Thursday, October 17, 2019

My Take -> Week 7

Greetings, G-Force.

What a victory! Mental fortitude at it's finest. A gutty performance. A cool confidence displayed throughout - even when things felt bleak. A never say die mentality. The reward was fulfilling. A 3-0 start in the Division puts the Packers in a good position from a tie breaker perspective. The Packers must not bask in this goodness. Instead, this team must continue to keep the foot on the gas pedal as the Division appears to be thick with talent.

As I write, I listen to the Grateful Dead's 5/19/74 show from Portland Memorial Coliseum. If you don't own this vinyl, look for it. It's a great spin. I sip a Myrcenary Double IPA from Odell. Presently, I drink this beer more than any other. It's 9.3%. It has a Tropical Hop feel. It goes down smoothly. It's fantastic.

Here are my quick vibes from last week:

Yes, this team has flaws. But, I absolutely love the 2019 Green Bay Packers.

When Brian Gutekunst drew up his offseason plan for recreating the Packers roster, he knew that Aaron Rodgers made all of his skill players better. So, he focused his attention on the physical nature of this team. Gutekunst’s emphasis on the trenches rather than the fantasy football approach towards roster construction helped deliver a massive Monday Night division victory. And, it certainly didn’t hurt that Rodgers lived up to his end of the equation with a band-aid collection of talent at WR and a slow moving, washed up TE as his targets.

It’s easy to criticize LaFleur because he’s still difficult to listen to in a press conference. It sounds like he’s really canned and has a lot of quirky transition statements. But man, I really like how he’s putting his stamp on this offense. Each week - its looking more like his offense rather than offenses of years past. He still has to work on the 3rd Quarter, but it’s developing nicely.

Pettine’s crew adjusted nicely. They were beaten early over the top, but responded by winning in the Red Zone. Pettine also altered his defensive approach by playing more aggressively in his approach to stop the run. He came with the run blitz. He added an extra DL on most early downs. He was rewarded as the defense played very well in the run game.

Aaron Rodgers is playing like he wants to win a Super Bowl. Badly. He's dialed in. He's focused. He's rejuvenated. And, he looks healthy.

So, this is what it feels like to be the beneficiary of poor officiating late in games? I’ll take it! For years, it’s felt like late-game officiating has gone against the Packers. The 98 playoffs, the Fail Mary, the ‘queens game last year and this years loss to the Eagles immediately come to mind. It’s nice to have the advantage come the Packers way.

Really happy to see the way Jaire responded after his poor showing in Dallas. His hustle play on the first play from scrimmage saved the Packers 4 points.

The Smith Bros. making splash plays and celebrating together will never get old. Their spirit is infectious! What a beautiful buzz!

Kevin King got off to a rough start, but he kept fighting. He responded well. Stayed focused and eventually was up to the task on a number of crucial plays in the 3rd and 4th Quarter.

Aaron Jones will have better days in the future.

Another phenomenal game by Bryan Bulaga.

Corey Linsley and Elgton Jenkins completely dominated the line of scrimmage. Jenkins looks like an absolute stud in the run game. He is fluid getting to the second level.

Allen Lazard throwing heavyweight punches to help him pick up 6 yards after the catch was the type of fight that you love to see. He was a battering bull on a mission seeking contact. Lazard provided the spark that the Packers needed.

Watching Rodgers on Monday Night reminded me of watching Favre in 1996 as he was tossing Touchdowns to Don Beebe and Terry Mickens.

Don't let the questionable officiating calls ruin the enjoyment that LaFleur is bringing to this offense. I love the way he's using MVS. He's sending him on crossing routes. He's sending him deep down the field. He's sending him on a wide variety of sweeps, often in a disguise fashion.

Speaking of MVS, it was great to see him hauling his third reception of more than 30 yards on the year. I'm hoping to see him grab 10 of them this year.

Marcedes Lewis has been a great surprise this year.

Fantastic game, Jamaal Williams. He brought momentum. His spark light a fire in this offense. It was great to see him with the ball in his hands again.

Keep your head up, Shep.

With Ibraheim Campbell soon to be in the mix, I'm hoping that he can step into the ILB role next to Martinez when Pettine decides to go small.

Rodgers showed great faith in Lazard on the 35 yard TD pass. On the play before, Lazard was unable to haul in a difficult catch in traffic. But, Rodgers came back to him. It was great to see Rodgers showing confidence in a receiver who has been buried on the depth chart.

The Jaire pass break-up on the final third down play was sensational. He fought to the finish to save the defense.

The Smith Bros. third down impact cannot be overstated. They've been unbelievable!

Dean Lowry was a monster in the run game.

Hope G-Mo is healthy enough to quickly return. While he's been a disappointment thus far this year, he's a good talent and this team needs him.

Goodson brought a physical approach to the defense.

It's so fun to see Rodgers scrambling for first down yardage on big plays.

Fackrell continues to get close. It really feels like he has a high impact game on the horizon.

Billy Turner has gotten better each and every week.

The Packers got the ball back with 6:46 to play. Trailing by 2. They went 14 plays for 77 yards. They ate up the entire 6:46 on the clock and won on a FG at the buzzer. That's championship football.

The Mason Crosby Lambeau Leap. Delightful!

What happened to Jimmy Graham's athleticism? He was among the most lethal TE targets that I'd ever seen. Especially in the Red Zone. Now? He's slow and can't seem to get off of the ground. He's only 32 years old. I can't figure it out.

At this stage, teams are showing no respect for the Packers Kickoff units. They're returning the ball on kicks that are deep into the end zone. They're challenging the Packers units to prove that they can tackle. And, the opposition is intentionally kicking short to the Packers and still preventing the Packers from getting to the 25 yard line.

I'm really happy that Jace Sternberger has been designated to return. While it's highly unlikely that he'll make an impact over the next 4-6 weeks, I do feel that he'll bring an added dimension to this offense in the 2019 Season. It'll be important for him to find a connection with Rodgers. If given the opportunity, he'll bring more athleticism as a receiver than the Packers are currently getting from their TE group.

Take note: the Packers won a divisional game in prime time with a banged up MVS , Lazard, Shepherd and Kumerow as the WRs when they were down 9 with less than 10 minutes to play. I love you, Aaron Rodgers!

When the Packers got the ball back with 12:17 to play and down 9, I had my doubts. But, 7 plays and 79 yards later, while only taking 3:14 off of the clock and the Packers were in business. That was an efficient offensive display.

The defense bent early. But, they didn't break. They also responded after being put in multiple tough positions throughout the 2nd half. Pettine's unit responded brilliantly as the game wore on.

If the Packers win on Sunday, it’d also become a great day for Scoreboard watching. What an awesome Sunday for the NFL. MN at DET, BALT at SEA, NO at CHI, PHI at DALLAS, RAMS at ATL. Those could all be great games that we have our eyes on. Meanwhile, the Packers better take care of their own business.

My good buddy, Craig Forrestal, has been published on the Fanspeak Draft Boards under the NFL Draft Diamonds name. I used his Big Board to create my mock draft this week:

Round 1: Javon Kinlaw, DL, South Carolina.
Round 2: Ceedee Lamb, WR, Oklahoma.
Round 3: Raequan Williams, DL, Michigan State.
Round 4: Colby Parkinson, TE, Stanford.
Round 5: Richard Lecounte, S, Georgia.
Round 6: Michael Divinty, LB, LSU.
Round 6: Jeff Thomas, WR, Miami.
Round 7: Daelin Hayes, EDGE, ND.
Round 7: Lamar Jackson, CB, Nebraska.
Round 7: Luke Farrell, TE, Ohio State.

This week - it's the Raiders coming to Lambeau. Consider this one a must win. They're entering a tough 2nd half of the season schedule. With that, they must be able to take care of Lambeau against an inferior opponent. Injured or not, the Packers have more talent than the Raiders and they must be able to win this game.

Offensively, the Raiders have been running the ball through the tackles. Josh Jacobs looks like the real deal. He's also very good as a receiving option out of the backfield. When Derek Carr takes care of the football, he's dangerous. But, he's prone to turnovers. The Packers must take advantage of their opportunities to steal the ball. Darren Waller is a fantastic weapon at TE. The Raiders WR's shouldn't pose a significant threat to the Packers secondary. Tyrell Williams might not play and he's their best option. Zay Jones has underachieved as a pro. Dwayne Harris is dangerous with the ball in his hands, but he's a rough route runner. I like Hunter Renfrow in the slot, but he's solely a possession receiver. Trevor Davis will undoubtedly be motivated to show well against his old team. The Raiders calling card has been the nasty on the OL. Gabe Jackson and Trent Brown have manned up on the right side of the line. Former 1st round pick, Kolton Miller, is developing nicely at LT. And, good ol' Richie Incognito is still a bruiser at LG.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Raiders have a lot of young talent. Arden Key and Clelin Ferrell are loaded with skill and still developing as every down NFL players. Johnathan Hankins is well traveled. He's a try hard vet. I like Josh Mauro as a rotational DE. Maurice Hurst could eventually be a considered a steal of the 2018 Draft. I love his game. Tahir Whitehead is a playmaking coverage LB. I'd like to think that the Packers could do damage against the Raiders secondary. Nevin Lawson is prone to penalties. Lamarcus Joyner is an aggressive Safety, but he can be beaten on the double move. Karl Joseph has had big play, hard-hitting moments, but he can be vulnerable to giving up the big play. Daryl Worley works hard at CB. He's consistent, but he isn't a game changing CB. Gareon Conley is still developing at CB. He'll make an occasional play, but he can be attacked. If the Packers have Adams, MVS and Allison; I'd envision a big offensive output.

This game will be an interesting challenge for the Packers DL. Gruden will undoubtedly challenge the Packers DL in the run game. And, after it, he'll go to play action to try and find the Packers in single coverage on the outside. They'll also look for Waller on crossing routes and Renfrow on quick out routes out of the slot.

The Raiders will to try to get Josh Jacobs 20 touches on Sunday.

The Raiders will consistently test the Packers ability to cover the TE. Waller will get a multitude of targets.

If the Packers can get out to an early lead, I can't see the Raiders coming back. So, it'll be important for the Packers to not let the Raiders stick around.

Expect LaFleur to call a double move to MVS on a deep route early in the game. He'll be looking for a big play to get this offense started.

Then, LaFleur stays patient. He stays committed to the run game. He finds Lazard on a comeback watch out of play action.

Assuming Adams can't play, look for LaFleur to move Lazard around the field. You'll see Lazard in the slot. You'll see him split wide left. You'll see him split wide to the perimeter on the Right. He's a big target that Rodgers seems to trust.

Look for Kevin King to grab another interception. The Packers defense forces two turnovers this week.

I'm going to keep banging the Fackrell drum until he has a 2-sack game. It's coming, I can feel it! He's single blocked when he's on the field. And, he's getting close. But, Fackrell, you have to finish, young man! Make this the week!

The Packers grab an early lead. They keep the offense moving with excitement all game as Aaron Jones gets unleashed, once again.

Packers 30.
Raiders 16.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com




Friday, October 11, 2019

My Take -> Week 6

Greetings, G-Force.

Let’s pause. Reflect. Embrace. Enjoy. We haven’t even reached mid October and the Packers have victories over each of my three least favorite teams in the NFL. It’s important to bask in the goodness of moments like these.

As I write, I sip an Avery Double Barreled Maple Stout. It reigns supreme at 15.5%. Loaded with cinnamon, chocolate and maple syrup. Sugary sweet. It is dessert in a glass. So, if my writing comes off in a different tone, I apologize, but you know why. This beer is robust! I listen to the self-titled Sublime album as I type. It was written in 1996, the first Super Bowl title year of my lifetime. This album takes me back in time to a joyful place. An all-time classic for me.

Here are my quick vibes:

The Packers went into Dallas. Without Davante Adams and Jamaal Williams. And they dropped 34 points on Dallas. Very well designed, Matt LaFleur.

Here are the four TD drives for the Packers: 5 plays, 47 yards, 1:29 off the clock; 9 plays, 89 yards, 5:20 off the clock; 7 plays, 58 yards, 3:53 off the clock; and 4 plays, 79 yards, 2:24 off the clock. The FG drive to put the Packers up three scores before the half? 12 plays, 79 yards, 6:03 off the clock. The offense showed both a patient approach with a command of the line of scrimmage and an ability to hit you quickly. It was an impressive performance. Hopefully, it’s a sign of things to come.

Thankfully, the Packers jumped out to an early lead, so Dallas had to step away from a full fledged commitment to the run. Zeke averaged more than 5 yards per carry. I had no confidence that the Packers could slow him down.

Aaron Rodgers continues to look like he’s more comfortable with this offense. He was cerebral. He was in command at the line. He was nimble moving around the pocket. Great fun!

I love the brotherhood between Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur. Fiery competitors who seem to really know and understand each other. It feels like they might be similar dudes on GameDay. Thus far, it’s been a winning approach.

Aaron Jones is unbelievably talented. His ability to get small through the hole, to bounce off of tackles, to find the end zone, and to glide into the second level of the defense is a great to watch. It was great to see him as a receiver, too. His awareness and field vision are also top notch.

MVS showed his deep threat capabilities with a slippery smooth move to get open down the field. Had Rodgers not underthrew him, he’d have walked into the end zone.

The screen to Marcedes Lewis is a thing!

I’ve been critical of Lucas Patrick in the past. And, I’ll admit, when I saw him step into the field to play Center, I was really concerned. But, the guy really stepped up. He held his own. And, ultimately, the offense didn’t skip a beat with him on the field. Well done!

It feels like Jenkins might be becoming a budding star in this league. His ability to move people into the second level in the run game is a sight to see. He’s mobile. He’s big. He’s powerful.

Bulaga is off to a fantastic start to the year.

Billy Turner is starting to make his impact felt in the run game. He’s plays with finesse over power. He moves his feet well. I still worry about him in pass protection, but he played really well in Dallas.

If you pay attention to the way his teammates look at him, you know that David Bakhtiari is a leader on this team.

Tra Carson reliably stepping in was a sight to see. His presence on GameDay shows how little confidence that LaFleur has in Dexter Williams.

The Tonyan catch down the sideline was a feel good moment. I hope his injury doesn’t sideline him.

It sure feels like the Davante Adams injury is going to keep him out for at least a month.

The Packers could use a healthy Jace Sternberger as a receiving option right now.

I hope that the Packers have learned that they should just hand the ball off to Jones 4x inside the 5. He has a nose for the end zone.

The Smith Bros. share a unique knack for consistently making splash plays when it feels like the defense needs them the most. They have bailed this defense out of tough situations multiple times this year. I love the sacks on 3rd down to knock the opposition out of FG range. Game winning plays.

Another dynamite game by Kevin King. His interception was the play that sealed the game.

Chandon Sullivan giving the shoutout to Nintendo Nick is so superfly that I’m not even sure I can explain it. But, I’ll try. This teams has unity. This time has a passion for the history of the G. They seem proud to wear the G. They’re having fun. And, it’s showing in all phases of the way they carry themselves.

Smash Amos continues to be dependable. He’s physical. He finishes in the open field. He’s been a difference maker for this defense.

Once again, Will Redmond flashes brilliantly as a gunner. He even showed well in coverage. Great bounce back game for him on the defensive side of the ball.

I’m really worried about the Savage injury.

Kyler Fackrell continues to get close. He needs to finish. If he does, it wouldn’t shock me if he had a multi-sack game soon.

Can you imagine what this pass rush would look like if Gary could consistently get pressure on the QB? Just play, young man. Let your nuts hang!

Big difference from last year: Pettine can trust his front 4 to get home without blitzing. Last year, he needed to blitz to get pressure. This year, he’s been able to rush 4. Drop in coverage. And, because of it, the Packers have 7 guys in coverage; so the chances to create big plays increase significantly. The early returns have been really positive as the defense has forced crucial turnovers in 4 of 5 weeks.

Oren Burks made an appearance! I’d love to see him fully in the mix.

The Packers won by 10 points in Dallas. On a day when Jaire gave up more than 200 yards. That’s mind blowing.

Can somebody please make a tackle in Kickoff coverage?

If the Packers can win the next two games at home, they’ll have a carefree game at KC on Sunday Night over Halloween weekend. The prospect of the Packers at 6-1 heading into that game has me Uber stoked with head tapping sensations.

Here’s my 2020 Packers Mock Draft:

Round 1.) Isaiah Simmons, ILB, Clemson.
Round 2.) Alaric Jackson, T, Iowa.
Round 3.) Richard LeCounte, S, Georgia.
Round 4.) JK Dobbins, RB, Ohio State.
Round 5.) Collin Johnson, WR, Texas.
Round 6.) Kendall Coleman, EDGE, Syracuse.
Round 6.) Jared Rice, TE, Fresno State.
Round 7.) Benito Jones, DL, Mississippi.
Round 7.) Bradlee Anae, EDGE, Utah.
Round 7.) Liam Eichenberg, OT, ND.

This week – it’s the Lions. At Lambeau. On Monday Night Football. The winner will hold sole possession of 1st place in the hyper competitive NFC NORTH. If the Packers can protect Lambeau, they’ll be in position to have a really strong 2019 Regular Season. But, without an exceptional home field advantage, a lost opportunity will be upon the Packers. So, rise up, Lambeau!

A win and the Packers move to 3-0 in the Division. At this stage, it appears as though it’ll be tough for any team to win 4 games in the Division. So, a win in Prime Time for the Packers would allow for the Packers to be in prime position to take command of the Division as we quickly near the mid-way point of the season.

From 1992-2014, the Packers owned Detroit in WI. Suddenly, the tide has shifted. The Lions have won 3 of 4 in Green Bay. It's time for the Packers to take back Lambeau!

The Lions look to be a completely different team from years past. Stafford looks to be more of a game manager than a gunslinger. Kenny Golladay looks like he’s a legitimate threat at WR. Marvin Jones continues to be a dangerous target. The Lions have bulked up at TE. They added Jesse James via FA and drafted TJ Hockenson in the 1st round. Both TE’s are talented blockers and receivers. At RB, Kerryon Johnson has developed into a well-rounded, 3-down back. JD McKissic has been a big play threat with the ball in his hands as both a runner and a receiver. Ty Johnson has also been able to push forward for yards at a healthy clip. The Lions OL has been really good across the board. They seemed to have crushed the 2016 draft by adding Taylor Decker, Joe Dahl and Graham Glasgow as legitimate starters. Frank Ragnow was a solid 1st round selection last year. And, Ricky Wagner was a solid FA addition.

Defensively, the Lions appear to be better than years past as well. They’re much more physical. Damon Harrison and A’Shawn Robinson can destroy the interior of an OL. Romeo Okwara add length to the EDGE. Trey Flowers was an expensive pass-rushing difference maker. Devon Kennard is an athletic OLB that can both drop in coverage and get to the QB. Jarrad Davis is an elite ILB who brings both attitude and intensity as a 3-down LB. He destroys plays as an inside rusher. Christian Jones is a speedy coverage LB. Darius Slay remains a top-tier cover CB. Justin Coleman is undersized, but he plays bigger than he looks. He’s a confident, gifted player. Quandre Diggs has become a first-class Safety. Tracy Walker is also trending up at FS. I really like the way this Lions defense has taken shape.

The Lions will bring an attitude early to this game. It’ll be important for the Packers to grab an early lead. Or else we could be, once again, witnessing a frustrating home performance by the defense trying to stop the run. The Lions will try to take the air out of the ball. They’ll play with 2-TE’s to double team the Smith Bros. They’ll try to force the interior of the Packers DL and Blake Martinez to make plays in the run game.

Look for the Packers to move Smash Amos into the box to try and help stop the run. They’ll trust the CB’s to play man coverage. Jaire responds with a really solid performance.

Look for Oren Burks to make an impact for the defense.

Look for the Packers to come out with a multitude of different formations early in the game. All centered around play action. Rodgers tries MVS deep early in the game.

Both teams have multiple sustained drives. It’s a quick-paced game. Both teams take care of the football. The team that plays better in the Red Zone wins. In the end, the Packers faithful are too rowdy for Stafford as he tries to engineer a game-tying drive late.

Packers 23.
Lions 20.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin’ S-Mac.
Talkins-mac.blogspot.com

Friday, October 4, 2019

My Take -> Week 5

Greetings, G-Force.

This just got really interesting. It's easy to have a high-fivin', wide-smilin' locker room when you're carrying a winning confidence. But, how do you rebound from a game that slipped from your grasp? I'm interested to see how LaFleur rallies the troops after what had to have been a bitter taste in their mouth for the last 10 days. These are the types of losses that can have a painful carryover. This is a crucial moment in the Packers season.

As I write, I listen to new Billy Strings album, "Home". I have absolutely fallen in love with this band. Billy is arguably the most talented up-and-coming guitar player in all of the land. If you don't know his music and you can appreciate bluegrass music, dive in! I sip a 2017 Jackie O's and Crooked Stave collaboration called: The Ties That Bind. It's a sour beer with a red win finish. Aged perfection as the wild flavors have not overtaken the beer's flavor.

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

* There are many that will complain about 8 throws from inside the 5. But, it's clear that on the RPO play, Jones should've been the call. Rodgers thought he saw something that didn't exist. Had Jones been handed the ball, he would have walked into the end zone with relative ease.

* I'm not going to complain about the officiating in abundance, but it's hard not to comment on the new PI rule. How do you change the ruling on the field on the Philly TD, but not change the ruling on the MVS pass down the sideline? And, then, how is it not an automatic booth review on the interception that sealed the game? Felt cheated. Man, it feels like the big calls have gone against the Packers way more than not over the last 20+ years or so.

* It felt as though the Packers run defense was in trouble. But, I didn't think it'd look as bad as it did. While I believed that Philly might be able to run the ball, I didn't think that the defense would suddenly look like a sieve. I was shocked that Pettine didn't adjust and come with a more aggressive run blitz in an attempt to close those wide gap running lanes.

* The Packers had 4-0 in their grasp. Until Jimmy Graham let the ball slip through his hand. Graham had a chance to shut me up for the year. And, he couldn't deliver. With Adams out, the Packers needed their $10 million man to deliver. He had two chances. He failed.

* Kevin King was a total baller. Great game for King. For a day, he was the best player on the defense.

* Kingsley Keke brings energy. I'd like to continue to see him on the field. While I like Lancaster's effort, he's limited athletically. Keke seems to be a better athlete and he gives just as much effort.

* Aaron Rodgers was superhuman. He was the ultimate competitor. He was tough. He was mostly accurate. He had his swagger back. If that's going to be Aaron Rodgers for the next 12 weeks, I feel good about the Packers chances.

* Davante Adams is a total stallion. I hope he can recover quickly. Had Adams not been injured, I have a hard time believing that the Packers don't win the game.

* MVS had a number of really bright moments. Had he been given the pass interference calls, his day would have felt even better than the box score looked.

* I'll never understand when LaFleur kept calling first down runs.

* It feels as though Alex Light might be a liability.

* Elgton Jenkins looks like he can play in this league.

* Adrian Amos is a tremendous open field tackler.

* Will Redmond showed that he's not ready for prime time. I like him as a gunner. I think he's a nice developmental player. He's not ready. Wish Josh Jackson would be played in his role.

* I hope Oren Burks is ready to return soon. This team could use his speed next to Martinez.

* I wonder if Gutekunst will go after DJ Swearinger. He tried to claim him last year off of waivers. He'd step into the Raven Greene role and allow Amos to return to his position alongside Savage. To me, it seems like it's a must-do move. Hope he pulls the trigger.

* I really thought that we'd see more crossing routes out of this offense. When I watch SF and the Rams; I see a lot of crossing routes. It makes me wonder where those same routes are in GB.

* I like the Tim Williams signing. Williams is loaded with potential. He's undersized. But, he's a speed rusher who had a knack for getting pressure at the college level. Here's what I wrote on him before the 2017 NFL Draft: Tim Williams, Alabama. Round 2-3. Needs to add weight, but when Williams' speed game is on point, he's unstoppable as a pass rusher. In the short-term, I think he's strictly a pass rushing specialist. Has to get stronger before he can be counted on to stop the run. Due to his need to add weight, he might be a bit of a project in his rookie year. But, he has unlimited upside.

In my 2020 Mock Draft, I tried to make a number of changes. Here goes:

Round 1 - Raequan Williams, DL, Michigan State.
Round 2 - Tyler Biadasz, C/G, Wisconsin.
Round 3 - JR Reed, S, Georgia.
Round 4 - Leki Fotu, DL, Utah.
Round 5 - Justin Jefferson, WR, LSU.
Round 6 - Jordyn Brooks, ILB, Texas Tech.
Round 6 - Drew Richmond, OT, USC.
Round 7 - Dana Levine, EDGE, Temple.
Round 7 - Isaiah Wright, WR, Temple.
Round 7 - Michael Bushman, TE, BYU.

This week - it's the Cowboys in Dallas. In a Stadium that has been very good to the Packers. It's a Stadium that has seen the Packers bring home the XLV Trophy. It's a Stadium that has seen the Packers grab a playoff victory. It's a Stadium that has seen a dramatic come-from-behind victory in the closing seconds during the regular season. With the loss to Philly, this one is important.

Offensively, the Cowboys are loaded with talent. Dak Prescott has played very well for most of the first 1/4 of the season. He's playing for a contract. Zeke Elliott has been pounding away. Tony Pollard looks like a really good back-up RB. Jason Witten is back and has looked like himself. The Cowboys OL is banged up. La'el Collins and Tyron Smith are both highly questionable. Zack Martin is a beast at RG. Travis Frederick is the same at Center. Connor Williams can also man-up at LG. If healthy, the Cowboys OL is dominant.

Defensively, the Cowboys have a physically dominant unit. Demarcus Lawrence is an elite pass rusher. Robert Quinn has previously given the Packers troubles. Maliek Collins gets a good push from the inside. Leighton Vander Esch has been unbelievable at ILB. He reads and recognizes plays like an All Pro. Jaylon Smith has been tremendous. He's fast, he's physical, and he's tough. Sean Lee is a veteran who brings a leadership approach. The secondary is their weakest link. Chidobe Awuzie brings speed and athleticism. He's talented, but he's not a #1 CB. I'd target Anthony Brown. Jourdan Lewis is a decent Nickel CB, but he has not been the playmaker that I anticipated he might become. He can be beaten over the top. Jeff Heath is dependable. Byron Jones is a good football player with fantastic athleticism.

If the Cowboys tackles are unable to play, the Packers should be in a much better position to stop than run. If so, I really hope that the Packers attack the line of scrimmage with Amos coming on the blitz. Martinez will need to roam behind Lowry and Clark to make the play on Zeke. The Cowboys are going to pound the ball early and often. And, then, they'll go with play action to attack the secondary with the deep crossing routes.

With Adams likely unable to play, I'm expecting Jake Kumerow to have a big game. I anticipate that Kumerow will be the #3 WR. Rodgers has a connection with Kumerow. Look for Kumerow to grab 3-4 balls.

LaFleur will likely stick with the run early. With Jamaal Williams unlikely to play, look for Dexter Williams to get his first action. He picks up first-down yardage on a screen pass.

Rodgers continues to play with confidence. He connects with MVS on a deep ball.

Jaire makes a game changing play.

The Packers defense bends often. It does not break in the end.

Packers 27.
Cowboys 23.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com

Thursday, September 26, 2019

My Take -> Week 4

Greetings, G-Force.

3-0! Emphatically. With big plays galore! Heading into a short week, which thankfully is another home game. The Packers are fortunate to not have to travel this year for the short week road game. Be sure to enjoy these times with maximum appreciation.

It’s rare that I write with raw emotion after a game. I do so today. Normally, I’ll take a second look at the game. I won’t have time to do so this week. I write with a New Glarus Break O’ Day IPA in front of me. Fruity, citrusy goodness. A damn good beer. An interesting twist on the NE IPA style. New Glarus crushes life. My headphones blast Bob Marley’s 1977 album, “Exodus.” This album is crafted to perfection. It’s among my favorite albums ever created.

Here are my quick vibes:

Mike Pettine drew up a different game plan than what we’ve seen in the first two weeks. He went with a heavy zone approach.He rushed three in the Red Zone. On 25 of 73 plays, he had two ILB’s on the field. It was a perfect approach, but he held Denver to 16 points, his unit forced 3 turnovers and they had 6 sacks. Through three weeks, Pettine has designed defensive game plans that have yet to give up 20 points in a game.

Early in games, Matt LaFleur’s offenses have been quick to the line. There is a rhythm to the unit. There’s pace. Rodgers has been walking up to Center with roughly 25 seconds to play. There’s an unpredictable feel to the offense. And, in return, we’ve seen the Packers move the football. But, as the game wears on, almost oddly, the offense reverts back to ghosts of days past. We see the play clock drip near zero. We see solely deep routes. We lose all semblance of an attacking mindset. And, sustainable results have quickly diminished.

Another sun shining day for Brian Gutekunst: The Smith Bros. combined for 5 sacks and a forced fumble. Savage had a pick. Gary had a sack and a fumble recovery. Jaire had a forced fumble and a fumble recovery.

Through three weeks, Aaron Rodgers has been highly inconsistent. He’s flashed moments of his MVP form. And, he’s following those plays up with highly inaccurate throws and wasted plays. The TD pass to MVS was absolute perfection. The incomplete 3rd down pass to G-Mo on the second possession of the game was airmailed to brutality. If Rodgers can find his form, look out, as the sky will be the limit for this team.

Bryan Bulaga continues to play sensational football.

David Bakhtiari kept the pocket clean in pass protection.

Vitale on the wheel route!

I’m football happy!

It sure felt like Jenkins held up well at the point.

I liked seeing Marcedes Lewis grabbing the ball in space. He’s the best TE on the roster.

Bob Tonyan was open on a 1st Quarter deep ball. Had he not temporarily stopped his route, he’d have scored a TD.

Jamaal Williams was dialed in and running hard. I was surprised that he played 61% of the snaps compared to only 39% for Jones. Williams touched the ball 14 times compared to Jones’ 11. If it were me, the offense would run through Jones week in and week out.

Catch the ball, G-Mo. Focus!

“We got a defense.”

Through three weeks, the Packers are +6 in turnover differential. And, there’s no reason to think that the turnovers won’t continue to be forced.

Keep on crawlin’, Za’Darius! Big dawg has to eat!

A relentless, full-on inspiring performance by Preston!

Blake Martinez played as physical as he can play. Stacking and shedding. A sure tackler. Solid performance by Blake.

After the Gary sack, he went to the sideline for one play. When he came back out to the field after a quick breather, Gary looked hobbled. Preston Smith got in his face with an encouraging head slap and some animated words. Gary immediately looked recharged. Great leadership by Preston!

Fackrell is so close to making a game changing play. He’s putting himself in position. It’s only a matter of time before he gets home on a big sack.

I really wish Savage was wearing #36. Put him in the same jersey that we’ve seen LeRoy and Nintendo Nick wearing. Have the uniform reserved for Stallion Safeties. Savage is a beast!

Kenny Clark is unbelievably quick off of the snap. I wish he’d have finished the play on 4th down at the goal line, but nonetheless, it was great to see him bursting through the line of scrimmage to put himself in position to prevent score and that was great to see.

Another really strong performance by Lowry.

Lancaster is a really good rotational run defender. He’s tough to move and he slides down the line really well.

I was happy to see Keke getting snaps. He plays with a high powered motor. I’d like to see him, Gary and the Smith Bros. on the field for a 3rd down play in the near future.

Fadol Brown lacked burst and was held up at the line. I was hoping he’d take the next stop this year and become a solid rotational player. Thus far, that hasn’t happened.

Over the last two weeks, the defense has showed signs of weakness in the run game. The Donkeys ran right at the heart of the defense and had success. In the future, they can expect teams to mimic that approach. Run the ball on 1st and 2nd down between the tackles. Control the clock. Trust the offense to convert on 3rd and short. What’s interesting about the run defense giving up big yards is that there were many positive individual performances in the run game, but the unit — as a whole — struggled to stop the ball.

Orchestrate the celebration, Will Redmond! That’s great fun!

JK SCOTT!!! Booming the ball!

Make the kick, Mason. It would’ve been nice to see the Packers getting 30 points on the board against a Fangio defense.

When I saw Shepherd line up in the slot, I expected to see something entertaining. Instead, it was a WR screen that called for Shepherd to block. Clearly, that didn’t work.

Really up and down day for MVS. He was a statistical monster. The speed on the deep ball was eye popping. But, he also lost concentration a couple of times. The dropped passes have to stop.

Consider this: the Packers are 3-0 and the mechanics of the offense are still a work in progress. There’s been a lack of consistency on quickly getting to the line of scrimmage. Rodgers has been inconsistent. And, there have been a wide number of pre snap penalties. As the operation of the offense improves — which it should in the future — you’d have to imagine that this team will grow to be a group that is capable of winning an offensive shootout.

I thought that the Milwaukee crowd showed up really well on Sunday. The crowd was loud. The Stadium has great energy to it. If the crowd brings that type of vibrancy this year, the Packers will be really tough to beat at Lambeau.

I’m hoping for MVS to catch 10 passes that are a minimum of 30 yards this year. Through three games, he has caught two of them.

4th Quarter. Up 8. The Packers got the ball at their own 26 with 13:30 to play. The offense was coming off of back-to-back poor possessions. Rodgers and LaFleur nutted up. They responded with an 11 play, 51 yard drive that chewed up 7:41 off of the clock. Crosby connected on the FG to make it a two score game. That’s solid football.

Jimmy Graham played 24 of 57 offensive snaps. That’s 24 too many snaps.

After three weeks, the Packers have already lost two players to IR. Lane Taylor might have been struggling early in the year, but it’s a big blow to the depth of the OL to lose him for the year.

Here’s my 2020 Mock Draft:

Round 1: Isaiah Simmons, ILB, Clemson.
Round 2: JR Reed, S, Georgia.
Round 3: Grant Calcaterra, TE, Oklahoma.
Round 4: Leki Fotu, DL, Utah.
Round 5: AJ Dillon, RB, Boston College.
Round 6: Drew Richmond, OT, USC.
Round 6: Joe Burrow, QB, LSU.
Round 7: Michael Pittman, WR, USC.
Round 7: Scooter Harrington, TE, Stanford.
Round 7: Asmar Bilal, ILB, ND.

This week - it's the Eagles. It's the third straight home game and it offers the chance to remain undefeated, one-quarter of the way through the season. The more I chew on it, the more I'm excited that 5 of the first 7 games were at home. It certainly offers the Packers an opportunity to be in the driver's seat at the midway point of the season in LaFleur's inaugural season as Head Coach. Additionally, it's fair to assume that LaFleur will improve over time with his ability to make in-game adjustments. But, the Packers have to take this stretch one-game at a time. Win on Thursday night and get a mini bye! Let's fucking go, baby!

Offensively, the Eagles have a number of weapons. Carson Wentz is a master at extending plays. He throws an excellent deep ball. He is dangerous with his legs. He's a never say die fighter. DeSean Jackson won't play. JJ Arcega-Whiteside is a big, intimidating WR who has yet to make his impact. The Eagles get Alshon Jeffery back. Jeffery is a great deep threat who will challenge the Packers over the top. Nelson Agholor is a speedy WR who is often used in motion. Agholor is best in the slot. He's a tough cover. Zach Ertz is among the best TE's in the game. At RB, the Eagles have a number of weapons. Jordan Howard has often been tough for GB to tackle in the past. Miles Sanders is a weapon with the ball in his hands. Darren Sproles is still a threat. Corey Clement is a talented back who makes big plays in single back formations as a runner and a receiver. The Eagles also have a tenured OL. A unit who has mostly been together and had a lot of success together.

Defensively, even without Tim Jernigan, the Eagles are stacked up front. Derek Barnett and Brandon Graham can get to the QB on the EDGE. They're ferocious competitors. Fletcher Cox is arguably the best DT in football. Vinny Curry and Josh Sweat are very good rotational defensive line players. Nigel Bradham is a stud at ILB. Zach Brown was a score as a Free Agent. I wish the Packers would've grabbed Brown. The Eagles secondary is banged up. Ronald Darby won't play. Rasul Douglas is talented, but he's not fleet of foot and will struggle to keep up with MVS on the deep ball. Sidney Jones is still developing. Avonte Maddox is undersized and will likely only play in the slot. At Safety, the Eagles are as talented as it gets with Malcolm Jenkins, Rodney McLeod, Andrew Sendejo and Jonathan Cyprien.

The Eagles are a battle tested team. Sure, they're 1-2, but they aren't going to drop to 1-3 with ease. This will be a dog fight.

I expect a higher scoring affair than we've seen in 2019. I anticipate that Doug Pedersen will have a good game plan to attack the Packers DL by running between the tackles. It'll open up the play action. Look for the Eagles to challenge the Packers secondary over the top.

If the Packers don't get inside pressure, Wentz will cause all kinds of problems with his feet. Pettine should look to send Martinez on multiple inside blitzes. If so, Wentz will hold onto the ball too long and eventually give the Packers a chance to make a play defensively.

I expect Rodgers to have his best game of the year. Look for the Packers to play a lot of single back formations with Aaron Jones as the lone back. Jones didn't play much against the Broncos. I imagine that LaFleur was saving him for this week. LaFleur spreads out the depleted Philly secondary. Davante gets busy.

Jones punches his way to the second level and tops 100 yards. He gets loose on a big run.

MVS gets over the top of the Eagles defense for a big play.

Jaire gets his first pick of the season.

I have a feeling that Kyler Fackrell is going to grab his first sack of the year.

It'll be a nail biter. The Packers defense holds late to preserve a perfect September!

STAY. LOUD. LAMBEAU!

Packers 31.
Eagles 27.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin' S-Mac.
talkins-mac.blogspot.com









Thursday, September 19, 2019

My Take -> Week 3

Greetings, G-Force!

2-0! In dramatic fashion. Two wins over our hated rivals, the Bears and the ‘queens. Fantastic start, Matt LaFleur! In two weeks, you’ve reminded me of what it feels like to be football happy. I’ve missed this buzz.

As I write, I sip a 4 Noses Pump Action. It brings a fully loaded pumpkin cinnamon spice. When poured, the color looks like a spilled pumpkin. It’s 7.7%. With the body of a session Pale Ale, it has a thicker pumpkin pie flavor than most in the category. It’s a 2016 GABF winner. I listen to Toots and the Maytals “In the Dark” album. Glorious!

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

Pour yourself a pint, Brian Gutekunst! Make it strong. You’ve earned it!

How does Matt LaFleur line up to start his first home game? He lines up with two TEs. Tonyan and Lewis on the field. Yes, he had his $10 million TE on the bench in a 2-TE set. He lines Tonyan outside and motions him tight to Bakhtiari‘s side. He calls play action. It was essentially a 2-man route. The play design was perfect. The result was a big play to Adams. Rodgers clearly approved as he emphatically pointed to LaFleur after the play.

LaFleur’s first drive? 4 plays. 75 yards. A Packers TD.

The jet sweeps. The motion. The disguise. It all feels so fun.

Aaron Rodgers showed glimpses of a return to his MVP form.

Can we please lock up Kenny Clark for years to come?

Za’Darius Smith was a total stud. Throw the stats out the window. He dominated the line of scrimmage.

Preston Smith dropping into coverage and grabbing the interception has had me feeling hoarse all week.

Aaron Jones. Slippery. Powerful. Fast. Decisive. Give him a sliver. He will do the rest.

Loved the way LaFleur mixed formations. The two back set designs were creatively crafted. Nice to see Jamaal Williams plowing his way into the end zone on a gorgeously designed play.

The Lambeau Faithful. Difference makers. If you were in attendance, I offer you a hearty THANK YOU! You helped alter the outcome. For that effort, I offer you a shared smile, a handshake and a back slap. Very well done.

Darnell Savage. So much to like. His coverage deep down the field was fantastic. I wish he’d have finished the play with a pick, but those are coming, I can feel it. I love the way he attacks the line of scrimmage. I wish he’d have tried to slow down Cook on the big TD run instead of trying to sell out and make a diving tackle in the open field.

The Raven Greene injury hurts. I wondered aloud last week if he could hold up in that role. I figured he’d last more than 6 Quarters though. I don’t like the thought of moving Amos into that role. With Amos and Savage at Safety, the secondary is on lockdown. Don’t get me wrong, I am on the Will Redmond bandwagon, but I really wish there was another option at ILB so Amos could stay put. This team needs Oren Burks to get healthy.

The Raven Greene injury makes me wonder how much Josh Jones regrets his behavior. Jones remains unsigned. In two years, his best performances were most certainly as an attacking ILB. I often reflect on his dominance against the Bengals during his rookie year. If he’d have acted professionally and behaved with maturity, he’d likely be playing significant snaps this weekend. Instead, he’s unemployed.

Bryan Bulaga has been a superstar over the first two weeks of the year.

Elgton Jenkins > Lane Taylor. At least it feels that way so far.

Well played, David Bakhtiari.

The Lambeau volume stoked my football flame.

Billy Turner is concerning me. He hasn’t been able to withstand the bull rush.

Corey Linsley has been a model of consistency throughout his career. Until now. I am confident that he will find his form, but the first two weeks haven’t been friendly to him. He looks like he needed preseason football. He showed a lack of awareness in the open field and missed assignments in Week 1. In Week 2, he had a poor snap to turn the ball over and again appeared to occasionally struggle in the passing game. I’ve come to expect near perfection from Linsley. He set the bar, not me. He’s been that good for most of his career. I’m hoping he settles in this week.

Elgton Jenkins, Preston Smith and Za’Darius Smith have brought a Country Strong feel to this team.

The crowd at Lambeau was so awesome.

Fully enjoyable to see G-Mo making the TD grab!

I’m tracking MVS’ 30 yard grabs. He has one so far this year. He nearly came down with a 2nd. I want 10 on the year.

Rodgers rolling to his left, flipping his wrist and tossing a dart to Adams is pure genius.

There will be many critics over the offensive production post the 1st Quarter. I’m not one. I applaud G-Mo for pushing forward to get first down yardage. Wish he wouldn’t have fumbled, but I appreciated the effort. The flukey 4th and 1 play was unfortunate. I don’t understand why LaFleur didn’t play commander and take a time out from the sideline, but I can overlook it. And, in the 2nd half of the game, there were so many near misses. MVS had two, Adams had one and Jones had one. Big plays are unquestionably waiting in the wings for this offense.

Jaire Alexander was two dropped interceptions from an All Pro performance. He’s a man on a mission right now.

Kevin King appears to be taking the next step in his career. And, I like it a lot. Terrific hustle on his interception.

Tony Brown with the blocked kick! I love his effort.

Blake Martinez was solid. He epitomizes true leadership. I still contend that Gutekunst is going to have a really hard decision ahead of him on Martinez. The Packers can’t live without him, but in 2 games, he’s been the 4th best ILB on the field. So, what to pay him?

Dean Lowry. Hard working man earning his paycheck. Dominating the line of scrimmage.

I dig Za’Darius Smith’s smile. Love his energy.

Lancaster brings fire.

Gary is providing fire. He’s coming to the line with heightened energy. He’s hustling. Chasing down plays. If he can continue to develop, this defense could become really, really special.

Fackrell is putting himself in position. Now, he must start to finish plays. If so, he will be a difference maker for this defense.

I was happy to hear Keke might get snaps in favor of Fadol Brown this week. Keke hasn’t been active yet. Meanwhile, Brown has shockingly lacked juice off of the line of scrimmage. I’m bullish on Keke’s upside.

JK Scott! Another strong performance!

Jimmy Graham is the highest paid TE in the NFL. Matt LaFleur does not care. If you can’t block, you won’t be an every down player in his offense.

Evan Baylis getting elevated is a potentially curious move. Baylis played really well in the preseason. He was a reliable pass catcher and a willing blocker. He’s a big man. In light of Graham’s pathetic effort on Sunday against MN, I wonder if there’s more to the story. Or maybe Graham is simply injured and going to be out for the next two weeks or so. But, let’s be clear, Gutekunst and LaFleur aren’t messing around. They don’t care about past years career performances or current salary cap structures. They want to win...NOW. If Graham doesn’t play with more desire than he did on Sunday, then it’s a possibility that this move will be more than a temporary roster promotion for Baylis.

Aaron Rodgers is presenting himself in interviews as a different man. He’s taking ownership for his mistakes. He looks to be having fun again. I’d love to see this offense if Rodgers could fully regain his accuracy. His miss to MVS and to Jones prevented really big plays.

The sideline interactions between Za’Darius and Davante are priceless. Those boys are teammates!

I’ve been surprised that Gary has mostly come on bull and speed rushes around the edge. I would like to see him lined next to Za’Darius and stunting from the outside to the inside.

Kenny Clark’s inside pressure is beautiful to watch. The strip sack was a riveting game changing play.

“We got a defense.”

Jaire + King = <3.

Savage + Amos = :).

Turner + Taylor = ¯\_(ツ)_/¯.

Preston + Za’Darius = Smith Bros. = Brotherhood.

Another potentially sneaky good Gutekunst find was the addition of Tremon Smith. Last year before the Draft, I wrote this about him: I love his punt return skills. He also makes plays on the ball in the air. A fun athlete with a nose for the goal line after an interception. Forceful tackler. Reads routes and jumps them. Flashy style to his persona. Though he's really undersized, there's a fun confidence to him.

I know most are branding Tremon Smith as purely a Kickoff Returner, but he has punt return skills as well.

For weeks, I’ve been saying that you know Gutekunst wants 10 draft picks entering the Draft next year. After trading Trevor Davis, Gutekunst now has met his assumed goal.

I couldn’t believe it, but it seemed as though the vast majority of fans were rowdy on 3rd down. That notion died after 2011. I was thrilled to hear that the fans wanted to make a difference on GameDay, once again. There was a clear cut home field advantage. Even when momentum swung to the ‘queens. The fans continued to inspire the team. Fans can motivate players with positive volume enforcement; I believe in it! Keep the good vibes rollin’!

I’m really feeling that the Packers must Draft ILB, T, G, and TE in the early portions of this Draft. I need to do more homework at the TE position to give extensive commentary on the 2020 prospects. Here is a 2020 Mock Draft:

Round 1: Isaiah Simmons, ILB, Clemson.
Round 2: Lorenzo Neal, DL, Purdue.
Round 3: Jon Greenard, EDGE, Florida.
Round 4: JR Reed, S, Georgia.
Round 5: Liam Eichenberg, OT, ND.
Round 6: Devin Duvernay, WR, Texas.
Round 6: John Houston, ILB, USC.
Round 7: Dayan Ghanwoloku, CB, BYU.
Round 7: Sean McKeon, TE, Michigan.
Round 7: Cameron Scarlett, RB, Stanford.

This week, it’s the Donkeys traveling to Titletown, U.S.A. in a game that is poised to be an emotional letdown game for the Packers. The Packers are coming off of two vital victories over Divisional opponents. And, now, they have 2 home games in 5 days. If they win both of these games, the Packers will be in great shape heading into October.

Currently, I live in CO. So, I hear a lot of Donkey chatter throughout the week. With that said, I couldn’t be happier to board a flight to go to this game. I’m flying with my two boys and it’ll be my 4 year old Son’s first NFL game. He’s really amped to attend!

While the Packers have been making crucial game saving plays at the end of games, the Donkeys have been losing 1-score games. They feel like they, too, were in position to be 2-0.

Vic Fangio has long been a competitive nemesis to Aaron Rodgers. He’s confused Rodgers. He’s irritated Rodgers. He’s been able to inflict pain on Rodgers. He forced Rodgers into bad decisions through the years.

Offensively, the Donkeys will try to establish balance on offense and they’ll try to control the ball. Joe Flacco is off to a good start at QB. He’s played fairly well over the first two weeks. He’s stood confidently in the pocket and he’s mostly thrown an accurate ball. Phillip Lindsay is a speed back that hits the hole and quickly gobbles up yards. Royce Freeman has been receiving the carries between the tackles. Noah Fant was a favorite of mine heading into the Draft. He is a pass catching mismatch with elite size + speed combination. They have three extremely talented WRs in Courtland Sullivan, DaeSean Hamilton and Emmanuel Sanders. Prior to the season, the Donkeys made JaWuan Jones the second highest paid RT in the history of the NFL. He’s injured and might not play. Former 1st round pick, Garret Bolles, has really struggled at LT. Dalton Risner, another favorite of mine heading into the Draft, starts at LG. He’s been a monster so far this year. Connor McGovern is a physical Center and Ronald Leary is equally as physical at Guard. If Jones doesn’t play, the Packers should be able to dominate the edges of the line and cause havoc for Flacco.

Defensively, thus far, the Donkeys have underperformed. They are loaded with talent and I love Fangio’s system. They will significantly improve. Let’s hope it waits a week. Miller and Chubb are a lethal combo at OLB. Derek Wolfe is a dominant interior defender on the line. Todd Davis is healthy and expected to start at ILB. Josey Jewell is a quality run stopping ILB. They have a gifted secondary. Chris Harris is a shut down CB. Kareem Jackson and Justin Simmons are physical, fast, do-it-all Safeties. Bryce Callahan is expected to make his season debut and, if so, he’s developed into a dependable CB, especially in the slot. Isaac Yiadom has the desired speed, but he’s really struggled so far. Expect Rodgers to target Yiadom early and often.

I’m really interested to see the Packers defend an immobile QB. Flacco is a statue. I want to see a Gary, Clark, and Smith Bros. pass rush. They should be able to collapse the pocket and force a couple of turnovers.

It doesn’t matter who Yiadom is covering, I want to target him. I’d love to see MVS streaking down the sideline with Yiadom in coverage. Yiadom might develop into a really good CB, but thus far, he’s not ready.

Don’t be surprised if Baylis sees significant snaps and makes a difference in the run game. He’s football smart.

Kenny Clark slows the Donkeys run game.

Jaire marks up Sanders. King slows down Sullivan.

Za’Darius grabs a sack.

Savage gets his first interception.

Not that I’m pining for a conservative approach, but with two games in 5 days, I feel it’d be wise to keep Dexter Williams active this week. And, if the Packers can get a 2-score lead, I’d give Dexter a drive to help preserve Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones.

If the weather holds, the Packers should win convincingly.

Packers 23.
Donkeys 9.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin’ S-Mac.
Talkins-Mac.blogspot.com

Friday, September 13, 2019

My Take -> Week 2

Greetings, G-Force.

For now and forever, the Packers can claim Trump Card at Soldier Field. After all, the Halas Trophy resides in the Visitors Locker Room. When you hold Trump Card in your pocket, you walk into the opposing stadium and feel comfortable playing their style of football. You beat them at their own game. Yes, the Bears Still Suck!

As I write, I sip a 4 Noses Apricot Velvet. It’s a Milkshake IPA. It’s fruity. It’s creamy. It has a vanilla bean bite to minimize the apricot/peach strength. It’s perfectly concocted. I listen to the Beastie Boys “Beastie Boys Anthology: The Sounds of Science” album. I’m reminded: Dip dip dive — so socialize. Open up your ears and clean out your eyes. If you learn to love you're in for a surprise. It could be nice to be alive!

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

Packers fans entered 2019 in a world of uncertainty. Bears fans entered 2019 feeling like they were destined for greatness. 25 minutes into the season, the Packers defense had the previously rowdy Bear fan booing loudly throughout Soldier Field. THE BEARS STILL SUCK!

Classy move by Rodgers to keep the game ball. To give it to LaFleur. To hand it to him and promise that he’d be better in the future. I already love their relationship.

Mike Pettine. Drawn up to perfection.

The win over the Bears was a grand moment for Gutekunst. His FA signings on defense were stellar. His pair of 1st round picks were impactful. He has to be proud!

Happy homecoming, Adrian Amos! You deserve ALL of the money.

Tip the cap, Gutekunst! I’d forgotten what it felt like to have a pair of stallion pass rushers. It’s good to be reminded. Our EDGE rushers are alive!

It’s only one game, but Savage sure looked like Nintendo Nick reincarnated.

THE BEARS STILL SUCK!

JK Scott was absolutely dynamite. He was a superstar. JK! JK! JK!

Bryan Bulaga was a fuckin’ man!

Kenny Clark was a monster in the middle. When he teamed with Amos to stuff Patterson on 3rd and 1, I literally jumped out of my seat with excitement.

In the words of Aaron Rodgers, “we got a defense.”

As a reminder, the two greatest moments in the long history of Soldier Field are the 2010 NFC Championship Game and the Grateful Dead’s 50th Anniversary Fare Thee Well 3-day Run.

The speed on the defensive side of the ball was off of the charts. Really, at all levels of the defense. Blake Martinez even looked faster closing on the ball.

Raven Greene played really well. He’s physical. A reliable tackler. He was confident coming on the blitz. I’m not sure that he can hold up all year in that role, but he certainly did in Chicago. Sneaky good Gutekunst find.

Blake Martinez was a full-out baller!

Rashan Gary. 6 snaps. 2 pressures. I’ll take it.

Another Sleeper Gutekunst find: Will Redmond. He was a weapon as a gunner.

The spirit within the leadership of the defense is absolutely infectious. Za’Darius waits for Preston to deliver a post game interview to show that they are men locked in arms. Jaire is robust with a contagious personality. Kevin King is high spirited and instantaneous in his desire to celebrate a teammates success. Blake Martinez, Kenny Clark and Adrian Amos play in do-as-I-do leadership style, which is much the contrary to the Mike Daniels approach of years past.

How good is Davante Adams? At one point, he was triple teamed!

I expect G-MO to be highly productive in 2019. He wasn’t targeted in Week 1. That won’t continue.

MVS getting over the top! I hope to see 10 catches of 30+ yards this year!

LaFleur used a lot of double TE. The Packers ran 64 plays. Graham was on the field for 35 of them. Lewis played 34. Tonyan played 20.

The last time the Packers beat the Bears 10-3? The 2010 season. The Packers won the Super Bowl that year.

THE BEARS STILL SUCK!

Good to see Jimmy Graham winning a jump ball in the end zone. It was also nice to see him drawing the Pass Interference penalty.

Good to see Tonyan making a catch and grabbing yards with the ball in his hands.

Really liked how Marcedes Lewis was utilized. Rodgers trusts him. Wish Lewis would’ve caught the ball down the sidelines late.

Adrian Amos creating a storybook ending to start the NFL’s 100th season is one I’ll always remember.

I’ve been an avid Lane Taylor supporter this Training Camp, but if he has another game like he did in Chicago, he will be benched for Jenkins. He played pathetic football. He was bulled over. He lacked vision + awareness. He was mostly a liability.

Let’s hope that Billy Turner is much better than he showed in Week 1.

Za’Darius Smith was unbelievable. He was consistently in the face of the Bears young QB. He came from all over the field. He had 3 tackles. He had a sack. He had 1 tackle for loss. He was a force all night long.

Preston Smith was dynamite. 1.5 sacks. 5 total tackles. He had 1 tackle for loss. He was energized. He was enthusiastic. He was a force in the run game.

It was fitting that on the final defensive snap of the game, Pettine called a stunt that had the Smith Bros. lined up on the right side. Za’Darius cleared the way. Preston burst thru the hole and finished off the Bears young QB to seal the victory. Teammates. Selfless play by Za’Darius.

This was not some odd twist of fate performance by the defense. They dominated the line of scrimmage. Martinez and Greene played really well in the middle of the field. And, they nearly had 4 interceptions in the 1st half. Preston Smith tipped a pass that hit Martinez in the hand, Jaire batted a ball in the air that TMon was hustling to get under, King dropped a pick, and Savage was in position to steal a 3rd down pass when he jumped the route over the middle of the field.

As a team, the Packers had 5 sacks and 6 tackles for loss. Stunningly impressive performance!

I was surprised that the Packers didn’t run the ball on 2nd and 4 from the Bears 46 with just over 1 minute left in the 2nd Quarter. I felt like they should’ve managed the game to guarantee that they had the lead at the half. Additionally, the Packers had two timeouts, so the clock wasn’t an issue.

The 100th Anniversary of the NFL Season kicked off with the NFL’s oldest rivalry squaring off. Big boy grumpy city vs small town farm boys. National TV. Just as a movie script would tell the story, the good guys won. GPG! Fuck. Yes.

As a fan, this is not the time to be fearful of the Packers offense. There will be games this year in which the Packers win in a shoot out. There will be games where Adams tops 100 yards receiving. There will be games in which Jones tops 100 yards rushing. I’m not concerned about the offense.

I am football stoked right now! The last time I was littered with such glee? Week 2 of last year as the Packers were hosting the 'queens post a dramatic victory over the hated Bears. Oh, the irony.

JK Scott was phenomenal. You know who helped him be so good? Will Redmond. Amazing gunner! Yes, that deserved a 2nd mention. Trevor Davis also showed well in the role.

The Packers offense was far from productive. But, I’m holding onto huge hope. LaFleur’s design on the 47 yard completion to MVS was exceptional. It had disguise. It had misdirection. Rodgers executed the play to perfection. I anticipate that we will see similar styles of play design in abundance in upcoming weeks. Conceptually, this offense will offer significantly more confusion as comfort levels enhance.

With full-belly, wide-smiling joy, please sing it with me! THE BEARS STILL SUCK! THE BEARS STILL SUCK! THEY REALLY, REALLY, REALLY, REALLY, REALLY, REALLY SUCK! OH, THE BEARS STILL SUCK!

Quick side note: Want to hear something mind blowing? Former Packers QB, Graham Harrell, is a rising star in the coaching sphere. He’s currently the offensive coordinator for USC. Do yourself a favor and watch them play this year.

For this weeks 2020 Packers Mock Draft, I, once again, try to mix up the player names as much as possible. I have not spent enough time on TE, WR and T to make assessments beyond a couple of top tier players. Here goes:

Round 1: Isaiah Simmons, ILB, Clemson.
Round 2: Ben Bredeson, G, Michigan.
Round 3: Jaylon Johnson, CB, Utah.
Round 4: Marlon Davidson, EDGE, Auburn.
Round 5: Brandon Jones, CB/S, Texas.
Round 6: Joe Burrow, QB, LSU.
Round 7: Lamical Perine, RB, FL.
Round 7: Leki Fotu, DL, Utah.
Round 7: Sage Lewis, ILB, FIU.

This week - it's the ‘queens coming to Lambeau for the home opener. If Matt LaFleur’s inaugural season is going to be a successful one, the 12-day stretch that begins on Sunday will be a propelling factor. The Packers will play three home games in that time frame. If the Packers can win at home, they’ll be sitting pretty a quarter of the way through the season.

The tide has changed over the last 4 games between these rivals. The ‘queens have been in control. They’ve mostly dominated the line of scrimmage. They’ve been aggressive with contact at CB. And, offensively, at times, it’s felt like they could move the ball at will.

The ‘queens have a number of playmakers. Diggs and Thielen make up a dynamic duo at WR. Chad Beebe is a sure handed slot WR. Dalvin Cook, if healthy, is poised to have a big year. Alexander Mattison has looked the part and feels like he might be a talented compliment to Cook. Kyle Rudolph is still a top shelf blocker and a reliable target. Irv Smith is a potential weapon as a backup TE. Kirk Cousins was paid to win games like these. Historically, he has played fairly well against the Packers. The ‘queens seem to feel better about their OL this year, too. Riley Reiff is a high priced FA acquisition. Brian O’Neill is a former 2nd round pick. Reiff and O’Neill will try to contain the Smith Bros. Garrett Bradbury was their 1st round pick and will start at Center. Pat Elflein is a former 3rd round pick. He will line up with Josh Kline at Guard. I like the way the Packers front 4 matches up against the ‘queens OL.

Defensively, the ‘queens have most of the same faces that we’ve seen for many years in a row. Hunter and Griffen love to pin their ears back and attack the QB. Joseph is a monster run stopper. Shamar Stephen is a solid role player on the interior of the line. Stephen Weatherly is a good rotational DL who fits the system. At LB, Kendricks and Barr do what they do. The ‘queens have to feel good about Smith, Waynes and Rhodes in the secondary. Anthony Harris and Jayron Kearse are question marks. The ‘queens might be without Mike Hughes and Mackenzie Alexander, who are their nickel and dime CBs. It’s possible that they’ll be decimated in the defensive backfield. If so, it’ll be up to the Packers OL to protect Rodgers. With time, Rodgers might have an opportunity to make a number of plays deep down the field.

Without question, both teams are going to try to establish the run early in the game. They’ll work to slow down the oppositions pass rush by getting them on their heels via a successful run game. Then, the run game will open up play action and the screen game.

I expect the Lambeau crowd to be exceptionally rowdy. The fans have to know how much this game means to the Packers franchise. Rise up, Lambeau!

Look for Rodgers to find G-Mo across the middle.

Book it: Trae Waynes will have at least one pass interference called against him.

I want to see MVS streaking down the sidelines!

If the ‘queens try to match Rhodes one on one vs Adams, Adams will have opportunities for big plays.

With the potential injuries to the ‘queens secondary, I’d imagine that LaFleur plays a lot less two TE sets than he did in Chicago. Look for LaFleur to try and spread the defense out. LaFleur trusts his OL to win their battles and to force Zimmer’s hand to start blitzing.

LaFleur lives on screens and crossing routes.

Jaire must play at an All Pro level and eliminate Diggs.

The Smith Bros. have to collapse the edges.

Look for Gary to alter a play on a stunt from the left EDGE coming to the inside.

Look for Amos to be inching up in the box in an attempt to slow down the ‘queens run game.

Cousins gives the Packers a chance to make a play in the secondary. Savage delivers.

Crosby confidently connects.

Packers 23.
‘queens 20.

Go Pack Go!

Talkin’ S-Mac.
Talkins-Mac.blogspot.com

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

My Take -> Week 1

Greetings, G-Force.

We enter the 2019 season with wild uncertainty. The Packers have a new head coach, a new special teams coach and a 2nd year defensive coordinator who might have as many as 7 different starters from Week 1 a year ago. Each year, I try to project the Packers record. And, for the most part, I’ve been fairly accurate. This year, it’s nearly impossible to do so. It wouldn’t shock me if the Packers won 11 games. It wouldn’t shock me if the Packers won 7 games. My prediction: we watch highly entertaining football, it’s a developmental year and the Packers finish either 9-7 or 8-8. It’s possible that this team needs to learn how to win with all of these new faces — most who have not come from consistently winning programs.

As I start to write, I listen to Jimmy Cliff’s version of “I Can See Clearly Now” in hopes to find some clarity of what lies ahead. I sip a 2017 Elevation Beer Co “Oil Man.” It’s nearly 11% ABV. Thick Stout goodness. Bourbon barrel aged. Potent. Malt coat on the front. Chocolate on the back.

Here are my quick vibes from the last week:

Gutekunst worked hard to try to secure a 10th pick heading into next years Draft. He wasn’t able to secure another pick, but he did get creative in trades to pick up an ILB, Goodson, and to accumulate potential Draft currency for McCray.

Prior to the 2016 NFL Draft, I wrote this on Goodson: “BJ Goodson, Clemson. Round 3-4. Have to love his game. Far from intimidated by anyone. Prideful player. True leader. Commander of the huddle. Forceful in the run game. Decent in the pass game. Can rush the passer from the inside. Might not be a 3-down backer, but definitely can step in on day 1 and play on 1st and 2nd down.”

Props to Gutekunst for parting ways with Kizer. He’s not even close to being ready. He’s also a prime example as to why I can’t be convinced that the Packers should Draft a QB over the course of the next two years.

I’m happy for Sullivan, Lazard, Redmond and Shepherd. They earned spots on the 53 man roster.

Speaking of Shepherd, I can’t help to wonder if he was kept because the Packers didn’t not trust Davis to be healthy. And, because of it, Gutekunst wanted a back up return man on the roster.

At this stage, CB is the richest position on the roster.

The Jace Sternberger injury is a buzzkill. I was overwhelmingly confident that he would make an impact at some point this year. Now, I highly doubt that he will see the field. Brutal. Unlucky.

The Cole Madison story makes me feel good. Mental health is among the most serious issues in America right now. I proudly donate time and money to the Mental Health Center of Denver. It’s heartwarming to see the way both Madison and the Packers handled the last 18 months. Cheers to Madison for raising his hand and seeking help. Thrilled he made the team. Forever pulling for him!!

It feels like the Packers kept the best 53 players that we saw in the preseason. And, because of it, I’m comfortable with the depth at all positions outside of QB, ILB and Tackle.

An interesting schedule quirk that goes in the Bears favor for 2019: the NFC NORTH plays the AFC WEST. The bears get KC and the Chargers at home. Minnesota and Green Bay have to travel for both games. I presume that road games against Oakland and Denver will be much easier than road games at KC and at LA.

I really wish that LaFleur’s first two games weren’t at Chicago and then a home game against Minnesota. Dude better be ready to manage a game because he’s being thrown into the fire. An 0-2 start to the season — with losses to arch rival divisional foes — would likely thwart the year.

The Packers have roughly $16 million in cap room. I hope they use some of it to pay Kenny Clark. With that said, it sure feels like Clark isn’t looking to give any hometown discounts. Blake Martinez’s contract needs to be considered, too.

Here is my weekly Mock Draft:

Round 1.) Trey Adams, OT, Washington.
Round 2.) Khalid Kareem, EDGE, ND.
Round 3.) Colby Parkinson, TE, Stanford.
Round 4.) Zack Moss, RB, Utah.
Round 5.) Khaleke Hudson, ILB, Michigan.
Round 6.) Bradlee Anae, EDGE, Utah.
Round 7.) Pat Bethel, DL, []_[].
Round 7.) Asmar Bilal, ILB, ND.
Round 7.) Lee Autry, DL, Mississippi State.

To kick off the NFL’s season, it’s the Packers at the Bears. Could it be more fitting? The NFL’s oldest rivalry squaring off to launch the season. The hated Bears in Week 1. Man, why does the NFL have to give me such stress to begin the year? In an interesting twist – when you consider the last decade – it’s the Bears who are considered a Super Bowl contender and the Packers who are a team full of uncertainties. The Bears have an ascending coach, a young QB on his first contract, a dominant defense and playmakers at the skill positions. On paper, they appear to be a team that’s poised to, once again, win the Division. If I were a Bears fan, anything other than a trip to the NFC Championship would be considered a disappointment in 2019. I give the Bears credit for following the 1st contract QB recipe for success.

The Bears have surrounded their young QB with a good mix between FA acquisitions and draft picks. Anthony Miller and Riley Ridley are both skilled up and coming receivers. Allen Robinson is a top level perimeter WR. Taylor Gabriel is a talented slot WR. Cordarrelle Patterson is not only a lethal kick returner, but he’s a versatile offensive peg that can be utilized in a wide variety of ways. He’s historically done significant damage to the Packers. The Bears OL also appears to be better than years past with Leno and Massie manning the ends. Cody Whitehair was moved to guard as James Daniels will get the start at Center. When healthy, Kyle Long is still a force at Guard. Trey Burton is an athletic TE option who makes plays in the passing game. The Bears also have a good range of running back styles. Cohen is a video game with the ball in his hands, Montgomery is a do-it-all style of back and Mike Davis is a bruiser.

It’ll be interested to see how the Bears defense adjusts without Fangio. They still have an imposing defensive front. Akiem Hicks is among the best DT in the game. Eddie Goldman is a forceful early down player. Roy Robertson-Harris is a worthwhile pass rushing interior player. Bilal Nichols has developed well. Khalil Mack and Leonard Floyd make up an elite duo. At ILB, Danny Trevathan and Roquan Smith are among the best tandems in the game. The secondary is the question mark. Kyle Fuller had a phenomenal 2018. How will he follow it up? Prince Amukamara is a descending player. At Safety, Eddie Jackson is a budding superstar. But, he lost his wingman in Adrian Amos. Ha Ha was average over the last 2 years. How will he play for Chicago? Buster Skrine was brought in via FA. Skrine has been a liability, at times, in the past.

I fully expect this game to come down to four things:

· Can Bulaga block Mack? In the past, Mack has dominated Bulaga.
· Can the Packers limit Cohen and Patterson on special teams? In the past, both have made big plays against the Packers.
· Can the Packers defensive front apply pressure without blitzing? The Packers spent big on the Smith Bros. They drafted Gary in Round 1. It’s time for them to pay dividends.
· Can the Packers defense force 2 turnovers? The Bears young QB has been prone to mistakes in the past. He gives the opposition opportunities. It’s up to the Packers to seize the moment!

Look for the Packers to try and establish the run game early. I expect to see Marcedes Lewis helping Bulaga with Mack as an in-line blocking TE. They’re going to try and lean on Mack to wear him down. Since neither team played their starters much in the preseason, so conditioning will most likely be an issue in the 2nd half. Who will be the more fit team? That’ll play a significant role.

Look for LaFleur to use extensive motion in an effort to keep the defense guessing. He's going to look to get the ball into the flat to a WR who is running forward to aid in the ability to gain yards after the catch.

If the Packers can find a semblance of a run game early, LaFleur will quickly look to the play action with the vision of hitting on a shot play.

I see Rodgers connecting with G-Mo for multiple first down receptions on crossing routes. Yes, I expect to see the Packers using the middle of the field. I also expect crossing routes to be a common occurrence as they were in the early days of Mike McCarthy.

I expect Rodgers to hit MVS on a deep ball that quickly puts the Packers in scoring position.

I'm confident that the Packers will have moderate success moving the football. I'm not so confident as to how they'll perform when they get inside the Bears 40 yard line.

Defensively, I envision Za’Darius Smith making his impact felt early and forcing the Bears young QB into a bad decision.

If I were Pettine, I'd have Jaire follow Allen Robinson all over the field. I'd match Tony Brown on Anthony Miller. I'd have T-Mon cover Gabriel. Early in the game, I'd play a lot of man defense as I feel the Packers match up well with the Bears on the outside.

I'd play a lot of dime defense. Trust the front 4 to win their battles. Trust Clark and Lowry to eat up blocks. They'll let Martinez roam free. I'd have Raven Greene mirror the Bears young QB. If he can't use his legs to escape the pocket, it severely limits his ability to move the chains. He can't win a 60-minute game with his arm and decision making. But, if you let him use his legs, he can frustrate you. Especially on third down.

It’ll be a dog fight. A hotly contested battle. And, in the end, Crosby is the difference.

Packers 19.
Bears 17.

Go Pack Go! THE BEARS STILL SUCK!

Talkin’ S-Mac.
Talkins-mac.blogspot.com