Saturday, November 28, 2020

My Take -> Week 12

Greetings, G-Force.

7-3. With one outlandishly poorly played half, the Packers relinquished control of the NFC. Because of it, not only will the Packers have to win games, but they’ll also have to scoreboard watch. This year, more than ever, the #1 sees is absolutely coveted. Only one team will get a bye. At halftime, the Packers were in the pole position. But, after 30 minutes of football misery, the Packers were dethroned with 6 games to play.

As I write, I sip a Weldwerks One Big Holiday. A Triple IPA. 11%. Hop heavy. It packs a punch. I listen to Culture’s Humble African album. Roots Reggae warms the soul.

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

Matt LaFleur has set high expectations for himself. So, when we see the offense sputtered like they did in the 3rd Qtr, it feels odd. I don’t understand why LaFleur stopped with the motion + disguise to start the 3rd. Looked fairly predictable from a normally sparkling mind.

Aaron Rodgers has been sensational in 2020. His personality is shining brightly. He’s been accurate. He’s been wise. One has to fancy that he wants two plays back from the Colts game: first, the interception and secondly, the final pass of regulation. On the interception, it was 1st and 20. Adams was running free across the middle of the field and would’ve picked up at least 10 yards. Instead, he was fooled by the coverage. I was surprised that Rodgers didn’t take the easy play. And, on the final play of regulation, if Rodgers had gone to his second read across the field, he’d have thrown a game winner to Tonyan.

Aaron Jones has been relatively quiet for two weeks in a row.

Davante Adams is marvelous.

I wonder how much Linsley’s back issues played a part in the botched snap?

Speaking of Linsley, I can’t imagine a scenario in which he will be back next year. I don’t see how the Packers can afford him. He will be greatly missed. In Jenkins last week, we saw his likely replacement.

Jon Runyan is a good football player.

Felt bad for MVS. He played a really good football game.

How is Darrius Shepherd on this football team? Liked seeing that Tavon Austin was brought in for a tryout. He’d be a major upgrade.

Big Bob Tonyan is earning himself a paycheck.

Good to see Lazard in action.

Spectacular play design on the pass to ESB.

Jace Sternberger is quietly looking more comfortable in this offense.

How does LaFleur tolerate Pettine’s consistent decision to have Preston Smith dropping in coverage? At some point, LaFleur has to assume some responsibility. Pettine continuously makes the same mistakes. He plays soft in coverage. His teams often drop into a ridiculously predictable zone coverage. Pettine comes with a 3-man rush. In these scenarios, he’s constantly getting burned! At what point, do they just line up and play man-to-man football? I like a lot of the players on this defense.

Raven Greene!

The near sack by Za’Darius. Hmmm. Awfully close. My biased eye thought the ball was loose and that he pushed it forward with his fingers. Wishful thinking, I know. But, I was certainly hoping that the call on the field would stand. Probably a bad take though.

Once again, the Packers defense was mostly unable to stop the run.

Jaire was one step away from a pick 6 that would’ve lived large for many years.

Nice to see Kenny Clark grabbing a sack.

Was happy for Kirksey on his interception.

I appreciate Matt LaFleur’s aggressiveness. I really do. But, on 4th and 1 with 3:15 left, you kick the FG to tie the game.

I’ll forever be curious as to why Rodgers spiked the ball with 43 seconds left from the 15 yard line.

This week - it’s the hated Bears traveling to Lambeau on Sunday Night Football. Thankfully, the weather shouldn’t play much of a factor. Temperatures are expected to be around 35 degrees with a light wind and no precipitation.

After starting 5-1, the Bears have lost 4 in a row. They’re reeling and on the ropes. A Packers win this weekend might send the Bears tumbling even further.

The Bears are a dangerous team this weekend. Trubisky will be back under Center. He’s auditioning for a new opportunity next year.

Ryan Pace and Matt Nagy have their back against the wall. If they miss the playoffs this year, there could be a significant change at the top for the Bears this offseason.

Fear can be a great motivator. And, desperate teams are dangerous teams. The Bears will show some trickery this weekend. Will it be a fake punt? An onside kick? A fake FG? A RB or WR pass? A flea flicker? I expect the Bears to pull out all of the stops.

Trubisky has all of the tools. In fact, I wouldn’t mind if he were with the Packers next year. But, Trubisky is still raw. If you keep him in the pocket, he won’t beat you. When Trubisky can roll to his right, he can make plays. He can also beat you with his legs as a runner. The Packers will need to spy Trubisky all game. I’d do so with either Greene or Martin.

Jimmy Graham will want to have a big game. After a couple of disappointing years in Green Bay, Graham has played well in Chicago.

The Packers cannot let Cordarrelle Patterson beat them as a Kick Returner.

With Robinson, Mooney and Miller; the Bears have three capable WR’s. Cole Kmet is a highly talented rookie TE.

The Bears OL has been a problem area. Starting Tackle, Charles Leno, has been banged up. The Packers DL has to dominate the line of scrimmage.

The Bears defense is spectacular. But, the Packers might catch a break if Akiem Hicks can’t go. Hicks is the heartbeat of the locker room. He trashes people. He’s hurt with a hamstring injury and might not play.

The Bears defense flies around the field with Khalil Mack, Mingo, Robert Quinn, Roquan Smith, and Danny Trevathan at LB.

Brent Urban has become a monster at DT.

Their secondary continues to play great football. Eddie Jackson remains an elite play making safety. Kyle Fuller is a shutdown CB. Jaylon Johnson has had a promising rookie year. I like his game a lot. He’s big, he’s long and he can play the football. He’s a grabber and must be attacked though. Buster Skrine has played better than I anticipated for the Bears. Tashaun Gipson has also been a good addition.

This Bears defense will play with great fight. They will be active and look to force turnovers. They'll bring inside pressure to knock Rodgers off of his spot.

I have to believe that the Packers offense has more firepower than the Bears do. I also have to believe that the Packers defense delivers a top tier performance, their best of 2020.

Rodgers connects on two big deep balls that breaks this one open.

Trubisky has two turnovers.

The final score is closer than the game feels.

Packers 27
Bears 20

THE BEARS STILL SUCK!

Go Pack Go!

Talkin’ S-Mac.
talkins-Mac.blogspot.com

Sunday, November 22, 2020

My Take -> Week 11

Greetings, G-Force.

7-2. Just win, baby. The Packers played without energy for most of the Jaguars game. Still, they managed to come away victorious. With the W, the Packers find themselves perched atop the NFC as we have skipped past the midway point of the season.

As I write, I casually sip an aged Sin Frontera. A collaboration beer by Crooked Stave, Jester King and Trois Dames Cerveza. It’s a clean, light sipping wild beer. Grape wine-like goodness. I listen to Lou Donaldson’s “Say It Loud” album. One of the small pleasures of 2020 is that I’ve been able to dig deep into the old library of music that I haven’t listened to in ages. I dig this album.

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

The Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers combination has brought great joy to the 2020 season. Last week, they brought frustration as the team was unable to find a rhythm.

Aaron Rodgers didn’t look like himself last week. He still went 24/34 for 325 yards, 2 TDs and 1 interception. He’s firmly in the MVP race. I’d almost argue that he should be the Leader in the race.

Rashan Gary turned beastly to close out that game. Saved the victory. Let’s see that more often!

Davante Adams’ leaping grab for the game winning grab was magnificent. He went go-go-gadget left calf to get up and grab that one.

MVS. What an enigma, he is. Without him, the Packers don’t win that game. At times, he looks like he can’t play in the league. And, then, on other occasions, he looks like he has the prospects to be a legit #3 WR.

Really good to see Adrian Amos make that interception.

I can’t make out what the Packers have at ILB. They clearly like Kirksey’s leadership and system know-how. But, for my eye, it feels like Barnes and Martin are better players. Barnes and Martin attack, while Kirksey seems to be more finesse.

Felt like Ka’dar Hollman showed well.

Za’Darius has been making a play each week to get the Packers defense off the field, it seems.

Another solid game from Preston Smith.

MVS. Peace, dude.

It’s time for Savage to force a turnover to swing a game.

I don’t trust Josh Jackson as a punt returner.

This team was lethargic for most of the game. Annoyingly so. We aren’t accustomed to seeing the Packers win games like that. A treat to have that one behind us.

The Gold Zone! Forget the Red Zone. The Packers have the Gold Zone. The vibes on this team are plenty.

Congrats to Bakhtiari! Stoked he will be locking down the left side of the line for years to come.

Speaking of contracts: Remember when people used to give the Packers home town discounts to stick around? Would be great if Aaron Jones and Corey Linsley would do so.

This week - it’s the Colts. In Indianapolis. With fans.

The Colts will be a tough task for the Packers. The Packers don’t match up well with them. It feels like a similar match up to the Buccaneers game. On the road. Veteran QB. Stout defense. The difference: we know Xavier Rhodes cannot cover Davante, the Colts don’t have the Buccaneers play makers on offense and you’d like to think that the Packers can force turnovers this weekend.

Jonathan Taylor is a good back. I’d like to think that the Packers will force him to fumble this weekend.

Rivers has torched the Packers with crossing routes. I’d like to think Kevin King will pick him off this weekend.

Will the Packers be able to cover the Colts TE’s? Doyle and Alie-Cox are seriously underrated. If you don’t know Alie-Cox, my guess is that you’ll become very familiar with him on Sunday afternoon.

This game will be decided at the line of scrimmage. If the Colts dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball like they often do, the Packers are in trouble. DeForest Buckner is a tough matchup. So, is Justin Houston. The Packers must be able to block them. Additionally, the Colts OL has been a physical nightmare for opposing defenses. Kenny Clark, Dean Lowry, and the Smith Bros. must earn their big pay days this weekend.

In many ways, we will find out if the Packers are contenders or pretenders this weekend. They’ve been able to win with high-flying, fashion-forward playcalling. But, can they win a game that will require brute strength at the line of scrimmage?

I’m expecting a grueling battle. Both teams looking to grab long, clock-eating drives. Both teams looking for underneath routes followed by yards after the catch. Both teams staying patient with the run. A tough game throughout.

In the end, the difference is turnovers. I trust the Packers to protect the ball. I don’t trust the Colts to do so.

Packers 27
Colts 23

Go Pack Go!

Talkin’ S-Mac
Talkins-Mac.blogspot.com

Saturday, November 14, 2020

My Take -> Week 10

Greetings, G-Force.

6-2. Once again, it was nice to see the LaFleur and Rodgers combo amaze. But, the most exciting thing for my eye was to see the defense forcing turnovers. Sometimes, turnovers can come in bundles. Let’s hope that destruction of a depleted 49ers team brings some turnover mojo.

As I write, I sip a Guinness. Sometimes, it’s just fun to go back to the roots. I listen to the Grateful Dead’s Record Store Day 5/9/77 release.

My quick vibes from the last week:

Matt LaFleur. Count your blessings, Packers fans.

Aaron Rodgers. Leader. Playing like an MVP.

Davante Adams. Exceptional body control. His catch on 4th and inches with just over 9 minutes left in the 2nd Qtr in a 7-3 game was beyond magnificent.

Aaron Jones is bred differently. His body control never ceases to amaze me.

Solid game from Billy Turner.

I hope the Wagner injury isn’t serious. If so, I hope Gutekunst has Jared Veldheer’s number on speed dial to convince him to come out of retirement.

When Runyan has played, he’s held up well.

Rodgers first half stats: 13/18, 149 yds, 3 TD’s, 0 interceptions.

Happy for Preston Smith. He didn’t show up with monstrous numbers in the box score, but he was a difference maker.

Sensational strip sack by Za’Darius!

Raven Greene continues to show that he belongs. He’s a solid contributor. Fearless.

Liked Oren Burks’ activity.

Montravious Adams is quietly having himself a really good year.

Dean Lowry played his best game of the year.

This team needs more from Kenny Clark.

Wanted Savage to grab the pick to jump start his season.

Hoping Lazard is healthy after the mini bye.

Tyler Ervin might be better in disguise than he is as a playmaker. His presence forces the defense to react differently as he has to be accounted for.

Happy to see MVS respond with two TD’s after the 3rd down drop. Loved seeing Rodgers’ excitement after the 2nd TD.

Big Dog with the TD. Epic play design. The post TD celebration was ridiculously grand. It was defining of everyone’s relationship with him. First to get there was his little bro Big Bob Tonyan who couldn’t have been more happy for him. Big Bob Tonyan sprinted to him and jumped into him in kid-like fashion. Next was each of the Offensive Lineman yelling at him and banging into him him in fraternity fashion. Then, it was Aaron Jones jogging to him with and greeting him with a tough guy teammate-style high five and head butt. Finally, it was Aaron Rodgers as his business partner walking up to him with a wide smile and a hand shake. I fucking love the bond in this locker room.

Props to FOX for consistently playing the Dead, Phish and WSP on the way to commercial breaks.

I love Corey Linsley. Gonna miss him when he’s gone.

Big Bob Tonyan is a difference maker in this offense. He has many big plays awaiting him.

I say this playfully: Matt LaFleur does a terrific job of designing plays to draw Ted Thompson’s acquisitions wide open.

I trust Ervin, Jones and Williams as receivers more than I do ESB and MVS. That’s tough to swallow.

I hope Seth Roberts and Aaron Rodgers are spending immense amount of time together right now.

Packers fans, please don’t take this for granted. It was 14-3 with 5:26 to play in the 2nd Qtr. The game still felt competitive. Aaron Rodgers could smell blood. How did he lead an 87 yard TD drive. Well, he stared at 3rd and 5 from his own 18 and he was the smartest man on the field. He went no-huddle and he moved the sticks by noticing that SF still had 12 men on the field. First down, Packers. Then, on 3rd and 6 from his 27, on a busted play, Rodgers was nimble enough to use his legs to pick up the necessary yardage. First down, Packers. Finally, the communication on this team was on full display at the 2:00 warning. LaFleur and Rodgers discussed a shot play to MVS. They confirmed with MVS that he wanted the opportunity. Boom! 52-yard TD. 21-3, Packers. All gas, no fuckin’ breaks.

Oh, wait. One more. How about the play call with less than 12:00 left in the 3rd. The 1st 3rd down of the 2nd half. You know LaFleur and Rodgers discussed this play. You know that SF watched TB jump the out pass on 3rd down to Adams earlier this year. So, what is the call? A double move to Adams out of a similar look to the play a couple of weeks earlier. Rodgers even telegraphed it by stating it down pre-snap. 49 yards. Bang! Shortly after, Rodgers hits MVS on a busted play in the corner of the end zone. I love the brains behind this offense.

Was sad to see Dexter Williams go down with what appears to be a serious injury. I really liked him coming out of college. He hasn’t panned out. I was super interested to see how Gutekunst replaced him. He has done well in this fashion previously with additions like Veldheer, Lazard and Ervin. And, this time, Gutekunst has turned to Mike Weber. I had studied him thoroughly coming out of college and here’s what I wrote: “Undersized, but powerful. Dynamite receiving option. He'll make the first person miss in the open field. Plays with both speed and quickness. Runs with great hunger. Bounces off of tackles. He beats defenders to the spot and grabs yards in bundles. Isn't going to be a consistent between the tackles runner. Fumbles too much.”

Wish the Packers would've brought T-Mon back. Wanted him to retire as a Packer.

Halfway through the season and Aaron Rodgers leads the NFL in passer rating.

Yes, it's worth mentioning again, I'm eager to see Lazard back on the field.

With Kirksey on the brink of recovery and Martin activated from the COVID list, Pettine has a choice to make. Barnes has played well. Martin has been intriguing. I’m going to closely monitor how Pettine utilizes his rotation at ILB.

This week - it’s the Jags. At Lambeau. Weather is expected to play a factor. Normally, you’d anticipate that poor weather would benefit the Packers. Not in 2020. The Jaguars aren’t even on the same platform as the Packers. In normal conditions, Green Bay would win by more than 20. But, with heavy winds and precipitation on the horizon, this game plays into Jacksonville’s hands and therefore, the game might be much closer than any of us expect. Granted, there’s almost no way I can see the Jaguars coking into Green Bay and stealing a victory with a back up QB. But, it’s important to recognize that Jacksonville can run the football and Green Bay has shown that they’re extremely vulnerable against the run.

Look for Pettine to stuff the box. He’s going to dare Jacksonville to throw the ball. And, don’t be surprised if early on, the Jags call a play action deep ball to try and take advantage of an early down run blitz. Expect Jacksonville to be a little more aggressive on a couple of occasions than one might normally think.

The Jaguars are bringing Jake Luton into town to take on Aaron Rodgers. That should be all you need to know.

The Packers will need to account for Josh Allen as a pass rusher, but if that mission is accomplished, I'm feeling really good about the Packers prospects of moving the football.

The turnover train continues this week. The defense forces two more turnovers.

Packers 34.
Jaguars 13.

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

My Take -> Week 9

Greetings, G-Force.

Once again, it was on display for the Football world to see. The Green Bay Packers have the same issues in 2020 that they did in 2021. And, over the course of the last year, Gutekunst did nothing to fix them.

As I write, I sip a Green Flash West Coast IPA. It’s been my most frequently consumed beer over the last month or so. A 7.0% hop bomb. I listen to The Movement’s “Ways of the World” album. I love “Take Me to the Ocean.” It brings a relaxing poppy, reggae island sensation.

My quick vibes from the last week:

Once again, Matt LaFleur’s mastery was on display. The offense looked good. Receivers were open. The Packers moved the ball. Even without their superstar LT and RB.

Rodgers wasn’t on target. He played very well. But, his miss to Jace was brutal. And, I wish he’d have been more accurate on the deep ball to Tonyan. Still, Rodgers was mostly dialed in and moving the ball with efficiency.

Davante Adams is truly special.

I remind you to enjoy this season. The roster isn’t constructed in a fashion to have this team compete for a title. But, there’s so much goodness surrounding this team. So, please, appreciate this QB + Head Coach relationship. We might not see something like this for a long time. Cherish it!

Another rock solid performance by Jamaal Williams.

When Bakhtiari returns from injury, I hope Wagner stays at RT.

Well. The time came for a WR — other than Davante — to make a play when he wasn’t schemed open. Someone other than Adams. Twice, Rodgers hit ESB in the hands. He dropped them both. From then on, the Packers were playing catch up.

This defense lived off of big plays last year. Turnovers. Sacks to propel the team to get off of the field. Those plays aren’t happening with frequency in 2020.

I've been critical of Gutekunst. But, I applaud his aggressiveness in trying to trade for Will Fuller. If reports are true that they wanted a 2nd round pick, I'm happy that Gutekunst stuck with his guns and didn't bite. Had Fuller's contract not been expiring in 8 games, I'd have traded a 2nd round pick. But, it doesn't make sense to give up significant Draft capital for a rental.

This week - it's the 49ers. In SF. On Thursday Night. Both teams will be a shell of themselves with injuries and COVID playing a major role. It's hard to imagine that these two rosters will be competing in a monstrous NFC battle. It's a game that holds significance importance as the NFC gets conjested with teams between 3 and 5 wins.

While the Packers will be limited at the RB position, they will still have Rodgers, Davante, Tonyan, Jace, and MVS. They might also have Lazard. The 49ers are more decimated than the Packers are and therefore, the Packers should be in better position to win the war of attrition.

Last year, in two games, the Packers had zero answer for the 49ers run game. Expect the 49ers to use Jerick McKinnon and JaMycal Hasty to pound the ball at the Packers defensive front. The 49ers will be without LT Trent Williams. This game is begging for the Smith Bros., Kenny Clark, Gary and Lowry to dominate the line of scrimmage. Shanahan will also utilize play action pass. His receiving options are extremely limited, but look for Richie James to get the ball in open space. James is elusive and can present challenges. Kyle Juszczyk will also be utilized in the flat on the rollout. The 49ers will have Nick Mullens at QB. He's turnover prone. The Packers must force him into mistakes.

The 49ers DL is also beat up. The Packers OL has to give Rodgers protection. Even with the injuries, the 39ers have talent with Armstead, Kinlaw, Jones and Hyder. Jones and Armstead have trashed the Packers in the past. Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw are superstars at LB.

The Packers must beat SF with protection and crossing routes. I'd also like to see some of Davante Adams at RB where the Packers get him in the ball in the flat on pass plays liked they did in ATL in 2016. On that day, the Packers were without depth at RB. McCarthy moved WR's to RB and used a multitude of passes to WR's out of the backfield. Might we see something similar from LaFleur? One thing is for sure: the Packers can't trust Dexter Williams.

This 49ers team is beat up. If the Packers can jump out to an early lead, this could be a big-time blowout. But, that'll require the Defensive front to show up in the run game. Amazingly so, I think the 49ers are so beat up that the Packers might be able to limit SF's success.

I also think the Packers force at least one turnover and possibly much more.

Expect Rodgers to be dialed in. He hits MVS over the top for a big play.

The Packers get back on track in a big way.

Packers 27
49ers 16

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com