Monday, August 27, 2012

My Take -> If I Were Ted Thompson

Greetings, G-Force.

Sitting down to write about the Packers is a precious time in my week. Without fail, my lil' dog Ziggy jumps on my lap. Yeah, he's my kid and he loves talking Packers football. I grab a tasty treat; today, it's Double Stout from Green Flash Brewery. It's 12 ounces and 8.8% of absolute goodness. I put on my favorite music at the time; today it happens to be Papa Wemba, a Congolese musician who offers a solid mix between inspiring and soul settling musical tones. Hopefully, these vibes will allow me to channel my inner Ted Thompson. With that, I present to you what I'd do if I were Ted Thompson. No, this is not a prediction. I'll leave that to the journalists. This is simply how I'd act if I were the GM of the 13-time World Champions.

QB: (3) Aaron Rodgers is the MVP and the starting QB. I wholeheartedly wish that we could make a move at back-up QB. Graham Harrell is not the answer. While it's been well documented that James Jones has not been desired in trade attempts, I'd have to imagine that Joe Philbin and the Miami Dolphins might be interested in a straight-up swap of Jones for Matt Moore. I'd be all over it. If Moore isn't obtainable, what's happening with Colt McCoy and Matt Hasselbeck? Both are going to be back-ups. Is either available? Also, I know it's not happening, but say what you want about Vince Young - no matter your take, he's better than Graham Harrell. With that said, if i don't have a trading partner, I have to keep Harrell. Also, I'm in the minority in my beliefs, but I'd keep BJ Coleman. The Packers have tried with great intent to hide Coleman from scouts. It doesn't matter. I wouldn't expose Coleman. And, if Coleman gets his chance this weekend, he will impress. Sure, he'll be inaccurate on some throws, but he'll also show glimpses that he's a legitimate developmental prospect.

RB: (5) Cedric Benson looked better in Green & Gold than anyone we've seen at RB since Ryan Grant went wild in the '07 Divisional Playoff game against Seattle. Preseason or not, Benson looked fluid, well rested and full of burst. James Starks is a must keep. Yes, he has injury problems. But, we don't need him for 16 games. We need him healthy in December, January and February. And the memories of 2010 are still too fresh. Alex Green will get his chance to make an impact this year. Brandon Saine showed promise as a 3rd down back last year. It's been frustrating that he hasn't been healthy. Kuhn is the lone FB on the roster. With the way McCarthy shifts his TE's, there is no reason to keep more than one FB.

WR: (5) Jennings, Driver, Cobb and Nelson are obvious. They're sticking around. By the way, it was great to see Jennings "Be Great" and bust ankles in the open field. Good stuff. As mentioned earlier, I'd be targeting a trade that involved Jones. Assuming it doesn't happen, he, too, is kept. Here's where the problem comes. Coming into the preseason, all the rage followed Gurley & Borel. Well, we're 3 preseason games in and neither has done anything to stand out. In fact, I can't imagine a scenario in which Borel sticks around. Further, I can't be convinced that Jarrett Boykin has not been one of the best 53 players in the preseason games. He's displayed legitimate gifts. Purely as a WR, I'd rather have Boykin than Gurley and Borel. However, Gurley has shown skills in punt coverage. And, last year, we read about Gurley's punt blocking skills. Still, there is only so much room on the roster. And, with that, the hardest cut on the roster is Jarrett Boykin. It'll surprise if he makes it to the practice squad. Borel & Gurley also have practice squad eligibility. Doubt either makes it that far.

TE: (4) J-Mike, DJ Williams, Crabtree and Ryan Taylor are all going to be on the team. McCarthy values TE's. I was hoping Finley was ready for a Pro Bowl season, but his injuries have been frustrating. DJ Williams has shown that he's enhanced his skills in the route running department. Really liked him running the slant against Cleveland. Crabtree has not had consistent hands, but he's the best of the TE's with respect to blocking. Ryan Taylor's development from year 1 to year 2 has been disappointing thus far. Still, he has special teams talents and he sticks around. Though, I will admit that it was awfully tough to send Boykin to the practice squad instead of releasing Taylor. Quarless is on the PUP list.

OL: (8) This is the biggest challenge. Newhouse, Lang, Saturday, Sitton and Bulaga make up a nice OL. Reggie Wells has grit and experience. He also has guard and tackle versatility. Dietrich-Smith was reliable as a back-up last year. He sticks around. Sherrod has not been healthy and I wondered if he was destined for the PUP list, but the Packers clearly think he'll be back sooner than that since he was not placed on the PUP list today. Since he's not on the PUP list, he's obviously a lock to be on the active roster. Datko wasn't as good as we had hoped he'd be this preseason and therefore, he goes to the practice squad.

DL: (6) BJ Raji, Jerel Worthy, Ryan Pickett, CJ Wilson, and Mike Daniels are locks to be rotating on the defensive front. The last spot goes to either Merling or Muir. I really wanted Merling to grab it. He didn't do so. The job goes to Muir who has played with great energy and heart. Muir might only last 4 weeks with Mike Neal coming back after then.

LB: (9) Clay Matthews, Nick Perry, DJ Smith, and AJ Hawk are the starters. Man, does that Bishop injury hurt. Totally sucks. I've been really impressed with Robert Francois. Loved his two tackles on special teams against the Browns. He, too, is battling an injury, but he's a keeper. So is Jamari Lattimore. Epic pick-6 by Lattimore! Moses hasn't impressed me like he has others, but he did look like he was more aware against the Bengals. Still, he's slow off the snap of the ball. And, that is concerning. Regardless, Moses gets a spot. We have not heard the last of Erik Walden. He will make some plays for the Packers in 2012. I had high hopes for Terrell Manning. He's been timid. Almost afraid of making a mistake. Still, Manning makes the team as the 9th LB. So'oto is a solid practice squad candidate. We've seen the end of Brad Jones in Green Bay.

DB: (10) Woodson, T-Mon, Burnett, Shields, Bush, Hayward, Shields, House, McMillan and MD Jennings make the squad. Jennings has not been as impressive as I hoped and I considered keeping Richardson over him, but I believe that Richardson can sneak his way onto the practice squad.

Specialists: (3) Crosby, Masthay and Goode. All are in the upper tier of their positions.

Practice Squad: (8) I'm assuming Borel and Gurley don't make it this far. Though I would be shocked if Boykin did as well. Still, I have to have some fun with this! So I'm keeping: Boykin, So'oto, Richardson, Datko, Ross, Guy, Barclay, Tyler.

A couple of quick notes:

* Rodgers looks like he's having fun out there. I like it.
* Benson. Yes, Cedric Benson! Tell me that you were as stoked as I was!!!
* Greg Jennings. Be Great, Greg. Be Great.
* Randall Cobb. Love watching him run the slant. Only a matter of time before McCarthy gets creative with him. Likely in Week 1.
* DJ Williams. Like his route running this year. Looks to have grown in that area.
* TJ Lang. Don't feel like he's been finishing blocks well.
* BJ Raji. Man, it feels like he's been pushed backwards more this preseason than I ever remember before. With that said, love the combination of Worthy, Raji, Matthews, and Perry on 3rd Downs. They'll get to the QB. Often.
* Nick Perry. He has a phenomenal bull rush. Get to work, Kevin Greene. When this guy develops a spin move to compliment the bull rush, he'll be wicked.
* Clay Matthews. Great to see his energy last week.
* DJ Smith. The most sure tackling player on the team.
* Casey Hayward. Catch the ball, mate.
* Sammy Swagga Shields. Keep it up, playa!
* Lattimore and Francois offer good versatility.
* If one thing is certain, I'm not exposing BJ Coleman to the prospect of FA. He's not a practice squad guy, he needs to be kept. Painful for the numbers, but it's a requirement. QB's with that arm are tough to find.

With the '12 College Football Season beginning this Thursday, I had to kick it off with a Mock NFL Draft for April '13. After all, this is the "If I Were Ted Thompson" Edition. I'm giving the Packers a bonus 4th for Scott Wells and a compensatory pick in the 6th for Matt Flynn. Total bummer that Wilson beat out Flynn. Hurts our draft stock. Due to time constraints, I've solely used the CBS Draft Scout Tracker to give rough estimates as to where players will be picked.

Round 1: With the 32nd pick of the 2013 NFL Draft, the Green Bay Packers select Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M. Yes, he's Clay's cousin. So, that part of it is fun. But, really, the reason for the pick is that the Packers OL needs more depth. Newhouse has been good, but he's not a superstar. Matthews has that ability. Further, Sherrod has yet to prove he's worthy of protecting the NFL's MVP. Last year, you might recall that my good mate, Stack, suggested the Packers draft Kawaan Short, DL, Purdue. Today, he's my runner up for the 1st Round. I also considered Shayne Skov, ILB, Stanford.

Round 2: If I didn't like BJ Coleman so much, this pick would be Geno Smith, QB, WVU. Instead, I'm going with Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas. Hate to say it, but Sir Charles Woodson is getting older. Vaccaro can play in the box. He can cover. He mixes it up in run defense. Vaccaro edges out Robert Lester, S, Alabama; Knile Davis, RB, Arkansas; Sylvester Williams, DL, UNC; and Nico Johnson, ILB, Alabama.

Round 3: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington. Looks like this is early for him. Doesn't matter. I'm high on his game. Gets his head turned. Not afraid to be physical, even though he's only listed at 185 lbs. I like his game. Excited to see more of him this year.

Round 4a: Kenny Stills, WR, Oklahoma. First of all, he's the son of Ken Stills! Yes, THE Ken Stills! So, he has NFL genes. Further, I love his bounce. He's got game. He loves to compete. He has a thrill for the lights. He'd be great in our system.

Round 4b: Cierre Wood, RB, Notre Dame. Wood has the play making skills, the elusiveness and the size to be an every down back in the NFL. I love his football instincts. He makes defenders miss in the open field and he has a nose for the 1st down marker. At this stage, I rank him higher than Stepfan Taylor, RB, Stanford.

Round 5: Jon Bostic, ILB, Florida. Love how Bostic gets sideline-to-sideline. Sure tackler. Has the size, speed and athleticism to make it at the next level. Florida has legitimate NFL prospects (Sharrif Floyd & Dominique Easley) on the DL in front of Bostic, so he should be put in position to make plays in the SEC this year.

Round 6a: Anthony Rashad White, DL, Michigan State. I really hope he can play as he did at the end of last year. I also hope he measures at 6-2, 330. If so, this guy has beastly skills, if he's motivated. He was unrecognized due to the dynamite play of Worthy and Gholston, but don't sleep on Rashad White! Guy can play. He was huge in the bowl game against Georgia last year and it wouldn't surprise me if he gets off to a great start at the beginning of the '12 campaign.

Round 6b: Ray Ray Armstrong, S, Faulkner College. The former product from the []_[] is a legitimate prospect. Loaded with skills. Yet, it seems he was in constant trouble since enrolling at the University of Miami. Still, I love Ray Ray's game. At one stage, the []_[] thought he might be the next Sean Taylor. They even gave Ray Ray the #26. It wasn't meant to be. And, Armstrong was kicked off the team this year.

Round 7: James Vandenberg, QB, Iowa. Vandenberg is a decent decision maker and a good late round prospect. The Packers have had good fortune with Iowa prospects in the past.

One last thing, if I'm Ted Thompson, I'm doing everything I can to sell Jennings, Rodgers, and Matthews on signing a reduced rate contract with the Packers.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
https://twitter.com/buzzboy3



























Tuesday, August 14, 2012

My Take -> Preseason Week 2

Greetings, G-Force.

Sure, it's always nice to see your team pull out a victory. Even if it's the 1st preseason game of the year. But, unfortunately, we'll have to wait a week to put on our victory smiles. With that said, here's some quick vibes that I have taken away from the last week of Packers football:

* Have to start with Ted Thompson. We're seeing a different Ted Thompson than we've ever seen before. And, I like it. Like he's normally done, he's put together key components of this team in a masterful way. We have an abundance of young talent. We have great depth at a number of positions. But, over the last two weeks, we've seen Ted Thompson get aggressive. It tells me that he's all in. He wants another Super Bowl Title. This year.

Injuries have decimated the roster. Especially at Tackle and RB. While it's nice to see Newhouse make his way back, Sherrod has yet to make an appearance. That's scary. But, in a fashion that is absolutely unlike anything Ted Thompson has done previously, he went out and signed Reggie Wells and his 9 years of NFL experience. It's worth mentioning that Wells has experienced what it takes to make it to the Super Bowl. In '08, he started 16 games for the Arizona Cardinals team that made it to the Super Bowl. Further, the Packers are down to 3 healthy RB's. Thompson responded by bringing in Cedric Benson. I'll get to Benson in a bit, but man, I was shocked to see Thompson go out and grab players in aggressive fashion. Some may point to when Thompson brought back players like Ahman Green and Mark Tauscher in 2009. But, this is a completely different situation. Green and Tauscher were familiar with the organization. The were well-respected in the locker room. Wells and Benson are foreign. This tells me that Thompson and McCarthy have absolute confidence in the camaraderie of this team. It's also interesting that Thomspon skipped over Ryan Grant in favor of Cedric Benson.

In familiar Thompson fashion, it was brilliant to see him sign TJ Lang to a 4-year extension. It's great to have Sitton and Lang locked up for the prime of their careers.

* The Desmond Bishop loss is devastating. There was one player in the NFL last year with 115 tackles and 5 sacks. His name: Desmond Bishop. Now, he might be lost for the season. Devastating. It's painful to think about.

* There will be some that wonder whether Benson has any legs left to him. I am not one of those guys. For three years in a row, Benson has eclipsed 1,000 yards. This year - he won't be asked to pound out that yardage. He won't need to carry the ball 250-275 times. He'll be in the rotation. He'll be asked to pound out tough yards. He'll need to keep the clock ticking after the Packers build leads in the 2nd half. My only concern is whether or not he'll hold onto the football. The Packers have become among the league's elite due to their ability to protect the football. Over the last 2 years, Benson has put the ball on the ground 12 times. That's scary. If Benson holds onto the football, he's going to be a huge addition to this roster.

* It was terrific to see Nick Perry get to the QB! That penalty was rubbish! HORRIBLE CALL! Really liked his effort on the next play when he drove Randy McMichael to the ground. When he's lined up against the TE and he's not asked to drop out in coverage, I'd like to see him not hesitate. Rather, I'd like to see him either attack the QB or I'd like to see him knock the TE off of his route. I've been asked whether Nick Perry will be nicknamed Super Nintendo Nick. Well, let's see how he progresses. He's got to earn that one.

* I didn't like seeing Aaron Rodgers on the field with Herb Taylor as the starting LT. I hope we never see that again.

* Loved how aggressive McCarthy was in his play calling with Graham Harrell. He didn't hold anything back. Wanted to see how he'd perform in a "real-life" situation. Harrell didn't impress me. I liked the drive right before the half, but I thought that Harrell missed a number of throws that he should have made. In his defense, he wasn't given many favors from his OL nor his receivers. I'm curious to see him play against Cleveland this Thursday.

* We didn't see much of BJ Coleman. But, when he was on the field, we saw what I figured we'd see. He stands tall in the pocket. He has a rocket. He's fairly quick to make decisions. He is hungry to look downfield.

* At RB, there were heavy issues.
1.) James Starks was a buzzkill. Straight up. Beyond the dropped pass and the fumble, one thing that caught my eye was how he reacted to contact. In '10, what I loved about Starks was that when he found contact, he fell forward. Last week, we Starks met a defender, he went backwards.
2.) We didn't see enough of Alex Green to make a judgment.
3.) Brandon Saine and John Kuhn need to get healthy.
4.) It was nice to see Marc Tyler run. He played like I expected. He runs hard. Looks for contact. Not going to run away from anyone, but he's going to hit the hole with a vengeance and more often than not, he's going to get positive yards.

* At WR, a couple of things stood out to me:
1.) Randall Cobb will be a focal point of the offense. Loved seeing the ball in his hands in the middle of the field. He's in for a big season. It's been widely reported that he's taken an occasional hand-off in training camp. I fancy that Mike McCarthy has watched the way the 'queens have used Percy Harvin and it's very possible that Cobb will be used in a similar fashion. He's a weapon and I'm looking forward to seeing him touch the football in a variety of ways.
2.) I really liked Jarrett Boykin. He instantly caught my eye. Looked the part. I want to see more of him.
3.) Sure, there was a penalty on the play, but regardless, James Jones has to catch the ball. 'Nuff said.
4.) Dale Moss looks like he's a prime candidate for the practice squad.
5.) Shaky Smithson should be the next player cut.
6.) If Borel and Gurley continue to have injury issues, it's possible that one of them may end up being tucked away on the IR for the season. Borel looked like he could continue to use some seasoning. I'm hoping to see Gurley running routes this week.
7.) Curenski Gilleylen is what he is: a training camp body.

* At TE, it was nice to see Crabtree grab the 3rd down pass to keep the chains moving. Wished I would have seen more of DJ Williams. I'd like to see Williams dominate these preseason games. This unit needs a healthy J-Mike.

* On the OL, there are both health and depth concerns:
1.) Herb Taylor is not a LT in the NFL.
2.) Marshall Newhouse is a key to the Packers success.
3.) Derek Sherrod & Ray Dominguez must get healthy.
4.) I'm excited to see Reggie Wells this week.
5.) Andrew Datko wasn't as bad as he's been made out to be in the media throughout the preseason.
6.) It's worth repeating: STOKED to have Lang & Sitton locked up.

* The Packers DL is going to be much improved from last year.
1.) I'm ecstatic to see a well-rested BJ Raji.
2.) It's a total treat to see Jerel Worthy jab OL like they are punching bags.
3.) Make note: Both Philip Merling and Mike Neal made tackles for loss!
4.) Anthony Hargrove got his hands on a ball and knocked it down.
5.) I even liked the play of Lawrence Guy. Played with good speed and activity.
6.) Unless injuries come in abundance, I can't see a scenario in which Wynn makes the team.

* Outside of the Bishop injury, there were plenty of positives at the LB position as well.
1.) You can't replace Desmond Bishop. He's a beast. But, man, DJ Smith looks legitimate. He plays on his toes. He's active. He's our best tackler in space. He needs to be on the field. He did get turned around on the TD pass to Gates, but he'll improve in that area.
2.) I thought Erik Walden was terrific. Granted, he was playing against the 2nd stringers, but Walden looked like he wants to see significant playing time this year.
3.) Vic So'oto! Man, he's a preseason stallion! Quick off the ball. He looked like he was thinner.
4.) I was disappointed when Terrell Manning got caught inside and took a bad angle to the ball on the run to the left side of the OL. I have high hopes for Manning. Want to see him perform this year. He hasn't shown that he is up for it yet.

* Once again, the secondary was stalking the football!
1.) Loved seeing T-Mon jump the route! Played like he's ready to return to his XLV form.
2.) Poor Ras-House. Can the guy stay healthy? House looked like he was ready to run away with the starting role. The 3rd & 3 play against Malcolm Floyd - I mean, are you kidding me? We didn't see a CB make that play ALL YEAR in '11. Great hand work. Turned his head. Knocked the ball away. Additionally, other than Sir Charles, who have we seen make that tackle for loss play? He flew into the backfield. He was reckless. And, right when he was offering hope, the shoulder pops. Unreal. We need him back. ASAP.
3.) Anthony Levine was a highlight. Beyond the interception, he led the team with 5 tackles.
4.) Thought there were some positives that came out of Casey Hayward's play as well. He's physical. I was surprised that he didn't swing his head. In the future, it'll happen. It's in his instincts. But, in the future, we can expect to see more of what the Chargers did to Hayward: double moves and deep routes. Hayward can be caught with his eyes in the offensive backfield as he looks to make a big play.
5.) Morgan "Heritage" Burnett showing up a step late. Let's hope this isn't a trend. He's intimidating in stature. He's still so young and learning. I have high hopes for him in '12.
6.) MD Jennings also got turned around by Gates. But, like DJ Smith, I hope this is only part of the learning curve.
7.) I was hoping to see more of Jerron McMillan.

This week, it's the Browns. In some ways, this might be the battle between a couple of Texas QB's: Colt McCoy vs Graham Harrell. McCoy went to Texas. Harrell went to Texas Tech. While Brandon Weeden is expected to play throughout the 1st half, it might be a chance for the Browns to showcase McCoy. It's been rumored that the Packers have interest in him. If Harrell fails to perform this week, it's possible that Thompson and McCarthy will look outside the organization for a back-up QB. Presently, McCoy might be the #3 QB in Cleveland. Might it be a match?

With Marshall Newhouse playing, look for Rodgers to have more time. With additional time, he'll have more success. And more confidence. We'll see Rodgers put points on the board. Rodgers to Nelson for 6 points.

It'll be nice to see Alex Green running with the 1st team. Look for McCarthy to try and get him into space with a designed screen play early in the game.

We could also see a small wrinkle with Cobb in the backfield as McCarthy continues to tinker with the offense.

With safety being of the utmost importance, look for Robert Francois and Jamari Lattimore to see increased playing time. Francois has been getting looks with the starting dime defense. This is an important role in the Packers defense.

Weeden isn't the most mobile of QB's. He's not a sitting target. But, he has limited range. Look for Perry's bull rush to disrupt the Browns offense.

I'm expecting a Casey Hayward interception this week.

I'm excited to see Sir Charles' season debut at safety.

Look for BJ Coleman to see more snaps than he did last week. And, he'll put points on the board. Thought it'd happen last week, but I'm calling it this week. Coleman to Boykin for a TD and a Lambeau Leap to go with it!

Green Bay 27. Cleveland 13.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
https://twitter.com/buzzboy3

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

My Take -> Preseason Week 1


Greetings, G-Force.

Annually, I offer you a reminder. My blog is an opinion. I'm not a journalist. I'm a Green Bay Packers fan. And when I write, it's the norm for me to view the Packers as an optimistic realist.

Before I get into my quick hits from the Family Night, I have to deliver an annual rant. As I flipped through the NFL Hall of Fame ceremony, once again, I wondered when LeRoy Butler will enshrined in Canton. He was a member of the All-Decade team in the 1990's. He was 2 interceptions short of becoming the first player in the history of the NFL with 40 interceptions and 20 sacks. Had he not gotten injured, he would have absolutely become that man. In many ways, he changed the way the safety position was played. He could play center field. He could cover the slot. He was terrific in the box. He could blitz with the best of them. He won a Super Bowl. Played in another. He invented the Lambeau Leap. And, importantly, he set the standard for the #36 in the Green & Gold. After Nintendo Nick's performance in the Green & Gold, the #36 for the Packers is akin to the #44 at Syracuse, the #55 at USC and the #3 at Notre Dame. Book it. The only way you can wear #36 in Green Bay is if you're an ultra-talented safety. Vote Butler into Canton.

With more than 55,000 in attendance, Family Night was a terrific success. My recap is a little light as I watched the replay without volume and with a fuzzy picture. Additionally, you can only take so much from a scrimmage in which the #1 offense plays the #2 defense and when the #2 offense battles the #1 defense. But, I like to assess the way people move. I like to see hip movement, angles, leverage, the jump off the ball and how a player attacks contact. Here are some of my quick vibes:

* Exciting to see Aaron Rodgers whipping the ball around. Loved to see him having some fun on the Field. When he seemed to initiate the pre-planned full-on Jump In The Stands, it was great fun and a kind way to show the fans the appreciation they deserved.

* Liked seeing J-Mike running across the middle. Looks buff. Put together. If he stays healthy, he looks prime for a break-out 80-catch season.

* Double D looking youthful!

* Paid extra attention to Nick Perry. I see a lot of promise. Like his burst off the ball. Seeks contact at the line of scrimmage. Gets the edge. Dips his shoulder well, but also has a solid bull rush. Good speed in pursuit. However, he looked a little awkward when he turned to cover. Somewhat uncertain. On one play, it looked like he was smoked on a down-and-in crossing route. Had BJ Coleman looked his way, it could have been the most talked about play of the Family Night Scrimmage. As fans, it's important to remain patient. Perry has played the position for less than 2 weeks in his life. There will be a learning curve. Mistakes will occur. From the little I saw at Family Night, I'm confident that he can grow into a solid bookend to the Claymaker. It'll take time, but I believe he was the athletic ability to make the transition from a 4-3 DE to a 3-4 OLB.

* Thought Ras-House had good coverage. Wish he would have picked off the pass that hit him in his hands. Would have been a highlight of the evening.

* Be Great Jennings finding pay dirt!

* Liked that Casey Hayward got a look on the outside. Happy to see him step up in run support. Hoping to see more of this during the preseason.

* JEREL WORTHY! Sure, it was against the 2nd team OL. An OL that lacks depth. But, still, it was nice to see his cat-like quickness burst off the snap and make a play 5-yards deep. He looks good in Green & Gold. He's going to make everyone on the DL better, especially BJ Raji. It was interesting to see him standing up on a couple of occasions. Bottom line: in 2012, Jerel Worthy will dramatically improve the Packers defense.

* Watching Ted Thompson and Mike McCarthy walk Lambeau Field together is an epic reminder that really good things are happening in Titletown, USA.

* Liked Erik Walden's physicality in the run game. But, it looked like he lacked recognition when he was beat down the seam on a big play to Crabtree.

* Big highlight for me was the interior LB play by Jamari Lattimore and Terrell Manning. Had it been full contact, Rodgers might not have connected with Jennings for the TD. Rather he might have been sandwiched by Lattimore and Manning. Both showed a great burst. Quickness in the first couple of steps. Fun stuff!

* Jarrett Boykin looked to have some shake to him.

* Was disappointed in T-Mon's approach towards tackling. With all of the emphasis that's been placed on the topic this offseason, I'd have thought that T-Mon would take a leadership role in that category.

* Need Tom Crabtree to be sure handed.

* Tried to watch Dezman Moses as much of possible, but it was tough to give an analysis. My potentially inaccurate initial assessment is that he seeks contact when he approaches a blocker. He comes after blockers with a head of steam, but he looked slow in space. I know Brandon Saine is fast, but man, Moses didn't even look like he was running when he was chasing Saine. Further, I worry that Moses when he's in a one-on-one situation with ball carrier, he might get caught on his heels.

* Thought there was an instance in which Saine might have missed a blitz pick-up.

This week - it's off to Qualcomm Stadium. On ESPN. To kick off the Packers preseason. The Chargers will provide a stiff test for the depth of our football team. Their 3rd-5th WR's include Vincent Brown, Roscoe Parrish and Eddie Royal. All have made plays in the NFL. They'll be solid competition for the secondary. It'll be a big test for Ras-House. I view Vincent Brown as a highly underrated WR prospect. If House can man up against the likes of Brown and Royal, it'd be an encouraging performance. Wish Sammy Swagga nicked up and with J-Bush's known weaknesses, this Thursday is a HUGE opportunity for House and Hayward to perform.

There is talk that Aaron Rodgers might not play. I'd like to see him on the field. For one series. Short drops. Quick hits. Throw the slant. Quick passes to the WR. I'd like to see the NFL's reigning MVP in rhythm. I believe he'll play. I believe he'll lead the Packers to a TD drive.

It'll be interesting to see Nick Perry potentially having to cover Antonio Gates and Randy McMichael. Two proven veterans against the young rookie.

In limited reps, look for Worthy to be pushing he way into the backfield. Look for Raji to do the same.

It'll be super exciting to watch the nickel and dime defenses. Francois and Smith played well last year when they were called into action, but Manning and Lattimore will surely get their opportunities to impress.

I envision the Packers picking off 2 passes. One by MD Jennings. One by Casey Hayward.

Marc Tyler gets his chance to run. He'll be a straight ahead runner and if our 2nd-3rd team OL can create holes, he'll hit the hole with conviction. He won't run away from anyone, but he'll run hard.

With the uncertainty of our OL, I expect McCarthy to try and protect Harrell. It wouldn't surprise me if he calls play action and rolls Harrell out of the pocket to try and buy time. Harrell will have solid receiving options in Cobb, Gurley and Borel. If Harrell gets protection, there is no reason for him not to succeed.

BJ Coleman should get the majority of the 2nd half. It'll be a tight game and Coleman will shine. He'll put points on the board. He'll find Moss on a back shoulder pass for 20 yards. He'll find Boykin on a hitch route. He'll also find Gilleylen on a crossing route. Coleman will be put in position to find positive results and he'll perform. On the final drive, it's Coleman to Boykin for the game winner.

Packers 23. Chargers 20.

I'm looking forward to my first real glimpse of this team.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com
https://twitter.com/#!/buzzboy3

































Thursday, August 2, 2012

My Take -> Family Night!

Greetings, G-Force.

It's here. The Green Bay Packers are at Lambeau Field. Welcome to the best time of the year. As Family Night nears, I have to give a phat shout-out to my Godson, Vargasito, who will be making his first trip to the most hallowed theater in all of American sports. Cherish it, Vargasito!

As the Lambeau Faithful prepare to see the Sunrise on the new season,  important to remember that Family Night has provided a platform for players to get recognized. In the case of Sammy Swagga, it was the springboard to his spectacular rookie season. The first time we saw him pick off a pass in the Green & Gold was on Family Night. Later that year, he sealed the "Trump Card" for Packers fans as he picked off Caleb Hanie to give the Packers the Halas Trophy. At Soldier Field. In the Visitors Locker Room. Sorry, but it's fun to reminisce. Last year, Family Night featured Brandian Ross picking off Aaron Rodgers and returning it for a TD. Instantly, Ross had caught the attention of the 13-time World Champions followers. Some may remember Kevin Kaesviharn and his two interceptions off Brett Favre in the '01 Family Night game. After he was released, he signed with the Bengals. He was a solid Safety for the Bengals. Yes, the Family Night provides an opportunity for the welterweights on the roster to perform under the Lambeau Lights. And, on some occasions, the welterweights perform with BELT-like goodness and rise their status to roster worthy levels.

I apologize if I am a bit repetitive in this post from my last writing, but I feel it's importance is worth reiterating. Sure, the defense was awful last year. But, let's face it, the unit couldn't get any worse, with the exception of the turnovers. With that: Feel fine, Packers fans. We're on our way for a big season. And, believe it or not, it's going to come through enhanced youth on our defense. The "juice" that our youthful exuberance will add to the defense cannot be overlooked. Sure, mistakes will come with the inexperience. But, expect the defense to be faster, more aggressive and to have more versatility. I wouldn't be surprised if as many as 7, yes, SEVEN rookies contribute on defense. Perry, Worthy, Hayward, Daniels, McMillan, Moses and Manning. All will have a chance, in one way or another. Here's what to watch for on Family Night with each of them:

Nick Perry: How often does he have his hand in the dirt? I'm sure that -since it is a practice - he will be standing up more often than not as the repetitions he gets dropping in coverage during live action are absolutely priceless. Plus, he's played on big stations before, but he's never played at Lambeau Field. It's possible that the 1st team defense will line up against the 2nd team defense, which will provide an opportunity for Perry to shine. It'll be interesting to see him drop into space.

Jerel Worthy: Watch this man get off the ball. People often talk about his first step and yes, Worthy is quick, but what'll really impress is how quick he is off the snap. He's great at guessing the count. Penalties come with this, but Worthy speed off the snap cannot be coached. It's innate. Either you have it or you don't. Worthy has it in a fashion similar to the way KGB got off the ball. KGB ran around the outside of tackles. Worthy will slide between guards and tackles with cat-like quickness and solid hand work.

Casey Hayward: He's being prepped to play in the slot, but I want to see him on the outside. As I've wrote before, the first time I watched Hayward was last year against South Carolina. I tuned into the game to watch Alshon Jeffery, who was drafted this year by the Bears in the 2nd round. In the game, Jeffery had two catches. So, did Hayward. After that game, I wanted to watch Hayward play weekly. It also didn't hurt that Jordan Rodgers, Aaron's brother became the starter for Vanderbilt. Nonetheless, as I watched Hayward, he was often on an island. On the outside. Against top flight SEC talent. Hayward was a ballhawk.  I want to see if he can play on the outside at the pro level.

Mike Daniels: Hope he can stay healthy. If he's in action, watch his pad level. If he's understands leverage and stays low, his bowling ball figure might roll through many guards this year.

Jerron McMillan: If he's going to make his way into the lineup, like I believe he will, he will have to display terrific range and he's going to have to seek out contact. Aggressiveness will be key. I'm interested to see how he takes angles to the ball and when he's in Centerfield, how does he get sideline to sideline? Does his sprinters speed translate to football speed?

Terrell Manning: No one is talking about him, but he has a GOLDEN opportunity in front of him. We've seen that Bishop and Hawk are not ideally suited for the dime defense. I really like DJ Smith's game, but he doesn't seem to be an ideal dime LB either.  In college, Manning was a turnover creator. Additionally, his agility and size are terrific assets. He's used to playing in space. Plus, he has experience rushing the passer. His versatility is unmatched among our ILB's. When the Packers turn to the 2nd team dime defense, I hope Manning is manning the middle of the defense. Rastaman Vibrations, Terrell. Bring the fire and the positivity to the defense on 3rd down, mate!

Dezman Moses: No one is better at finding the undrafted gems than Ted Thompson. This year, Moses might be that guy. Blessed with pass rushing ability, this physical gem has done nothing but impress. Daily, it seems. Stoked to see what this guy does when the light comes on. Go SmokeStack on 'em, Dez. Blow 'em up, young man!

Other key things to watch:

Alex Green: If he plays, how does he move in space? Can he cut with his typical grace that we saw glimpses of last year? How does he approach contact? He could be an added weapon to the NFL's most lethal offense. And, yes, he, too, is a Rastaman.

James Starks: sure, he runs with reckless abandon. But, how's he approaching life as a blocker? Is he still whiffing on blitz pick-ups? Is he attacking blockers too high? Is he even recognizing where the blitz is coming from?

DJ Smith: Smith might be the biggest benefactor to the minor injury that Bishop sustained. It gave him more reps. 1st team reps. It lined him up right next to AJ Hawk. The two of them have been able to battle it out in order to earn playing time alongside a healthy Desmond Bishop in the starting lineup. With Bishop's return fast approaching, the Family Night is Smith's time to shine. Polish the helmet, DJ. Look good. Feel good. Play good. 

MD Jennings: The Doctor currently owns the role at safety in the nickel and dime packages. It'll be interesting to see if "Doctor Karma" is around the ball again. Thus far, when we've seen him, he's been Johnny On The Spot. He will need to continue to find the football and prove that he's physical enough in the box in order to keep his grip on this enhanced role. Carpe dime, Doctor Karma!

Davon House: Another Rasta! It's time to roll, Ras Davon. It's time to roll, baby! Thus far, it appears that he's been a highlight in Training Camp. He's been physical. He's played the ball well in the air. And, with that, it appears that he has taken over the starting spot opposite T-Mon. I'm really curious to see him cover a vintage double move by either Jordy or Be Great Jennings.

DJ Williams: Once again, DJ Williams has been a star early in camp. I'd love to see him elevate his game, so that he could be the TE opposite J-Mike in double TE sets. But, in order to do so, he'll have to improve as a blocker. Last year, he was a liability as a blocker. And, with the way McCarthy shifts his TE's, Williams will have to improve as a blocker or the Packers will become predictable when he's on the field. He has the natural talent to be a lethal weapon down the middle of the field, but he'll have to answer the same questions that I listed for James Starks earlier.

Ryan Taylor: Last year in Training Camp, Taylor made me reminisce about the great Paul Coffman. Then, we saw very little of him in the regular season. Taylor looks to have the special teams gifts, the blocking skills, the route running and the hands to be a rotational TE in the NFL for a long time. 

OL Depth: My biggest concern on this team is the depth of the OL. If we suffer an injury at OT, who will play the back-up role? Thus far, Datko looks to be a sieve. Sherrod hasn't recovered. It's a major concern. We know that EDS will do an admirable job backing up Lang, Sitton, and Saturday, but who is going to step up to back-up Bulaga and Newhouse? Further, can Newhouse continue to develop into a legitimate starting LT? Another guy to watch is Sampson Genus. Though he's only a Center, can he legitimize himself enough to stick around as more than a practice squad player.

QB play: This isn't about the NFL's MVP. Rather, we've heard a lot about the high hopes the Packers have for Graham Harrell. Will he have the confidence to whip it down the seam? Or will he stick to the underneath stuff? It's possible that he'll be facing the first team defense, so we will get a good look at how he's progressed. On the contrary, watch BJ Coleman. Dude, will be fearless. He will rocket the ball all over the field. He will try to squeeze it into traffic. Hell, in some ways, he might even remind you of a young gunslinger from 20 years ago. He definitely has a cannon. His maturity is potentially worth questioning, and with that, only time will tell.

The boys are back in town, G-Force. And, as my Dad said on ESPN NFL Countdown last year, "It's Party Time! Party On!" 

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com








Thursday, July 26, 2012

Yeah, I'm stoked!

Greetings, G-Force.

It's that heavenly time of life again. Where life is at blissful peaks. As I write, I sit in a hammock with "The Bitter End" sitting next to me. "The Bitter End" is a Pale Ale from Two Brothers Brewing out of Warrenville, IL. Coincidentally, it's a fitting name for the 2011 NFL Season. But, onward and upward my Packers Kinsfolk. And, as the String Cheese Incident has famously belted out, "the roller coaster rolls to the bottom before it climbs to the top again." Yes, we're spoiled as Packers fans. Barring injury, with Ted Thompson, Mike McCarthy and Aaron Rodgers at the helm, a devastating Divisional Round home loss in the playoffs is as low as I presume it'll get.

Thus, we move forward with intense anticipation. Excitement at heightened levels as I follow the twitter accounts of Brian Carriveau and Ty Dunne. If you're a Packers fan and you don't read EVERY word that they write, well, you're potentially missing a Ruby-like gem, which might enhance your emotional energy with immense vitality. With that, I gently encourage you to follow both of them on twitter. Sadly, my daily Railbird days in Titletown are behind me. But, through their first-class journalism, I stay current.

As I turn my attention to the 2012 version of the Green Bay Packers, I become ecstatic. I feel close to this team. There's a bond in the locker room. A closeness with the fans. In many ways, it feels communal. And, if we play defense, the Green Bay Packers will, once again, be SUPER BOWL CHAMPIONS.

Since I won't be at practice each day, I'm going to be paying extra attention to these 10 players.

10.) BJ Coleman. Coleman has the confidence and the cannon to become a legitimate NFL QB. But, can he command a huddle and learn the offense. While it is unlikely that we will find out these answers in 2012, I will be curious to hear how he performs. For those that have followed this blog, you know I thought highly of him prior to the draft. I believe he has all of the tools to be as good as Weeden, Tannehill and Cousins. He'll have to work on his footwork, but he will be an ideal project for Mike McCarthy.

9.) Diondre Borel. If Borel is going to justify a roster spot, it is going to have to come via special teams. The Packers are loaded at WR. But, there is an open competition at the gunner spot opposite J-Bush. When P-Lee left to Oakland via Free Agency, a starting spot on the special teams opened up. In the past, the Packers have had good success using a WR as a gunner. Both Terry Mickens and Ruvell Martin did admirable jobs previously.

8.) Tori Gurley. Gurley is a more experienced WR than Borel. Additionally, his physical tools add a dimension that no one else on the team offers at the WR position. The most comparable player is probably J-Mike even though Finley has 15-20 lbs on Gurley. Additionally, Gurley also has the potential to make a significant difference on special teams. Last year, during training camp, we often heard about Gurley's ability to block punts. Can this transition to the real action during the preseason? If so, it might be enough to warrant a roster spot.

7.) Davon House. When House was drafted in the 4th round last year, we were told that he'd remind us of Al Harris. So, he was gifted the #31 jersey and with his dreadlocks flowing beneath the helmet, it felt as though we cloned the physical playing Rastaman. But, injuries derailed his rookie season and though the sample size was small; what we saw was a far cry from the CB who locked down opposing teams #1 WR at Lambeau Field for much of the first decade in the current century. Last year, Harris looked soft and lacked technique. He didn't use his hands well and failed to stand up WR's atthe line of scrimmage. Regardless, House has an enormous opportunity in front of him. The outside CB spot is up for grabs. Sammy Swagga is coming off of a poor season and J-Bush played better in the slot than on the outside. House's development will be fun to follow.

6.) Mike Daniels. The Packers pass rush needs to improve. Wynn & Wilson had their opportunities to establish lengthy careers last year. Both failed. Miserably. Neither is any pass rush threat. The images of Eli Manning having all day to throw are etched the brain. We saw their best, it wasn't good enough. Enter Mike Daniels. Daniels' bowling ball figure would seem to position him well in the battle for leverage. The Packers need two players to elevate the pass rush to take the pressure off CM3 & The Freezer. While it is natural to expect Worthy & Perry to be the impact rushers, do not discount Daniels. He will see time in the rotation and it'll be interesting to watch his role on this defense.

5.) Casey Hayward. "Showcase" has come to Titletown to showcase his skills. Kid is legit. Jordan Rodgers, Aaron's brother and Casey's college teammate, called Showcase the best player he faced last year. I believe that - righ now - Hayward is a better playe than Sammy Swagga and J-Bush. He plays the ball well. I fancy that h will be making plays early in camp.

4.) Terrell Manning. Most believe that the battle at ILB is between DJ Smith and AJ Hawk. While I agree that the competition is a worthwhile discussion (for the record, I hope Smith beats out Hawk), the real story is how the Packers will get off the field on 3rd down. And, in that situation, I don't believe either player is the solution. Maybe it is wishful thinking, but this role might be best suited for Manning. We are often reminded of the Darren Sproles v AJ Hawk play in Week 1 last year. Manning could prove to be the solution. Don't be surprised if the Packers play a fair amount of dime defense with the athletic Manning being the lone LB on the field. Manning looks the part. Can he master these situational defensive schemes? If so, Manning might see important playing time in his rookie season.

3.) Jerel Worthy. It's still hard for me to believe that Worthy will done the Green & Gold. The college enemy has a chance to be a fan favorite at the professional level. He'll be well rested on a DL that is sure to use a heavy rotation. Can Worthy get to the QB at this level? I've often reminded you that Worthy was on the bench on a number of crucial 3rd downs at the college level. The Packers see him as a solution to the porous DL pass rush. If so, Worthy will make us all forget about Cullen Jenkins.

2.) Jerron McMillan. McMillan ran a gazelle-like 4.36 '40' at the Combine. Now, he's going to have to use that speed to show he has the range to play Safety in the NFL. In order to win the starting role, he will have to beat out the Doctor, MD Jennings. Jennings is a good karma player. He finds the ball and the ball finds him. Still, Jennings likely lacks the ize to be an every down player. From what I've heard, McMillan has the athleticism that we severely lacked at the safety position last year. In my mind, it's McMillan's job to lose.

1.) Nick Perry. Sometimes, as a fan, you get what you wanted. In this years draft, the Packers landed two premier players along the front 7 with Perry being the foreman. Most of the attention on Perry will focus on his ability to drop in coverage. How Perry adjusts to the 2-point stance is anyone's guess. Here's my prediction: on 3rd down, when Perry is needed to get to the QB the most, Perry will have his hand in the dirt. He will be attacking the QB in the same fashion that the Ravens have used Terrell Suggs in the past. Perry will be put in position to succeed, even if it means we see the Claymaker dropping in coverage more than we've seen previously.

It's football season. A glorious feeling. And Family Night, which will be my first glimpse of this years team, is only a week away!

GO PACK GO!

Talkin' S-Mac.
Talkins-Mac.blogsot.com
twitter.com/#!/buzzboy3







Sunday, June 17, 2012

My Take -> Roster Prediction Post OTA's

Greetings, G-Force.

First of all, after this post, in the future, Mike McCarthy will be referred to as "the Irishman." Love the nickname. Thanks to Aaron Nagler, of Bleacher Report, for introducing this via Twitter.

In today's NFL, there is a small window to compile Championship runs. For the Green Bay Packers, the window is wide open right now. After this April's NFL Draft, it became clear that Ted Thompson is determined to seize the day. Blessed with the NFL's MVP, last years 15-1 season that ended in a Divisional Playoff loss at Lambeau Field simply isn't good enough. With the present cast of players, anything less than a Super Bowl title is considered a disappointment. As training camp fast approaches, I've never seen a Packers roster that's been this rich in talent. Two years ago, James Jones was a starter throughout the XLV title season. Today, it's likely that he's on the fence to make the team. Two years ago, Frank Zombo was a starter in the XLV victory. This year, it'll be tough for him to make the roster. Here's a breakdown of each position along with my prediction of who will make the 2012 team:

QB: (3) The Packers will enter camp with three QB's. I believe that all 3 will be on the active roster. Clearly, the Packers believe Graham Harrell has the talent to be an emergency QB behind Rodgers. It's also my belief that BJ Coleman will play at a high level during the preseason. Therefore, they won't be able to sneak him onto the practice squad.

RB: (4) With the abundance of talent on this roster, it'll be extremely difficult to cut down to 53 players. At some positions, you have to keep one less player than normal. This year, I see that happening at RB. At this point, it appears as though the Packers have moved on from Ryan Grant. Starks and Kuhn enter camp as the starters. Saine showed enough towards the end of last year to prove that he's worthy of a spot on the squad. If he's healthy, Alex Green will play a large role in the offense this year. Presently, it's fair to assume that Nic Cooper, Jon Hoese, Marc Tyler and Duane Bennett will all be training camp bodies. I'd guess that Hoese, Cooper and Tyler might push for spots on the practice squad.

WR:(6) For now, I see the Packers keeping 6 WR's. After Jennings, Jordy and Cobb; at this point, it's anyone's guess. I can't imagine the Packers cutting Driver this late in the offseason, especially after renegotiating his contract. He's been too vital to the organization. 2012 will be his farewell tour. Right or wrong, unless he is excessively outplayed during camp, Driver makes the team. Thus far, I am guessing that Gurley makes the team. I'd imagine the Packers could save a couple of million dollars off of the cap by releasing Jones. Plus, Gurley offers a special teams dimension that no one on the roster can provide. He could become a weapon with respect to blocking punts. Borel is in a unique spot. The Packers paid to keep him around last year. He also has unique special teams talents. He can return kicks. Further with the loss of P-Lee during Free Agency, the Packers have an open competition at the gunner spot opposite J-Bush. In previous years, Ruvell Martin and Terry Mickens have both played this role well for the Packers. It's not far fetched to think that Borel might have the same ability. Shaky Smithson is a fun name. He has a fun persona. But, he's not making this roster. He's a gifted returner, but Cobb showed tremendous ability at the role last year. It'll be interesting to see if Jones, Gurley, Smithson or Borel have any trade value towards the end of training camp. Dale Moss looks like a prime candidate for the practice squad. Jarrett Boykin and Curenski Gilleylen are training camp bodies.

TE: (4) What to do with the TE position? Can we possibly keep 5 again this year? I'm going to guess that AQ81 starts on the PUP list and thus, we only have 4 TE's on the Week 1 roster. J-Mike is a lock. I expect more out of DJ Williams in 2012. It wouldn't surprise me if he makes the biggest year-over-year jump over anyone on the roster. Tom Crabtree is a solid blocking TE. Our best blocker. He's also a solid special teams player. Ryan Taylor showed glimpses of talent during the preseason last year. The guess is that he makes the roster again this year. Eric Lair is a training camp body.

OL: (9) It is possible that the Packers keep 10 OL, but I'm predicting 9. Newhouse, Lang, Saturday, Sitton, and Bulaga are locks for the Week 1 team. If healthy, so is Sherrod. My guess is that Sherrod will be healthy. Expect Ray Dominguez to be our best backup OL in 2012. Dietrich-Smith filled in admirably last year when he was forced into action. It's hard for me to envision a scenario in which the Packers don't keep those 8 players. Thankfully, those 8 players offer great versatility. Sherrod can play either tackle position. So can Newhouse. Dietrich-Smith can play guard or center. Dominguez can play either guard position. Lang can play any position other than Center. With that said, it's up to the OL in camp to justify keeping more than 8 OL. Andrew Datko might end up being a steal in the draft. He should be kept around. Sampson Genus is the question mark. Do the Packers try to keep him on the practice squad again? Is he trade bait prior to the end of training camp? Do they keep him as a potential backup Center for the future? Genus will be a guy to watch in training camp. Herb Taylor was on the team at the end of the 2011 campaign. He, too, will compete for a roster spot in '12. Mike McCabe, Jaymes Brooks, Tommie Draheim, Don Barclay, Shea Allard and Grant Cook have a lot to prove if they expect to make this team. All are likely vying for a spot on the practice squad. In the end, my guess is that the Packers keep Newhouse, Lang, Saturday, Sitton, Bulaga, Sherrod, Dominguez, Dietrich-Smith, and Datko.

DL: (6) Last year, the Packers had the worst DL in the league. This year, it's possible that it'll be a position of strength. Typically, I'd predict the Packers to keep 6 DL, but one of the intentions of this roster has to be to keep BJ Raji fresh. Raji and Pickett will be the veteran leaders. Worthy will add an influx of flavor to the DL. I have high hopes for Mike Daniels. With Hargrove missing the first 8 games and Neal out for the first 4; Philip Merling, Jarius Wynn, CJ Wilson, Daniel Muir, Lawrence Guy and Johnny Jones will be battling for 3 spots. Merling has a beastly figure. He's a solid run stuffer. Though the Merling signing has not garnered a lot of national attention, the pickup shouldn't be overlooked. Merling hasn't developed into the player that Bill Parcells thought he'd become when he selected him with the 32nd pick of the '08 draft. If he's in shape and he's serious about rejuvenating his career, at worst, Merling should be an upgrade over Wilson and Wynn from a run stopping perspective. Wynn had his chance last year and he failed. Wynn is gone. Wilson isn't going to be the pass rusher we wanted him to become. However, Wilson is an average run stopper. Muir isn't a gifted pass pass rusher either, but he is a good run defender. Johnny Jones is another big body, but he has extreme limitations. I don't see Jones becoming disruptive in the preseason. Guy is a high effort performer. He is youthful with a spirited motor. Guy also has the most upside of anyone on the list. With that, it's my guess that Merling and Guy win the final two DL roster spots. The Packers will have an exciting rotation along the DL in 2012. We will see a well rested, more productive BJ Raji. Look for Guy, Merling and Pickett to grab some run down snaps. Meanwhile, Worthy and Daniels were drafted for their pass rushing ability. In all, expect to see Raji produce at higher levels because of it. It will be tough for Thompson and McCarthy to narrow down the last spot at the DL position.

LB: (8) LB will also be an interesting positional battle. It could be argued that the Packers will keep as few as 8 LB's or as many as 10. It's logical to think that Lattimore and Brad Jones were moved to ILB to offer versatility and to free up a roster spot elsewhere. Francois can offer similar versatility. Clay Matthews finally has someone across from him. Now, it's up to Kevin Greene to get Nick Perry ready to play OLB. Perry was a DE in college. He was a hand in the dirt kind of guy. He's an intense pass rusher. He will have to adjust and it won't be easy. But, he's athletic enough to make the transition. The question will be whether he has the mental capacity to grasp the concepts. Additionally, he will have to keep his confidence. Desmond Bishop will lead the ILB unit and Packers fans will probably have to suffer through another year of AJ Hawk, unless DJ Smith can beat him out. Smith is a lock for the roster. I couldn't be more excited to see Terrell Manning. I'm curious as to how he's used. Largely, I'd fancy that he will be at ILB, however he does possess the instincts to occasionally be used at OLB. After Matthews, Perry, Bishop, Smith, Hawk and Manning; it'll be a heated contest for the remaining roster spots at LB. Special teams will be a determining factor. That doesn't bode well for Frank Zombo and Vic So'oto. So'oto will need a preseason similar to last year in order to make a run at the roster this year. I would have imagined that Walden will make the roster again this year, but, from the sounds of it Dezman Moses was a star in the OTA's. Originally, I'd have thought Moses was a prime candidate for the practice squad, but it's conceivable that he'll push for the roster. It's well known that Thompson & McCarthy are not afraid of keeping undrafted FA's. Moses, Walden Francois, Jones, and Lattimore will be battling for a couple of roster spots and it'll be an open competition. Francois played well in spot duty last year. Jones has been the most productive, but he's also been the most unreliable. Lattimore has the most upside. Lattimore has also been extremely vocal about embracing the move to ILB. He has said all of the right things. McCarthy values reliability and versatility. Therefore, for now, Lattimore gets the nod even though I believe Jones is a more natural fit at ILB. In fact, Jones might be better suited for ILB than OLB. As of now, my prediction is the Packers only keep 8 LB's. It was the hardest of the positions to pull the trigger on. I'd love to keep 9 or 10. I don't have room, but as camp progresses this will be an area I'll have to review. The 8: CM3, Perry, Smith, Bishop, Hawk, Manning, Moses, and Lattimore.

DB: (10) The secondary projects as the easiest position to predict. Not that there aren't question marks, but the top 10 appear to be fairly obvious. Woodson, T-Mon and Burnett are starters. Look for MD Jennings to make a run at the starting safety spot. Peprah is a lock. So is Shields. Casey "Show Case" Heyward will compete for a role in the nickel. It's too early to give up on Davon House. From what I've read, Jerron McMillan looked the part in the rookie orientation and in OTA's, for what it's worth. J-Bush is a lock. With that said, Dion Turner, Otis Merrill, and Sean Richardson will compete for practice squad spots. Richardson has ability and could push for a spot on the 53 man roster. Anthony Levine will likely be on the outside looking in.

Specialists: (3) Tim Masthay, Mason Crosby, Brett Goode.

Toughest cuts: James Jones, CJ Wilson, Jarius Wynn, Erik Walden, Brad Jones, Robert Francois, and Sampson Genus.

Top 5 Practice Squad guesses: Genus, Dale Moss, Nic Cooper, Dezman Moses, Sean Richardson.

Finally, you'll have to pardon me for this portion, but I had to give a mock draft for 2013. I read something from Chad Reuter last weekend that struck a chord with me - and I paraphrase - "when the draft is over, you don't feel disappointment that your work studying those players for 365 days is behind you rather you watch the same games, but look at different prospects." Again, I'm not a draftnik. I just like the NFL, College Football and the NFL Draft. And, in some cases, before the draft, I discuss my liking for guys such as Nick Perry, Jerel Worthy, Casey Heyward, and BJ Coleman before the draft and they all become draft picks by the Green Bay Packers. With that, I bring to you the initial 2013 Mock Draft.

Round 1: Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M. He's Clay's cousin. I haven't given up on Sherrod yet, but Matthews would be too good to pass up on. Depending on the developments along the DL, a guy to watch is Kawaan Short, Purdue. My good mate, Stack, is all over Short's game.

Round 2: Kenny Stills, WR, OK. Love the name and the bloodlines! Stills gets the ball in traffic. He has attitude and makes plays after the catch. With Jennings being a FA and Driver likely in his last year, WR becomes a potential need position. I like the safety position in the 2013 Draft. Ray Ray Armstrong, []_[], has all the tools to be a Pro Bowl player, but his off the field antics can be tiring. Robert Lester, Alabama, is a legit prospect. At ILB, Nico Johnson, Alabama, is a guy to watch.

Round 3: Cierre Wood, RB, ND. Wood is a tough, instinctive runner who cuts well and has great vision. Sheldon Richardson, DL, Mizzou, is an absolute beast of a man, but has struggled to keep himself on the field.

Round 4: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington. At times, I absolutely love his game. But, consistency and effort are concerns. He can play the ball in the air and occasionally, he's an absolute stud against the run. But, he will also shy away from contact. Ray Graham, RB, Pitt. If this guy stays healthy, watch out. But, he's recovering from a major knee injury.

Round 5: Vaughn Telemaque, S, []_[]. Telemaque plays the ball well in the air. Isn't necessarily littered with speed, but he has great hands. He can get lost and misses assignments. Doesn't always take a great angle towards the ball carrier. Nonetheless, he'd be a good value pick.

Round 6: Anthony Rashad White, DL, Michigan State. He was Worthy's running mate last year. I look for him to have a big year and to jump up draft boards, if his height isn't too much of an issue. He's athletic. Gets a good push. Solid effort. Active. Understands leverage. Hasn't been overly productive, but a good rotational DL. Underrated prospect.

Round 7: Jonathan Bostic, ILB, Florida. He's the emotional leader of the Gator defense. Slightly undersized. Great activity. Sideline to sideline patroller of the field. Does get suffocated. Jordan Rodgers, QB, Vandy would be a fun pick as he's the MVP's lil' bro, but it's not happening. Stephan Taylor, RB, Stanford is a guy to watch. I'll be curious to see how he performs without all of the studs that left Stanford last year. If he plays well, he could end up being a mid-round prospect.

Enjoy Summer.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
Talkins-Mac.blogspot.com

Sunday, May 6, 2012

My Take -> Draft Review (Rounds 4-7 and Undrafted Free Agents)

Greetings, G-Force.

After putting himself to win the first two rounds of the NFL Draft, Ted Thompson stayed aggressive on the defensive side of the ball. Mike Daniels, Jerron McMillan and Terrell Manning will all be expected to make an impact in 2012. To close the Draft, Thompson went with two solid developmental players in Andrew Datko and BJ Coleman.

Candidly, I can't say I know much about either Daniels or McMillan. Daniels is an undersized DL who has showed a pension for getting to the QB. Last year, he had 9 sacks and 13.5 tackles for loss. The year before he had 11 tackles for loss and 4.5 sacks. From the minimal film that I've seen, it appears as though Daniels understands leverage and goes for the first punch prior to pushing the OL into the backfield. With Mike Neal out for the first 4 games and Anthony Hargrove out for the first 8 games, Daniels might be asked to make an immediate impact in the DL rotation.

I've never seen Jerron McMillan play football. Though I watched the Combine, I don't recall him even though he had a terrific performance as he ran the 40 in 4.36 and had a vertical of 39 inches. From what I read, he won't necessarily be the guy to replace the huge hole left by the release of Nintendo Nick Collins. While Nintendo Nick was a playmaking DB who roamed the center of the field, it appears McMillan is best suited to play at the line of scrimmage. He's been described as a fearless blitzer. He had 3.5 sacks last year. My initial thought is that he'll compete for the starting Safety spot across from Morgan Burnett. Burnett has shown the ability to be a ballhawk. With that, it's possible that McMillan could be an ideal compliment to Burnett.

When Thompson traded up for Terrell Manning, I was ultra surprised. Manning has an injury riddled history. Clearly, Thompson wanted him as he gave up a 6th and two 7th's to jump up and get him. Unlike Daniels and McMillan, I have great familiarity with Manning. Manning will get sideline-to-sideline. He moves well in space, but doesn't always take the best angle towards the ball. He plays fairly well in coverage. He sheds blocks decently even though he occasionally plays too high. He's dreaded! He plays with great intensity. I didn't have him on the Packers radar for a couple of reasons. First and foremost, I thought he'd be picked in the 3rd Round, which I figured was too early for the Packers to draft an ILB. Secondly, Manning is leaner than the other ILB's on the roster. In some ways, I wondered if Manning was best suited as a 4-3 ILB and this pick made me wonder if the Packers were going to play a little 4-3 in 2012. Either way, I see Manning as a player who will successfully perform on special teams this year.

In Andrew Datko, Ted Thompson rolled the dice. If Datko stays healthy, the Packers might end up with a steal in the 2012 NFL Draft. He's aggressive. He's athletic. He uses his hands extremely well. And when his shoulder is healthy, he's got the strength required to play LT in the NFL. Had he stayed healthy throughout his college career, he'd have had the talent to be worthy of a 1st Round pick. But, Datko has been littered with injuries. Love the pick at the end of the 7th Round. Great value. If Datko can stay healthy, the Packers might have a gem.

With his last pick of the 2012 NFL Draft, Thompson grabbed BJ Coleman. Let me put it this way: I'm not a draftnik, but man, when I watched the QB's in the 2012 NFL Draft and how their games, size, speed and arm strength translated to the NFL; I looked at it this way: Andrew Luck and RGIII are way above everyone. After them, I thought that you could bunch Ryan Tannehill, Kirk Cousins, BJ Coleman, Brandon Weeden and Russell Wilson together. I seriously believe that BJ Coleman has the talent to eventually be the 3rd best QB to come out of this draft. Granted, unless an injury occurs to the NFL's MVP, Coleman won't get the opportunities that Tannehill and Weeden will get, but he could be Mr. August in 2013 and 2014. He's athletic. He has a cannon of an arm. He can make all of the throws. He's precise. After the Draft, I watched the East West Shrine Game again. Coleman was rock solid. He grabbed control of the huddle. He was accurate. He threw the out pass. He threw the crossing route. He fit balls into tight spaces down the seam. He moved his feet well. For a 7th Round pick, there wasn't much to dislike. I will say that I have minute concerns about his attitude as I hear that he can occasionally get down on his WR's if they run the wrong route or drop passes. I understand that he'll get in your face and criticize. He's not always constructive. Regardless, he's a competitor. And, in the 7th Round, I love this pick. Hell, in my pre-Mock, I had the Packers drafting him in Round 5!

The Packers also signed a handful of undrafted FA's. If you've followed the blog for a while, you'll know that I watched a lot of Vanderbilt football last year. Two players consistently impressed me: Casey Hayward and Sean Richardson. Richardson is not a ball hawk. Instead, he's a sure tackling safety who will make a living in the box. He hits with a vengeance. He's a bit of a tweener as he might be too big for safety and too small for LB. Nonetheless, he's a football player who was a high impact player in the SEC. It'll be interesting to see where the Packers line him up.

Marc Tyler is a fun signing. Ted Thompson loves bloodlines. Tyler has them. Coming off a disappointing college career, Tyler will be animated to prove the critics wrong. He isn't going to run by anyone, but he's powerful, he's instinctive and he hits the hole with passion. Additionally, since he was in a thick rotation at USC, he doesn't have a lot of wear and tear on his legs. At one point during the college season, he was projected as a mid-round pick. I can't guarantee that he'll make the team, but he'll definitely be in the mix as training camp commences.

I'll be curious to follow Nic Cooper, Dale Moss, Dion Turner and Dezman Moses. Cooper has beast like statistics at the collegiate level and it's anticipated that the Packers will move him to FB. Moss was a basketball player and at 6-4, 215, he presents himself as a potential match-up problem. He'll likely try to find his way onto the practice squad. At 6-0, 195, Turner has the height and weight that the Packers target for the position. At 6-3, 248, Moses has the ideal physique for an OLB in the 3-4. Additionally, Moses had a productive college career with 9.5 sacks last year. Further, the deep roots between the Packers front office and the University of Iowa has been well documented. With that said, it's important to note that Moses began his college career in Iowa.

The first rookie camp is this week. I can't wait to see our new toys in uniform!

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
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