Thursday, October 24, 2019

My Take -> Week 8

Greetings, G-Force.

In times like these, it's hard for me to even pretend to be dispassionate. On a day when Lambeau Field showed beautifully through the TV screen, the Packers offense was as dominant as we've seen it since the 2016 NFL Season. And, as the NFL season charges towards to the midway point of the Regular Season, it appears as though the Packers are well positioned to be a legitimate contender in the NFC.

As I write, I sip a New Belgium Oakspire. It's a Bourbon Barrel Ale. A collaboration with Knob Creek. The caramel ale checks in at 9%. The beer doesn't have the hot bourbon feel that I expected. Instead, it's fairly smooth. I listen to the Dirty Heads "Home - Phantoms of Summer" album. If you don't know the song "Sloth's Revenge", I strongly encourage a listen.

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

The conversation between LaFleur and Rodgers early in the game was absolutely priceless. Rodgers saying that he wanted 5 TD's. LaFleur saying that he wanted 6. They're excitement together is riveting. They're having fun. Their brotherhood is consistently growing. I love what they're building together.

Through 7 weeks, the Packers defense ranks 26th in the NFL in yards per game. Almost amazingly, although they're giving up yards in the masses, they rank 9th in the NFL in points allowed. In large part, this is possible because the defense has buckled down in the Red Zone. And, they've consistently forced turnovers when their backs are against the wall. This defense plays to every inch on the field. It's not a fluke that this defense stiffens up in the Red Zone. They've done it every week except for against Philly. It's not a fluke that this defense forces turnovers. They've done it in 5 of 7 games. At this stage, as fans, we should expect it. The defense has defined itself.

Make no mistake about it, this has become Matt LaFleur's offense. We're seeing all kinds of misdirection. LaFleur has coached up Rodgers to find the check-down. Rodgers is no longer afraid of the middle of the field. LaFleur has earned Rodgers' trust. It's clear that they're enjoying game planning together.

An encouraging note: we've seen the Packers win a game in which the offense failed to show up in Chicago. And, we've seen the Packers win a game in which the defense struggled to get off of the field. This team has shown that they can win in a wide variety of ways.

Aaron Rodgers. In MVP perform. A sight to see. If he can continue to master this offense, look out. Anything is possible.

Phenomenal to see Aaron Jones getting back on track. He continues to be a weapon in the passing game. His burst through the hole has been a difference maker for this offense.

Jamaal Williams with another great game. I can't get enough of the camaraderie between Williams and Jones.

Without question, this was Jimmy Graham's best game as a Packer. Graham looked quicker. He made a great grab for a TD. He grabbed big yards after the catch. He was moving the sticks. Well done, Jimmy!!

MVS now has 5 30+ yard catches through 7 games. I was hoping that he'd get 10 this year. He's on pace. He's a big play waiting to happen. LaFleur's use of MVS has been spectacular. MVS is consistently running deep routes and stretching the field. That's helping to open up both the underneath routes and the middle of the field. Even as a decoy, MVS' speed is a difference maker. You have to guard him.

Loved seeing G-Mo and MVS showing up with big-time performances when their status was in question.

Another solid game from Dean Lowry. He was moving people.

KEVIN KING!! Another really strong performance by King.

How about Will Redmond? His hustle play saved a TD. That's two weeks in a row that the Packers have chased down a would-be TD from behind to save points. The week before, it was Jaire who made the play.

Blake Martinez didn't look good in coverage. But, he finished with 16 tackles and he was chasing Carr down as he neared the goal line to prevent the TD and force the fumble. Massive play by Blake Martinez.

Championship teams finish halves strong. Championship teams start the 3rd Quarter strong. When Rodgers hit Kumerow to finish the 2nd Quarter, that felt like a game changing play. Especially with the Packers getting the ball to start the 3rd. When LaFleur called the shot play to MVS to start the 3rd off of play-action, he went for the kill. LaFleur was aggressive. Rodgers was dialed in. The Packers were playing Championship football.

Another dominant display by the OL. Every one of them showed well. Jenkins and Turner have brought great quickness as blockers to the run game.

Granted they only played mop up duty, but man, I expected a lot more out of Dexter Williams and Josh Jackson. Williams was slow moving. Jackson had a chance to jump a route and didn't deliver the interception.

At some point, the Smith Bros. are going to need some help in getting to the QB. Whether it's Fackrell, Gary, Clark, Lowry, Keke or Tim Williams; someone has to help the Smith Bros. in applying pressure on the QB and finishing plays. A part of me would like to see Tim Williams active soon and used in spot duty as a pass rushing option.

It is really good to see Oren Burks in pads. Even if it's just on special teams. He's a difference maker to help prevent kickoff returns.

Aaron Rodgers. 25/31. 429 yards. 5 TD's. A rushing TD as well. That's perfection.

DANNY VITALE!! SMOOTH, BABY!! An added dimension in the passing game. Soft hands. And, the yards after the catch. Consider this: he had two catches for 43 yards. That's 21.5 yards per catch. He looked like Tom Rathman out there!

Loved seeing Kumerow stretch for the TD after he tip toed down the sideline.

Lazard with the acrobatic catch!! Wish he'd have hauled in the grab down the sidelines as well. But, nonetheless, another good showing for Lazard.

Adrian Amos is in the open field is a thing of beauty. Love the way he wraps up.

Another stellar showing by JK Scott.

Mason Crosby splitting the uprights makes me smile.

It's thrilling to watch how well Rodgers is seeing the field right now. I can only believe that his play will continue to perform as he continues to get comfortable in this offense.

In order for a team to put themselves in a position to consider them Super, they need to have depth when injuries occur to starters. Thus far, we've seen that the Packers have shown depth at WR without Davante Adams. The Packers offense was lethal without Jamaal Williams. Will Redmond rose to the occasion in place of Darnell Savage. BJ Goodson has played well as he's quickly been asked to learn the system as a replacement for Oren Burks. When Linsley went out, Lucas Patrick played exceptionally well. The one major hiccup: when Bulaga went out against Philly, it didn't appear as though the Packers had a worthwhile replacement. The depth of this team has shown Gutekunst as a shining star. He's compiled a roster that is thick with talent.

I'm really excited for Darnell Savage to return to this team.

It sure feels like the Packers will score a defensive touchdown soon.

Here's my weekly 2020 Mock Draft:

Round 1: Alaric Jackson, OT, Iowa.
Round 2: Kenneth Murray, ILB, Oklahoma.
Round 3: Brandon Jones, S, Texas.
Round 4: Leki Fotu, DL, Utah.
Round 5: Michael Divinty, ILB, LSU.
Round 6: Kendall Coleman, EDGE, Syracuse.
Round 6: Matt Bushman, TE, BYU.
Round 7: Luke Farrell, TE, Ohio State.
Round 7: Tyler Clark, DL, Georgia.
Round 7: Devin Duvernay, WR, Texas.

This week - it's the Chiefs. At Arrowhead. On Sunday Night. This is a statement game for the Packers. Thus far, the Packers are undefeated on the road. The Chiefs might be without their superstar at QB. The Packers must come out and play with intensity. Show the NFL world that they belong among the elite. And, with the strength within the NFC, the Packers need this one to continue to hold onto the lead in the NFC North over the 'queens.

The Chiefs are loaded with talent on offense. Tyreek Hill is as dynamic as it gets in the league. Every time he touches the ball, he's a threat to score a TD. Sammy Watkins is a physical possession WR. Mecole Hardman is a bright young talent at WR who is dangerous with the ball in his hands. Byron Pringle is a physical player and will win jump balls in traffic. At RB, Damien Williams is a playmaker on the edges. He sees the hole and hits it quickly. He's a good receiver out of the backfield as well. LeSean McCoy is still a gifted RB who makes defenders miss in the open field. Travis Kelce is among the best TE's in football. He dominates as both a blocker and a receiver. If Mahomes plays, this offense is as good as any offense in football. Without Mahomes, Andy Reid will be required to be the architect who drafts up open receivers for Matt Moore to move the team.

Defensively, the Chiefs aren't overly stout, but they do have a number of intriguing playmakers. Frank Clark has caused problems for the Packers in the past. Alex Okafor is a good rotational EDGE defender. Chris Jones absolutely dominates on the interior of the line. Anthony Hitchens has a nose for finding the football. Tyrann Mathieu remains a star in this league. He's a weapon on the blitz. He finds the football. Juan Thornhill is a rising star at Safety. The question marks come at CB. I'm a fan of Bashaud Breeland. I wanted him back in GB. But, he can be beaten. Charvarius Ward can be targeted. Kendall Fuller is a nice player, but he, too, can be taken advantage of.

This is a great test for Matt LaFleur. He'll be battling against a terrific playcaller in Andy Reid. It'll be interesting to see how both of these teams scheme.

I know Mahomes practiced on Wednesday, but I find it hard to believe that he'll be the starting QB this weekend. I'm guessing that it'll be Matt Moore as the QB. Moore is a disciplined veteran QB. Look for Reid to scheme to get Travis Kelce open on a number of out routes. Reid will also design play action passes to get Hill in man-to-man coverage deep down the field.

Look for Pettine to have Jaire follow Hill all over the field. King matches up with Watkins. It wouldn't surprise me to see T-Mon muscling up with Kelce. What T-Mon will lose in size, he'll make up for in mind. T-Mon might not be seeing the snaps that he's seen in the past, but he might be the most trusted defender that the Packers have to slow down TE's.

Regardless of who is playing QB, if the Packers can't get pressure, it'll be difficult to slow this offense down. The Packers defense must win the line of scrimmage. Look for Pettine to call a variety of inside blitzes to try and get the QB off of his spot.

If it's not play action, Reid will design plays that are quick hitting crossing routes and slants. He will want to get the ball out of the QB's hand in three seconds or less. Pettine must respond with man coverage.

I'd like to think that the interior of the Packers DL can match-up well with the interior of the Chiefs OL to slow down the run.

Offensively, look for the Packers to try and spread out the Chiefs out. If so, the Chiefs don't have the depth to man-up against LaFleur's trickery. The Chiefs secondary can't run with MVS. Hopefully, the Packers will target MVS deep down the field early in the game.

Expect Rodgers to hand to Jones on a couple of quick hitting run plays right at the edges of the Chiefs defense to help slow down the pass rush.

The Packers win both sides of the line of scrimmage. Bulaga and Bakhtiari control the perimeter of the line on offense. Clark and Lowry show up big on the interior of the defensive line.

MVS finds the end zone again this week.

Savage grabs an interception in his return to the field.

The Packers defense responds nicely.

My guess is that Mahomes doesn't play.

Packers 27.
Chiefs 16.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com

Thursday, October 17, 2019

My Take -> Week 7

Greetings, G-Force.

What a victory! Mental fortitude at it's finest. A gutty performance. A cool confidence displayed throughout - even when things felt bleak. A never say die mentality. The reward was fulfilling. A 3-0 start in the Division puts the Packers in a good position from a tie breaker perspective. The Packers must not bask in this goodness. Instead, this team must continue to keep the foot on the gas pedal as the Division appears to be thick with talent.

As I write, I listen to the Grateful Dead's 5/19/74 show from Portland Memorial Coliseum. If you don't own this vinyl, look for it. It's a great spin. I sip a Myrcenary Double IPA from Odell. Presently, I drink this beer more than any other. It's 9.3%. It has a Tropical Hop feel. It goes down smoothly. It's fantastic.

Here are my quick vibes from last week:

Yes, this team has flaws. But, I absolutely love the 2019 Green Bay Packers.

When Brian Gutekunst drew up his offseason plan for recreating the Packers roster, he knew that Aaron Rodgers made all of his skill players better. So, he focused his attention on the physical nature of this team. Gutekunst’s emphasis on the trenches rather than the fantasy football approach towards roster construction helped deliver a massive Monday Night division victory. And, it certainly didn’t hurt that Rodgers lived up to his end of the equation with a band-aid collection of talent at WR and a slow moving, washed up TE as his targets.

It’s easy to criticize LaFleur because he’s still difficult to listen to in a press conference. It sounds like he’s really canned and has a lot of quirky transition statements. But man, I really like how he’s putting his stamp on this offense. Each week - its looking more like his offense rather than offenses of years past. He still has to work on the 3rd Quarter, but it’s developing nicely.

Pettine’s crew adjusted nicely. They were beaten early over the top, but responded by winning in the Red Zone. Pettine also altered his defensive approach by playing more aggressively in his approach to stop the run. He came with the run blitz. He added an extra DL on most early downs. He was rewarded as the defense played very well in the run game.

Aaron Rodgers is playing like he wants to win a Super Bowl. Badly. He's dialed in. He's focused. He's rejuvenated. And, he looks healthy.

So, this is what it feels like to be the beneficiary of poor officiating late in games? I’ll take it! For years, it’s felt like late-game officiating has gone against the Packers. The 98 playoffs, the Fail Mary, the ‘queens game last year and this years loss to the Eagles immediately come to mind. It’s nice to have the advantage come the Packers way.

Really happy to see the way Jaire responded after his poor showing in Dallas. His hustle play on the first play from scrimmage saved the Packers 4 points.

The Smith Bros. making splash plays and celebrating together will never get old. Their spirit is infectious! What a beautiful buzz!

Kevin King got off to a rough start, but he kept fighting. He responded well. Stayed focused and eventually was up to the task on a number of crucial plays in the 3rd and 4th Quarter.

Aaron Jones will have better days in the future.

Another phenomenal game by Bryan Bulaga.

Corey Linsley and Elgton Jenkins completely dominated the line of scrimmage. Jenkins looks like an absolute stud in the run game. He is fluid getting to the second level.

Allen Lazard throwing heavyweight punches to help him pick up 6 yards after the catch was the type of fight that you love to see. He was a battering bull on a mission seeking contact. Lazard provided the spark that the Packers needed.

Watching Rodgers on Monday Night reminded me of watching Favre in 1996 as he was tossing Touchdowns to Don Beebe and Terry Mickens.

Don't let the questionable officiating calls ruin the enjoyment that LaFleur is bringing to this offense. I love the way he's using MVS. He's sending him on crossing routes. He's sending him deep down the field. He's sending him on a wide variety of sweeps, often in a disguise fashion.

Speaking of MVS, it was great to see him hauling his third reception of more than 30 yards on the year. I'm hoping to see him grab 10 of them this year.

Marcedes Lewis has been a great surprise this year.

Fantastic game, Jamaal Williams. He brought momentum. His spark light a fire in this offense. It was great to see him with the ball in his hands again.

Keep your head up, Shep.

With Ibraheim Campbell soon to be in the mix, I'm hoping that he can step into the ILB role next to Martinez when Pettine decides to go small.

Rodgers showed great faith in Lazard on the 35 yard TD pass. On the play before, Lazard was unable to haul in a difficult catch in traffic. But, Rodgers came back to him. It was great to see Rodgers showing confidence in a receiver who has been buried on the depth chart.

The Jaire pass break-up on the final third down play was sensational. He fought to the finish to save the defense.

The Smith Bros. third down impact cannot be overstated. They've been unbelievable!

Dean Lowry was a monster in the run game.

Hope G-Mo is healthy enough to quickly return. While he's been a disappointment thus far this year, he's a good talent and this team needs him.

Goodson brought a physical approach to the defense.

It's so fun to see Rodgers scrambling for first down yardage on big plays.

Fackrell continues to get close. It really feels like he has a high impact game on the horizon.

Billy Turner has gotten better each and every week.

The Packers got the ball back with 6:46 to play. Trailing by 2. They went 14 plays for 77 yards. They ate up the entire 6:46 on the clock and won on a FG at the buzzer. That's championship football.

The Mason Crosby Lambeau Leap. Delightful!

What happened to Jimmy Graham's athleticism? He was among the most lethal TE targets that I'd ever seen. Especially in the Red Zone. Now? He's slow and can't seem to get off of the ground. He's only 32 years old. I can't figure it out.

At this stage, teams are showing no respect for the Packers Kickoff units. They're returning the ball on kicks that are deep into the end zone. They're challenging the Packers units to prove that they can tackle. And, the opposition is intentionally kicking short to the Packers and still preventing the Packers from getting to the 25 yard line.

I'm really happy that Jace Sternberger has been designated to return. While it's highly unlikely that he'll make an impact over the next 4-6 weeks, I do feel that he'll bring an added dimension to this offense in the 2019 Season. It'll be important for him to find a connection with Rodgers. If given the opportunity, he'll bring more athleticism as a receiver than the Packers are currently getting from their TE group.

Take note: the Packers won a divisional game in prime time with a banged up MVS , Lazard, Shepherd and Kumerow as the WRs when they were down 9 with less than 10 minutes to play. I love you, Aaron Rodgers!

When the Packers got the ball back with 12:17 to play and down 9, I had my doubts. But, 7 plays and 79 yards later, while only taking 3:14 off of the clock and the Packers were in business. That was an efficient offensive display.

The defense bent early. But, they didn't break. They also responded after being put in multiple tough positions throughout the 2nd half. Pettine's unit responded brilliantly as the game wore on.

If the Packers win on Sunday, it’d also become a great day for Scoreboard watching. What an awesome Sunday for the NFL. MN at DET, BALT at SEA, NO at CHI, PHI at DALLAS, RAMS at ATL. Those could all be great games that we have our eyes on. Meanwhile, the Packers better take care of their own business.

My good buddy, Craig Forrestal, has been published on the Fanspeak Draft Boards under the NFL Draft Diamonds name. I used his Big Board to create my mock draft this week:

Round 1: Javon Kinlaw, DL, South Carolina.
Round 2: Ceedee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma.
Round 3: Raequan Williams, DL, Michigan State.
Round 4: Colby Parkinson, TE, Stanford.
Round 5: Richard Lecounte, S, Georgia.
Round 6: Michael Divinty, LB, LSU.
Round 6: Jeff Thomas, WR, Miami.
Round 7: Daelin Hayes, EDGE, ND.
Round 7: Lamar Jackson, CB, Nebraska.
Round 7: Luke Farrell, TE, Ohio State.

This week - it's the Raiders coming to Lambeau. Consider this one a must win. They're entering a tough 2nd half of the season schedule. With that, they must be able to take care of Lambeau against an inferior opponent. Injured or not, the Packers have more talent than the Raiders and they must be able to win this game.

Offensively, the Raiders have been running the ball through the tackles. Josh Jacobs looks like the real deal. He's also very good as a receiving option out of the backfield. When Derek Carr takes care of the football, he's dangerous. But, he's prone to turnovers. The Packers must take advantage of their opportunities to steal the ball. Darren Waller is a fantastic weapon at TE. The Raiders WR's shouldn't pose a significant threat to the Packers secondary. Tyrell Williams might not play and he's their best option. Zay Jones has underachieved as a pro. Dwayne Harris is dangerous with the ball in his hands, but he's a rough route runner. I like Hunter Renfrow in the slot, but he's solely a possession receiver. Trevor Davis will undoubtedly be motivated to show well against his old team. The Raiders calling card has been the nasty on the OL. Gabe Jackson and Trent Brown have manned up on the right side of the line. Former 1st round pick, Kolton Miller, is developing nicely at LT. And, good ol' Richie Incognito is still a bruiser at LG.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Raiders have a lot of young talent. Arden Key and Clelin Ferrell are loaded with skill and still developing as every down NFL players. Johnathan Hankins is well traveled. He's a try hard vet. I like Josh Mauro as a rotational DE. Maurice Hurst could eventually be a considered a steal of the 2018 Draft. I love his game. Tahir Whitehead is a playmaking coverage LB. I'd like to think that the Packers could do damage against the Raiders secondary. Nevin Lawson is prone to penalties. Lamarcus Joyner is an aggressive Safety, but he can be beaten on the double move. Karl Joseph has had big play, hard-hitting moments, but he can be vulnerable to giving up the big play. Daryl Worley works hard at CB. He's consistent, but he isn't a game changing CB. Gareon Conley is still developing at CB. He'll make an occasional play, but he can be attacked. If the Packers have Adams, MVS and Allison; I'd envision a big offensive output.

This game will be an interesting challenge for the Packers DL. Gruden will undoubtedly challenge the Packers DL in the run game. And, after it, he'll go to play action to try and find the Packers in single coverage on the outside. They'll also look for Waller on crossing routes and Renfrow on quick out routes out of the slot.

The Raiders will to try to get Josh Jacobs 20 touches on Sunday.

The Raiders will consistently test the Packers ability to cover the TE. Waller will get a multitude of targets.

If the Packers can get out to an early lead, I can't see the Raiders coming back. So, it'll be important for the Packers to not let the Raiders stick around.

Expect LaFleur to call a double move to MVS on a deep route early in the game. He'll be looking for a big play to get this offense started.

Then, LaFleur stays patient. He stays committed to the run game. He finds Lazard on a comeback watch out of play action.

Assuming Adams can't play, look for LaFleur to move Lazard around the field. You'll see Lazard in the slot. You'll see him split wide left. You'll see him split wide to the perimeter on the Right. He's a big target that Rodgers seems to trust.

Look for Kevin King to grab another interception. The Packers defense forces two turnovers this week.

I'm going to keep banging the Fackrell drum until he has a 2-sack game. It's coming, I can feel it! He's single blocked when he's on the field. And, he's getting close. But, Fackrell, you have to finish, young man! Make this the week!

The Packers grab an early lead. They keep the offense moving with excitement all game as Aaron Jones gets unleashed, once again.

Packers 30.
Raiders 16.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com




Friday, October 11, 2019

My Take -> Week 6

Greetings, G-Force.

Let’s pause. Reflect. Embrace. Enjoy. We haven’t even reached mid October and the Packers have victories over each of my three least favorite teams in the NFL. It’s important to bask in the goodness of moments like these.

As I write, I sip an Avery Double Barreled Maple Stout. It reigns supreme at 15.5%. Loaded with cinnamon, chocolate and maple syrup. Sugary sweet. It is dessert in a glass. So, if my writing comes off in a different tone, I apologize, but you know why. This beer is robust! I listen to the self-titled Sublime album as I type. It was written in 1996, the first Super Bowl title year of my lifetime. This album takes me back in time to a joyful place. An all-time classic for me.

Here are my quick vibes:

The Packers went into Dallas. Without Davante Adams and Jamaal Williams. And they dropped 34 points on Dallas. Very well designed, Matt LaFleur.

Here are the four TD drives for the Packers: 5 plays, 47 yards, 1:29 off the clock; 9 plays, 89 yards, 5:20 off the clock; 7 plays, 58 yards, 3:53 off the clock; and 4 plays, 79 yards, 2:24 off the clock. The FG drive to put the Packers up three scores before the half? 12 plays, 79 yards, 6:03 off the clock. The offense showed both a patient approach with a command of the line of scrimmage and an ability to hit you quickly. It was an impressive performance. Hopefully, it’s a sign of things to come.

Thankfully, the Packers jumped out to an early lead, so Dallas had to step away from a full fledged commitment to the run. Zeke averaged more than 5 yards per carry. I had no confidence that the Packers could slow him down.

Aaron Rodgers continues to look like he’s more comfortable with this offense. He was cerebral. He was in command at the line. He was nimble moving around the pocket. Great fun!

I love the brotherhood between Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur. Fiery competitors who seem to really know and understand each other. It feels like they might be similar dudes on GameDay. Thus far, it’s been a winning approach.

Aaron Jones is unbelievably talented. His ability to get small through the hole, to bounce off of tackles, to find the end zone, and to glide into the second level of the defense is a great to watch. It was great to see him as a receiver, too. His awareness and field vision are also top notch.

MVS showed his deep threat capabilities with a slippery smooth move to get open down the field. Had Rodgers not underthrew him, he’d have walked into the end zone.

The screen to Marcedes Lewis is a thing!

I’ve been critical of Lucas Patrick in the past. And, I’ll admit, when I saw him step into the field to play Center, I was really concerned. But, the guy really stepped up. He held his own. And, ultimately, the offense didn’t skip a beat with him on the field. Well done!

It feels like Jenkins might be becoming a budding star in this league. His ability to move people into the second level in the run game is a sight to see. He’s mobile. He’s big. He’s powerful.

Bulaga is off to a fantastic start to the year.

Billy Turner is starting to make his impact felt in the run game. He’s plays with finesse over power. He moves his feet well. I still worry about him in pass protection, but he played really well in Dallas.

If you pay attention to the way his teammates look at him, you know that David Bakhtiari is a leader on this team.

Tra Carson reliably stepping in was a sight to see. His presence on GameDay shows how little confidence that LaFleur has in Dexter Williams.

The Tonyan catch down the sideline was a feel good moment. I hope his injury doesn’t sideline him.

It sure feels like the Davante Adams injury is going to keep him out for at least a month.

The Packers could use a healthy Jace Sternberger as a receiving option right now.

I hope that the Packers have learned that they should just hand the ball off to Jones 4x inside the 5. He has a nose for the end zone.

The Smith Bros. share a unique knack for consistently making splash plays when it feels like the defense needs them the most. They have bailed this defense out of tough situations multiple times this year. I love the sacks on 3rd down to knock the opposition out of FG range. Game winning plays.

Another dynamite game by Kevin King. His interception was the play that sealed the game.

Chandon Sullivan giving the shoutout to Nintendo Nick is so superfly that I’m not even sure I can explain it. But, I’ll try. This teams has unity. This time has a passion for the history of the G. They seem proud to wear the G. They’re having fun. And, it’s showing in all phases of the way they carry themselves.

Smash Amos continues to be dependable. He’s physical. He finishes in the open field. He’s been a difference maker for this defense.

Once again, Will Redmond flashes brilliantly as a gunner. He even showed well in coverage. Great bounce back game for him on the defensive side of the ball.

I’m really worried about the Savage injury.

Kyler Fackrell continues to get close. He needs to finish. If he does, it wouldn’t shock me if he had a multi-sack game soon.

Can you imagine what this pass rush would look like if Gary could consistently get pressure on the QB? Just play, young man. Let your nuts hang!

Big difference from last year: Pettine can trust his front 4 to get home without blitzing. Last year, he needed to blitz to get pressure. This year, he’s been able to rush 4. Drop in coverage. And, because of it, the Packers have 7 guys in coverage; so the chances to create big plays increase significantly. The early returns have been really positive as the defense has forced crucial turnovers in 4 of 5 weeks.

Oren Burks made an appearance! I’d love to see him fully in the mix.

The Packers won by 10 points in Dallas. On a day when Jaire gave up more than 200 yards. That’s mind blowing.

Can somebody please make a tackle in Kickoff coverage?

If the Packers can win the next two games at home, they’ll have a carefree game at KC on Sunday Night over Halloween weekend. The prospect of the Packers at 6-1 heading into that game has me Uber stoked with head tapping sensations.

Here’s my 2020 Packers Mock Draft:

Round 1.) Isaiah Simmons, ILB, Clemson.
Round 2.) Alaric Jackson, T, Iowa.
Round 3.) Richard LeCounte, S, Georgia.
Round 4.) JK Dobbins, RB, Ohio State.
Round 5.) Collin Johnson, WR, Texas.
Round 6.) Kendall Coleman, EDGE, Syracuse.
Round 6.) Jared Rice, TE, Fresno State.
Round 7.) Benito Jones, DL, Mississippi.
Round 7.) Bradlee Anae, EDGE, Utah.
Round 7.) Liam Eichenberg, OT, ND.

This week – it’s the Lions. At Lambeau. On Monday Night Football. The winner will hold sole possession of 1st place in the hyper competitive NFC NORTH. If the Packers can protect Lambeau, they’ll be in position to have a really strong 2019 Regular Season. But, without an exceptional home field advantage, a lost opportunity will be upon the Packers. So, rise up, Lambeau!

A win and the Packers move to 3-0 in the Division. At this stage, it appears as though it’ll be tough for any team to win 4 games in the Division. So, a win in Prime Time for the Packers would allow for the Packers to be in prime position to take command of the Division as we quickly near the mid-way point of the season.

From 1992-2014, the Packers owned Detroit in WI. Suddenly, the tide has shifted. The Lions have won 3 of 4 in Green Bay. It's time for the Packers to take back Lambeau!

The Lions look to be a completely different team from years past. Stafford looks to be more of a game manager than a gunslinger. Kenny Golladay looks like he’s a legitimate threat at WR. Marvin Jones continues to be a dangerous target. The Lions have bulked up at TE. They added Jesse James via FA and drafted TJ Hockenson in the 1st round. Both TE’s are talented blockers and receivers. At RB, Kerryon Johnson has developed into a well-rounded, 3-down back. JD McKissic has been a big play threat with the ball in his hands as both a runner and a receiver. Ty Johnson has also been able to push forward for yards at a healthy clip. The Lions OL has been really good across the board. They seemed to have crushed the 2016 draft by adding Taylor Decker, Joe Dahl and Graham Glasgow as legitimate starters. Frank Ragnow was a solid 1st round selection last year. And, Ricky Wagner was a solid FA addition.

Defensively, the Lions appear to be better than years past as well. They’re much more physical. Damon Harrison and A’Shawn Robinson can destroy the interior of an OL. Romeo Okwara add length to the EDGE. Trey Flowers was an expensive pass-rushing difference maker. Devon Kennard is an athletic OLB that can both drop in coverage and get to the QB. Jarrad Davis is an elite ILB who brings both attitude and intensity as a 3-down LB. He destroys plays as an inside rusher. Christian Jones is a speedy coverage LB. Darius Slay remains a top-tier cover CB. Justin Coleman is undersized, but he plays bigger than he looks. He’s a confident, gifted player. Quandre Diggs has become a first-class Safety. Tracy Walker is also trending up at FS. I really like the way this Lions defense has taken shape.

The Lions will bring an attitude early to this game. It’ll be important for the Packers to grab an early lead. Or else we could be, once again, witnessing a frustrating home performance by the defense trying to stop the run. The Lions will try to take the air out of the ball. They’ll play with 2-TE’s to double team the Smith Bros. They’ll try to force the interior of the Packers DL and Blake Martinez to make plays in the run game.

Look for the Packers to move Smash Amos into the box to try and help stop the run. They’ll trust the CB’s to play man coverage. Jaire responds with a really solid performance.

Look for Oren Burks to make an impact for the defense.

Look for the Packers to come out with a multitude of different formations early in the game. All centered around play action. Rodgers tries MVS deep early in the game.

Both teams have multiple sustained drives. It’s a quick-paced game. Both teams take care of the football. The team that plays better in the Red Zone wins. In the end, the Packers faithful are too rowdy for Stafford as he tries to engineer a game-tying drive late.

Packers 23.
Lions 20.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin’ S-Mac.
Talkins-mac.blogspot.com

Friday, October 4, 2019

My Take -> Week 5

Greetings, G-Force.

This just got really interesting. It's easy to have a high-fivin', wide-smilin' locker room when you're carrying a winning confidence. But, how do you rebound from a game that slipped from your grasp? I'm interested to see how LaFleur rallies the troops after what had to have been a bitter taste in their mouth for the last 10 days. These are the types of losses that can have a painful carryover. This is a crucial moment in the Packers season.

As I write, I listen to new Billy Strings album, "Home". I have absolutely fallen in love with this band. Billy is arguably the most talented up-and-coming guitar player in all of the land. If you don't know his music and you can appreciate bluegrass music, dive in! I sip a 2017 Jackie O's and Crooked Stave collaboration called: The Ties That Bind. It's a sour beer with a red win finish. Aged perfection as the wild flavors have not overtaken the beer's flavor.

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

* There are many that will complain about 8 throws from inside the 5. But, it's clear that on the RPO play, Jones should've been the call. Rodgers thought he saw something that didn't exist. Had Jones been handed the ball, he would have walked into the end zone with relative ease.

* I'm not going to complain about the officiating in abundance, but it's hard not to comment on the new PI rule. How do you change the ruling on the field on the Philly TD, but not change the ruling on the MVS pass down the sideline? And, then, how is it not an automatic booth review on the interception that sealed the game? Felt cheated. Man, it feels like the big calls have gone against the Packers way more than not over the last 20+ years or so.

* It felt as though the Packers run defense was in trouble. But, I didn't think it'd look as bad as it did. While I believed that Philly might be able to run the ball, I didn't think that the defense would suddenly look like a sieve. I was shocked that Pettine didn't adjust and come with a more aggressive run blitz in an attempt to close those wide gap running lanes.

* The Packers had 4-0 in their grasp. Until Jimmy Graham let the ball slip through his hand. Graham had a chance to shut me up for the year. And, he couldn't deliver. With Adams out, the Packers needed their $10 million man to deliver. He had two chances. He failed.

* Kevin King was a total baller. Great game for King. For a day, he was the best player on the defense.

* Kingsley Keke brings energy. I'd like to continue to see him on the field. While I like Lancaster's effort, he's limited athletically. Keke seems to be a better athlete and he gives just as much effort.

* Aaron Rodgers was superhuman. He was the ultimate competitor. He was tough. He was mostly accurate. He had his swagger back. If that's going to be Aaron Rodgers for the next 12 weeks, I feel good about the Packers chances.

* Davante Adams is a total stallion. I hope he can recover quickly. Had Adams not been injured, I have a hard time believing that the Packers don't win the game.

* MVS had a number of really bright moments. Had he been given the pass interference calls, his day would have felt even better than the box score looked.

* I'll never understand when LaFleur kept calling first down runs.

* It feels as though Alex Light might be a liability.

* Elgton Jenkins looks like he can play in this league.

* Adrian Amos is a tremendous open field tackler.

* Will Redmond showed that he's not ready for prime time. I like him as a gunner. I think he's a nice developmental player. He's not ready. Wish Josh Jackson would be played in his role.

* I hope Oren Burks is ready to return soon. This team could use his speed next to Martinez.

* I wonder if Gutekunst will go after DJ Swearinger. He tried to claim him last year off of waivers. He'd step into the Raven Greene role and allow Amos to return to his position alongside Savage. To me, it seems like it's a must-do move. Hope he pulls the trigger.

* I really thought that we'd see more crossing routes out of this offense. When I watch SF and the Rams; I see a lot of crossing routes. It makes me wonder where those same routes are in GB.

* I like the Tim Williams signing. Williams is loaded with potential. He's undersized. But, he's a speed rusher who had a knack for getting pressure at the college level. Here's what I wrote on him before the 2017 NFL Draft: Tim Williams, Alabama. Round 2-3. Needs to add weight, but when Williams' speed game is on point, he's unstoppable as a pass rusher. In the short-term, I think he's strictly a pass rushing specialist. Has to get stronger before he can be counted on to stop the run. Due to his need to add weight, he might be a bit of a project in his rookie year. But, he has unlimited upside.

In my 2020 Mock Draft, I tried to make a number of changes. Here goes:

Round 1 - Raequan Williams, DL, Michigan State.
Round 2 - Tyler Biadasz, C/G, Wisconsin.
Round 3 - JR Reed, S, Georgia.
Round 4 - Leki Fotu, DL, Utah.
Round 5 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU.
Round 6 - Jordyn Brooks, ILB, Texas Tech.
Round 6 - Drew Richmond, OT, USC.
Round 7 - Dana Levine, EDGE, Temple.
Round 7 - Isaiah Wright, WR, Temple.
Round 7 - Michael Bushman, TE, BYU.

This week - it's the Cowboys in Dallas. In a Stadium that has been very good to the Packers. It's a Stadium that has seen the Packers bring home the XLV Trophy. It's a Stadium that has seen the Packers grab a playoff victory. It's a Stadium that has seen a dramatic come-from-behind victory in the closing seconds during the regular season. With the loss to Philly, this one is important.

Offensively, the Cowboys are loaded with talent. Dak Prescott has played very well for most of the first 1/4 of the season. He's playing for a contract. Zeke Elliott has been pounding away. Tony Pollard looks like a really good back-up RB. Jason Witten is back and has looked like himself. The Cowboys OL is banged up. La'el Collins and Tyron Smith are both highly questionable. Zack Martin is a beast at RG. Travis Frederick is the same at Center. Connor Williams can also man-up at LG. If healthy, the Cowboys OL is dominant.

Defensively, the Cowboys have a physically dominant unit. Demarcus Lawrence is an elite pass rusher. Robert Quinn has previously given the Packers troubles. Maliek Collins gets a good push from the inside. Leighton Vander Esch has been unbelievable at ILB. He reads and recognizes plays like an All Pro. Jaylon Smith has been tremendous. He's fast, he's physical, and he's tough. Sean Lee is a veteran who brings a leadership approach. The secondary is their weakest link. Chidobe Awuzie brings speed and athleticism. He's talented, but he's not a #1 CB. I'd target Anthony Brown. Jourdan Lewis is a decent Nickel CB, but he has not been the playmaker that I anticipated he might become. He can be beaten over the top. Jeff Heath is dependable. Byron Jones is a good football player with fantastic athleticism.

If the Cowboys tackles are unable to play, the Packers should be in a much better position to stop than run. If so, I really hope that the Packers attack the line of scrimmage with Amos coming on the blitz. Martinez will need to roam behind Lowry and Clark to make the play on Zeke. The Cowboys are going to pound the ball early and often. And, then, they'll go with play action to attack the secondary with the deep crossing routes.

With Adams likely unable to play, I'm expecting Jake Kumerow to have a big game. I anticipate that Kumerow will be the #3 WR. Rodgers has a connection with Kumerow. Look for Kumerow to grab 3-4 balls.

LaFleur will likely stick with the run early. With Jamaal Williams unlikely to play, look for Dexter Williams to get his first action. He picks up first-down yardage on a screen pass.

Rodgers continues to play with confidence. He connects with MVS on a deep ball.

Jaire makes a game changing play.

The Packers defense bends often. It does not break in the end.

Packers 27.
Cowboys 23.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com