Minnesota will likely come with a traditional offensive attack. It'll be important for the Packers defense to nut-up and trust Pettine's schemes. The defense will give up yards, but has to prevent TD's.
T-Mon grabs a pick.
Rodgers shows guts. Adams gets nasty. Graham finds pay dirt.
Crosby connects late.
Packers 20.
'queens 19.
Go Pack Go!
Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
Thursday, September 6, 2018
My Take -> Week 1
Greetings, G-Force.
The anticipation is eating at me. The Packers, who are one year older than the NFL, prepare for their 100th season. Launching #100 against the hated Bears. For that, I give thanks as I listen to the Jimmy Cliff “Give Thanx” album.
Here are my quick vibes from the last week:
If Aaron Jones can master the art of pass blocking, he might become a top 5 back in the league. He has Rodgers’ trust. He has great vision. He has Quick feet. He has good hands. He has natural instincts as a runner that you simply can’t teach. But, he has to learn how to pass block.
As people, we all have quirky components that make us individuals. Some watch sitcoms. Some post videos or pictures of themselves to social media. Me? I listen to music and watch football - often times on mute. I scour college games in hopes of finding an up and coming prospect. In college, I loved Vince Biegel. Biegel failing in GB is exactly why I would never be qualified to be a scout. I was POSITIVE that he could play in the NFL. When drafted, I thought he was a 4th round steal. Instead, he was brutal. I try to pretend that I have a clue. I don’t.
The depth at OLB is overly concerning. I wish they’d sign Nate Orchard. I liked him coming out of college. He was injured early on, but he’s healthy now. He’d bring a physical presence to the EDGE and he showed pass rushing skills at the college level. Hau'oli Kikaha was a dominant OLB in college. I wish the Packers would take a look at him, too.
The Packers have tremendous talent on the DL. But, with the limited depth at OLB and with the Matthews & Perry injury histories; we could eventually see some version of a 3-2-6, a 4-2-5 or a 3-3-5. With that said, it might make sense to add depth on the DL.
Anthony Zettel is a proven pass rushing specialist. I hope the Packers claim him if no one puts in a waiver claim before them. Zettel isn't a game changer, but he's a hard worker who will apply pressure on the QB. Zettel won't be dropping into coverage, but he should be able to hold the edge in the run game and he'd be an experienced high-effort performer on the edge.
I’m happy that the Packers kept the young WRs. Tonyan at TE, too. All have humongous upside and offer great versatility to the offense. We might not see much of them early, but they’ll progress as the season ages and I’m confident that we will see Tonyan, ESB and MVS catching balls before the end of the year.
Kudos to James Crawford. He earned his roster spot. I had him pegged for the practice squad. He was close to getting home on a couple of inside blitzes throughout the preseason. But, he won with Special Teams. And, because of his efforts, he'll likely be active on GameDay early in the season.
Raven Greene also stepped up and earned himself a roster spot. He's showed quickness and a decent burst out of his breaks to pass defend.
Trevor Davis is on the active roster -- for now. And, while he's on the roster, expect to see him as a gunner on special teams and as the primary Kickoff and Punt Returner. Yes, he coughs up the ball and he's unimpressive as a WR, but he has been the best returner that we have one the roster.
It didn't get much attention, but a move that piqued my interest was when Gutekunst added Tony Brown to the Practice Squad. I was high on him coming out of college. Here's what I wrote: "Tony Brown, Alabama. Round 5-6. Dude flies. He ran a 4.35 40. Can play on the inside and the outside. Looks really strong. He's carved up. Should be an immediate star as a gunner on special teams. Like most Alabama CB's, he's willing to step up and take on a ball carrier as well. Wasn't much a factor in the turnover game." It wouldn't shock me to see him on the active roster at some point.
Heading into the 2018 Regular Season opener, I’m not as bullish as others. I see the Packers finishing 9-7 this year. The Packers will have to rely on Aaron Rodgers to bail them out late in games. I’m concerned about the depth on the OL, at ILB and at OLB. We’ve historically had health issues at OLB and OL and Burks is already banged up at ILB. Further, I’m really concerned about our play at Safety. There are areas of the team that will get exposed. We will see growing pains with our young CB’s, too. Regardless, I fully expect to watch an entertaining team during a transition season. The Packers will be a fun team to watch, but my sense is that we win less games than most are projecting. I’m hoping for 10 because if this team can make the playoffs, they should be in a position to be extremely dangerous.
Regardless of wins and losses, I'm under the impression that this team will be fascinating to watch. The Packers roster has a healthy amount of returning stars to bring familiarity to the roster. The Packers roster has a talented draft class that brings a mix of enthusiasm for the future and hope that they can make an immediate impact. The Packers roster has enough veteran Free Agent signings to bring confidence that the locker room will remain strong and that the new acquisitions will add game changing plays throughout the season. But, depth is a major concern on this roster.
It's beyond critical for the Packers to start the season 2-0. Both home games. Both against Division foes. The Packers must win them both or they'll be staring at an uphill climb throughout the season.
It's Bear Week. Week 1. At Lambeau Field. On Sunday Night Football. If that doesn't get you stoked, then you're not an NFL fan. Wildly, the NFL's oldest rivalry has an unfamiliar look. While the Packers have added a number of new players, a new defensive coordinator and a new offensive coordinator; the Bears have a new Head Coach, a new Offensive Coordinator and they've added a number of high priced Free Agents. The Bears are built to contend in the NFC North this year. And, frankly, they better. The Bears do not have a 1st round pick over the next two years. They don't have a second round pick this year and they'll be without a 3rd round pick the following year. Further, as of now, the Packers are nearly $15.5 million more under the cap than the Bears. Presently, the Packers are $39,284,649 under the 2019 cap; while the Bears are $23,841,114 under the cap. Additionally, the Packers are armed with two first round picks in next years draft. I admire the Bears aggressive approach towards Free Agency and the Mack trade, but the Bears better win now.
Mitch Trubisky will be the Bears starting QB. Is it me or has he already been crowned the Bears savior? Trubisky has a lot of unproven talent. He's athletic. He can throw on the run. But, let's be honest, he completed 59% of his passes, he threw 7 TD's and 7 interceptions and he averaged 6.6 yards per attempt. I understand that the Bears are pining for a QB that they hail as their own and I agree that Trubisky has a bunch of attractive qualities. However, prior to crowning him a savior, he needs to win football games. Trubisky has been given a plethora of weapons. The Bears spent significant money on Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and Trey Burton. Former first round pick, Kevin White, is finally healthy. The Bears also traded up to acquire Anthony Miller in the 2nd round of this years draft. Robinson was a top 5 WR in the league before he blew out his ACL. Gabriel has given the Packers troubles on the deep ball in the past. Burton will have an opportunity to showcase his skills as the premier TE in the Bears offense. He has the talent, but he's sometimes not mentally focused. Trubisky will have weapons, a new system and no excuses. He has to win.
With Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen, the Bears have an intriguing 1-2 combo at RB. Howard will pound it at you and wear down the defense. Cohen is a speed demon. I anticipate that the Bears will use Cohen in motion. We'll see Cohen lined up all over the field. He'll catch screens. He'll be spread out wide. The Bears might try to use Cohen in a somewhat similar fashion to how Kansas City uses Tyreek Hill on gimmick plays.
The Bears OL can be beaten. Charles Leno and Bobby Massie can both be pushed around. Nick Perry has to beat up Bobby Massie. All game. Eric Kush is a journeyman at Guard. He, too, can be moved backwards and he'll have his hands full with the physical Packers DL. Cody Whitehair has a gifted Center. He anchors well and is solid in the run game. Kyle Long is a superstar when he's healthy. I expect the Packers to be able to win the line of scrimmage against the Bears.
It'll be an interesting chess war between Mike Pettine and Matt Nagy. Neither will have any idea of what to expect. We'll see who is the sharper mind in Week 1. If Nagy outwits Pettine, the Bears could be in position to pull off the upset. If Pettine can fool the Bears young QB and force him into a couple of mistakes, the Packers should win by two scores. I also expect Pettine to design a couple of blitzes that leave a free rusher into the face of Trubisky. Trubisky is elusive. It'll be crucial for the Packers defense to finish plays and to show sure tackling ability.
Defensively, the Bears feel like they're ready to win the line of scrimmage. Akiem Hicks is an animal on the DL. Eddie Goldman and Jonathan Bullard are both high draft picks that are expected to have come of age. Leonard Floyd will be playing with a cast on his hand, but the Bears fully expect their 2016 1st round pick to be able to win with a speed rush around the edge. I question how much of an impact Khalil Mack will be able to make in Week 1, but the Bears should be bullish on his long term prospects. Roquan Smith, the Bears 1st round pick, was arguably my favorite player in the Draft. Danny Trevathan is a head-hunting, trash-talking intense ILB. The Bears have a front 7 that should be disruptive. At CB, I believe the Bears can be beaten and I don't think the Bears can cover the Packers on the outside. Prince Amukamara is an aged veteran who can't run with Davante Adams nor Geronimo Allison. Randall Cobb has had a number of big games against the Bears and I look for him to do the same against Bryce Callahan. Adrian Amos and Eddie Jackson are a young Safety tandem that surprised many last year. They excelled in the secondary.
I'm going to be curious to see how the Bears plan on covering Jimmy Graham. I don't see how they can possibly match-up.
Over the last couple of years, McCarthy has found success running the ball right at the gut of the Bears defense. He's won with physicality and then he's opened up the field and he's let Rodgers go to work. Hell, in Chicago last year, McCarthy won by letting Hundley open up the offense late.
Look for the Packers to give the ball to the 2-time MVP early. Let Rodgers run the no-huddle. 3 WR's. Jimmy Graham. J-Swag Williams. Let's attack with crossing routes. I don't believe the Bears can cover us and if Mack isn't on the field early, it'll be tough to sub him in. And, if he is on the field early, his endurance will be tested. Strategically, I'd look for a free play early.
The Lambeau Faithful arrives early. The fanbase arrives with electricity in the air. Fully anticipating a dominating performance. The fans help the Packers defense get off of the field early.
It's Rodgers to Adams. It's Rodgers to G-Mo. It's Rodgers to Graham for a Lambeau Leap. The place will be rockin'!
But, the Bears will be feisty. They'll be organized. They'll be disciplined. They'll hang tough. Howard will pound away. Nagy will find creative ways to get Cohen in space. Robinson will make a play. The Bears will hang around.
Early in the 4th, with tensions high, Pettine will alter the game. He'll confuse Trubisky. He'll force the mistake. T-Mon capitalizes with a pick.
I know Vic Fangio has had success against Rodgers in the past, but I fully expect the Packers to put up big points this weekend. I look for a much higher scoring affair than what most project.
Packers 34.
Bears 23.
THE BEARS STILL SUCK!
Go Pack Go!
Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
The anticipation is eating at me. The Packers, who are one year older than the NFL, prepare for their 100th season. Launching #100 against the hated Bears. For that, I give thanks as I listen to the Jimmy Cliff “Give Thanx” album.
Here are my quick vibes from the last week:
If Aaron Jones can master the art of pass blocking, he might become a top 5 back in the league. He has Rodgers’ trust. He has great vision. He has Quick feet. He has good hands. He has natural instincts as a runner that you simply can’t teach. But, he has to learn how to pass block.
As people, we all have quirky components that make us individuals. Some watch sitcoms. Some post videos or pictures of themselves to social media. Me? I listen to music and watch football - often times on mute. I scour college games in hopes of finding an up and coming prospect. In college, I loved Vince Biegel. Biegel failing in GB is exactly why I would never be qualified to be a scout. I was POSITIVE that he could play in the NFL. When drafted, I thought he was a 4th round steal. Instead, he was brutal. I try to pretend that I have a clue. I don’t.
The depth at OLB is overly concerning. I wish they’d sign Nate Orchard. I liked him coming out of college. He was injured early on, but he’s healthy now. He’d bring a physical presence to the EDGE and he showed pass rushing skills at the college level. Hau'oli Kikaha was a dominant OLB in college. I wish the Packers would take a look at him, too.
The Packers have tremendous talent on the DL. But, with the limited depth at OLB and with the Matthews & Perry injury histories; we could eventually see some version of a 3-2-6, a 4-2-5 or a 3-3-5. With that said, it might make sense to add depth on the DL.
Anthony Zettel is a proven pass rushing specialist. I hope the Packers claim him if no one puts in a waiver claim before them. Zettel isn't a game changer, but he's a hard worker who will apply pressure on the QB. Zettel won't be dropping into coverage, but he should be able to hold the edge in the run game and he'd be an experienced high-effort performer on the edge.
I’m happy that the Packers kept the young WRs. Tonyan at TE, too. All have humongous upside and offer great versatility to the offense. We might not see much of them early, but they’ll progress as the season ages and I’m confident that we will see Tonyan, ESB and MVS catching balls before the end of the year.
Kudos to James Crawford. He earned his roster spot. I had him pegged for the practice squad. He was close to getting home on a couple of inside blitzes throughout the preseason. But, he won with Special Teams. And, because of his efforts, he'll likely be active on GameDay early in the season.
Raven Greene also stepped up and earned himself a roster spot. He's showed quickness and a decent burst out of his breaks to pass defend.
Trevor Davis is on the active roster -- for now. And, while he's on the roster, expect to see him as a gunner on special teams and as the primary Kickoff and Punt Returner. Yes, he coughs up the ball and he's unimpressive as a WR, but he has been the best returner that we have one the roster.
It didn't get much attention, but a move that piqued my interest was when Gutekunst added Tony Brown to the Practice Squad. I was high on him coming out of college. Here's what I wrote: "Tony Brown, Alabama. Round 5-6. Dude flies. He ran a 4.35 40. Can play on the inside and the outside. Looks really strong. He's carved up. Should be an immediate star as a gunner on special teams. Like most Alabama CB's, he's willing to step up and take on a ball carrier as well. Wasn't much a factor in the turnover game." It wouldn't shock me to see him on the active roster at some point.
Heading into the 2018 Regular Season opener, I’m not as bullish as others. I see the Packers finishing 9-7 this year. The Packers will have to rely on Aaron Rodgers to bail them out late in games. I’m concerned about the depth on the OL, at ILB and at OLB. We’ve historically had health issues at OLB and OL and Burks is already banged up at ILB. Further, I’m really concerned about our play at Safety. There are areas of the team that will get exposed. We will see growing pains with our young CB’s, too. Regardless, I fully expect to watch an entertaining team during a transition season. The Packers will be a fun team to watch, but my sense is that we win less games than most are projecting. I’m hoping for 10 because if this team can make the playoffs, they should be in a position to be extremely dangerous.
Regardless of wins and losses, I'm under the impression that this team will be fascinating to watch. The Packers roster has a healthy amount of returning stars to bring familiarity to the roster. The Packers roster has a talented draft class that brings a mix of enthusiasm for the future and hope that they can make an immediate impact. The Packers roster has enough veteran Free Agent signings to bring confidence that the locker room will remain strong and that the new acquisitions will add game changing plays throughout the season. But, depth is a major concern on this roster.
It's beyond critical for the Packers to start the season 2-0. Both home games. Both against Division foes. The Packers must win them both or they'll be staring at an uphill climb throughout the season.
It's Bear Week. Week 1. At Lambeau Field. On Sunday Night Football. If that doesn't get you stoked, then you're not an NFL fan. Wildly, the NFL's oldest rivalry has an unfamiliar look. While the Packers have added a number of new players, a new defensive coordinator and a new offensive coordinator; the Bears have a new Head Coach, a new Offensive Coordinator and they've added a number of high priced Free Agents. The Bears are built to contend in the NFC North this year. And, frankly, they better. The Bears do not have a 1st round pick over the next two years. They don't have a second round pick this year and they'll be without a 3rd round pick the following year. Further, as of now, the Packers are nearly $15.5 million more under the cap than the Bears. Presently, the Packers are $39,284,649 under the 2019 cap; while the Bears are $23,841,114 under the cap. Additionally, the Packers are armed with two first round picks in next years draft. I admire the Bears aggressive approach towards Free Agency and the Mack trade, but the Bears better win now.
Mitch Trubisky will be the Bears starting QB. Is it me or has he already been crowned the Bears savior? Trubisky has a lot of unproven talent. He's athletic. He can throw on the run. But, let's be honest, he completed 59% of his passes, he threw 7 TD's and 7 interceptions and he averaged 6.6 yards per attempt. I understand that the Bears are pining for a QB that they hail as their own and I agree that Trubisky has a bunch of attractive qualities. However, prior to crowning him a savior, he needs to win football games. Trubisky has been given a plethora of weapons. The Bears spent significant money on Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and Trey Burton. Former first round pick, Kevin White, is finally healthy. The Bears also traded up to acquire Anthony Miller in the 2nd round of this years draft. Robinson was a top 5 WR in the league before he blew out his ACL. Gabriel has given the Packers troubles on the deep ball in the past. Burton will have an opportunity to showcase his skills as the premier TE in the Bears offense. He has the talent, but he's sometimes not mentally focused. Trubisky will have weapons, a new system and no excuses. He has to win.
With Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen, the Bears have an intriguing 1-2 combo at RB. Howard will pound it at you and wear down the defense. Cohen is a speed demon. I anticipate that the Bears will use Cohen in motion. We'll see Cohen lined up all over the field. He'll catch screens. He'll be spread out wide. The Bears might try to use Cohen in a somewhat similar fashion to how Kansas City uses Tyreek Hill on gimmick plays.
The Bears OL can be beaten. Charles Leno and Bobby Massie can both be pushed around. Nick Perry has to beat up Bobby Massie. All game. Eric Kush is a journeyman at Guard. He, too, can be moved backwards and he'll have his hands full with the physical Packers DL. Cody Whitehair has a gifted Center. He anchors well and is solid in the run game. Kyle Long is a superstar when he's healthy. I expect the Packers to be able to win the line of scrimmage against the Bears.
It'll be an interesting chess war between Mike Pettine and Matt Nagy. Neither will have any idea of what to expect. We'll see who is the sharper mind in Week 1. If Nagy outwits Pettine, the Bears could be in position to pull off the upset. If Pettine can fool the Bears young QB and force him into a couple of mistakes, the Packers should win by two scores. I also expect Pettine to design a couple of blitzes that leave a free rusher into the face of Trubisky. Trubisky is elusive. It'll be crucial for the Packers defense to finish plays and to show sure tackling ability.
Defensively, the Bears feel like they're ready to win the line of scrimmage. Akiem Hicks is an animal on the DL. Eddie Goldman and Jonathan Bullard are both high draft picks that are expected to have come of age. Leonard Floyd will be playing with a cast on his hand, but the Bears fully expect their 2016 1st round pick to be able to win with a speed rush around the edge. I question how much of an impact Khalil Mack will be able to make in Week 1, but the Bears should be bullish on his long term prospects. Roquan Smith, the Bears 1st round pick, was arguably my favorite player in the Draft. Danny Trevathan is a head-hunting, trash-talking intense ILB. The Bears have a front 7 that should be disruptive. At CB, I believe the Bears can be beaten and I don't think the Bears can cover the Packers on the outside. Prince Amukamara is an aged veteran who can't run with Davante Adams nor Geronimo Allison. Randall Cobb has had a number of big games against the Bears and I look for him to do the same against Bryce Callahan. Adrian Amos and Eddie Jackson are a young Safety tandem that surprised many last year. They excelled in the secondary.
I'm going to be curious to see how the Bears plan on covering Jimmy Graham. I don't see how they can possibly match-up.
Over the last couple of years, McCarthy has found success running the ball right at the gut of the Bears defense. He's won with physicality and then he's opened up the field and he's let Rodgers go to work. Hell, in Chicago last year, McCarthy won by letting Hundley open up the offense late.
Look for the Packers to give the ball to the 2-time MVP early. Let Rodgers run the no-huddle. 3 WR's. Jimmy Graham. J-Swag Williams. Let's attack with crossing routes. I don't believe the Bears can cover us and if Mack isn't on the field early, it'll be tough to sub him in. And, if he is on the field early, his endurance will be tested. Strategically, I'd look for a free play early.
The Lambeau Faithful arrives early. The fanbase arrives with electricity in the air. Fully anticipating a dominating performance. The fans help the Packers defense get off of the field early.
It's Rodgers to Adams. It's Rodgers to G-Mo. It's Rodgers to Graham for a Lambeau Leap. The place will be rockin'!
But, the Bears will be feisty. They'll be organized. They'll be disciplined. They'll hang tough. Howard will pound away. Nagy will find creative ways to get Cohen in space. Robinson will make a play. The Bears will hang around.
Early in the 4th, with tensions high, Pettine will alter the game. He'll confuse Trubisky. He'll force the mistake. T-Mon capitalizes with a pick.
I know Vic Fangio has had success against Rodgers in the past, but I fully expect the Packers to put up big points this weekend. I look for a much higher scoring affair than what most project.
Packers 34.
Bears 23.
THE BEARS STILL SUCK!
Go Pack Go!
Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)